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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #13621

    My choice of trades for today's Euro Games

    Italy v Wales - I won't be looking to enter a trade here early doors, might even wait until HT or Ryan's Split Stake on 30mins if still 0-0 and decent attacking intent is shown.
    Word of caution here a draw suits both teams

    Switzerland v Turkey - My Split Stake (enter around the 12 minute mark)
    I like to think both teams will look for a win here and hope for a 3rd place qualification in the knock out stages???

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #13622

    Italy on the one tick for me today, must say I’m loving the under 1.5s from you guys, as a man who built his trading in the lay the draw the under 1.5 is very similar but in my opinion better because it doesn’t matter who scores!

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #13623

    LCS Kahima 0-1 76 mins

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #13624

    @matt-wood I’ll go and look! I bet it’s awful mind in reality, everything in thought is better when you add nostalgia then it’s not lol

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    replied to Steve Sandell on last edited by
    #13625

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Kashima v Sendai currently 0-0

    Goal 0-1

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #13626

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Kashima v Sendai currently 0-0

    Just beat me to it 😂

    0-1.

    Was in this game for over 1.5 so staying in.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #13627

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Kashima v Sendai currently 0-0

    Just beat me to it 😂

    Fastest finger wins 😂

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Steve Sandell on last edited by
    #13628

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    SHG Kashima v Sendai currently 0-0

    Just beat me to it 😂

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    S E 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Steve Sandell
    wrote on last edited by
    #13629

    SHG Kashima v Sendai currently 0-0

    E S 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #13630

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    So as we move into round 3 of the Euros I thought it would be a good time to update on my progress trading the Euro's.

    Round 1
    During this round I mostly employed Keith's lay u1.5 approach, I left this as set & forget because in my opinion if you're looking to trade out then we should be looking to trade in.

    Not trading the Lay u1.5 approach is just my opinion and I know Keith does an excellent job doing it his way, he will start laying scores etc. at HT if 0-0 and will not only avoid losing but start to hit double bubble.

    It works really well for Keith but the jury's still out for me.

    P&L results from round 1... -0.5pts

    Round 2
    Round 2 and I switched from Keith's Lay u1.5 approach to my preferred Split Stake method (trading), no right or wrong here guys, It's just my trading upbringing making me feel more comfortable and I wanted to test between different approaches (yes am fully aware of small sample size 😉 )

    P&L results from round 2... -0.5pts

    So, interestingly when using both approaches as the staple trade/bet both weeks produced similar results!!!

    For complete transparency I have attached a spreadsheet which is updating all of my trades during the tournament and you're welcome to browse through and look through my tournament activities (you will find a link in my signature).

    Whilst my results show -1pt in trading, fortunately, due to a mistake in the Turkey v Wales match (not recorded as this was not an intended trade) I did gain an extra point there (removed red on the 1st goal but forgot to cancel my final 2 queued back bets which kicked in late in the game) which basically leaves me scratch for the tournament (to date).

    Conclusion
    Moving into week 3 I will continue to use my Split Stake approach as I feel it gives more in-play options to tweak my trades.

    For example I opted to switch from o2.5 goals in the Hungary v France game yesterday (didn't like the look of IPS, was in my trading shed up the allotment 😂 ) and proceeded to trade the o1.5 market (was 1 part matched in o2.5 goal market but let this run until 2nd goal & removed red).

    I will continue to look for any edges which may present themselves during the 3rd round and I wish everybody success in their pursuit of profit in the Euros 💪 👍 🤞

    Thanks for this Alan, exactly the kind of thing, along with just watching people posting the trades, I was looking to use to learn from all your experienced traders 👍

    Catch that Green!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #13631

    Todays non Euro goal games;

    0_1624177853212_20-06 FR.JPG

    SHG trade should be good on following HT scores;
    0-0, 1-0, 1-0 or 1-1

    Best of luck if following 🤞

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #13632

    No trades from me today, hope some got on them the past few days, got a fairly decent cushion to push on with rest of this month now, aiming for that 30pts/30% bank increase, off to go see my bro play rugby and then spend the day with my dad for fathers day, good luck, nice to see some domestic football back for a small break from just euros also 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #13633

    So as we move into round 3 of the Euros I thought it would be a good time to update on my progress trading the Euro's.

    Round 1
    During this round I mostly employed Keith's lay u1.5 approach, I left this as set & forget because in my opinion if you're looking to trade out then we should be looking to trade in.

    Not trading the Lay u1.5 approach is just my opinion and I know Keith does an excellent job doing it his way, he will start laying scores etc. at HT if 0-0 and will not only avoid losing but start to hit double bubble.

    It works really well for Keith but the jury's still out for me.

    P&L results from round 1... -0.5pts

    Round 2
    Round 2 and I switched from Keith's Lay u1.5 approach to my preferred Split Stake method (trading), no right or wrong here guys, It's just my trading upbringing making me feel more comfortable and I wanted to test between different approaches (yes am fully aware of small sample size 😉 )

    P&L results from round 2... -0.5pts

    So, interestingly when using both approaches as the staple trade/bet both weeks produced similar results!!!

    For complete transparency I have attached a spreadsheet which is updating all of my trades during the tournament and you're welcome to browse through and look through my tournament activities (you will find a link in my signature).

    Whilst my results show -1pt in trading, fortunately, due to a mistake in the Turkey v Wales match (not recorded as this was not an intended trade) I did gain an extra point there (removed red on the 1st goal but forgot to cancel my final 2 queued back bets which kicked in late in the game) which basically leaves me scratch for the tournament (to date).

    Conclusion
    Moving into week 3 I will continue to use my Split Stake approach as I feel it gives more in-play options to tweak my trades.

    For example I opted to switch from o2.5 goals in the Hungary v France game yesterday (didn't like the look of IPS, was in my trading shed up the allotment 😂 ) and proceeded to trade the o1.5 market (was 1 part matched in o2.5 goal market but let this run until 2nd goal & removed red).

    I will continue to look for any edges which may present themselves during the 3rd round and I wish everybody success in their pursuit of profit in the Euros 💪 👍 🤞

    Matt WoodM 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #13634

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    Yes!! Sorry, forgot to tag you!

    Too much red wine

    😂 😂 😂

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #13635

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    Yes!! Sorry, forgot to tag you!

    Too much red wine

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by John Folan
    #13636

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    Yes!! Sorry, forgot to tag you!

    Good hit on the Flamengo game.

    Looks like Columbus hit too but I wasn’t on that one.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #13637

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Spain wont be winning this tournament

    They're just so boring. On par with us to be fair haha!

    I think we are seeing that tiki-taka doesn’t really work anymore. Spain are still trying to play that way it seems and are unwilling to up the tempo and take risks.

    Mind you David Villa or Fernando Torres would have scored a few of the chances Morata has missed this tournament.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by Akiva Anderson
    #13638

    @daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    Yes!! Sorry, forgot to tag you!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    John FolanJ E 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #13639

    @daniel-cooper said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    Yes these are his recorded ones.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #13640

    @keith-anderson just checking as not tagged 😉

    E Akiva AndersonA 2 Replies Last reply
    1

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