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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #12981

    Ok just maybe....maybe.......it MIGHT......be coming home

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #12982

    The players on yellow cards need to come off immediately

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #12983

    Ukraine looked fucked. Should be a Duck Shoot 70 minutes onwards.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #12984

    @dan-mackinnon thanks for that we need a second should be all over then

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    wrote on last edited by
    #12985

    I’ve just seen the stat on BBC that England have never won a Euros game after scoring in the first 4 minutes.

    3 losses and 2 draws. The 2 draws ended in shootout defeats.

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #12986

    That was a superb pass from Sterling.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #12987

    @eamonn-hogan me too🇩🇰😂😂

    1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #12988

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    would love to see Denmark win it

    If we lose tonight yeah haha

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #12989

    would love to see Denmark win it

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    Richard LatimerR ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12990

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Really think England should win easily tonight. Ukraine aren't a great side. Plus they looked knackered after the game midweek

    Think the Danes will give us a bloody good game if we do.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #12991

    Really think England should win easily tonight. Ukraine aren't a great side. Plus they looked knackered after the game midweek

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #12992

    Maybe Southgate does have a plan Sancho and Mount in for Saka and Trippier back to 433

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #12993

    Will need to check my results, but you should be well up if you laid Under 1.5 goals in all the Euro matches.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #12994

    First half goal odds on Czech vs Denmark are decent. Denmark usually start on the front foot.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12995

    @keith-anderson just what we like!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12996

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Lay Under 1.5 Goals: - Saturday, 03rd July 2021 - @daniel-cooper

    10:00 - Kobe v Shonan
    14:00 - Bodo v Viking

    Highly unlikely I'll get matched on the Bodo v Viking match. I'll be doing the usual Under 1.5 goals lay in the two Euro matches (not to be included in my list, Daniel)

    That was an easy day!

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    4
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #12997

    @eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Shg Vegalta v Uwara 0:0 Half time

    End to end. Will be very surprised if no goal. 72 mins

    0-0 25 shots and 11 shots on target. Good trade just didn’t happen.

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by Eamonn Hogan
    #12998

    Shg Vegalta v Uwara 0:0 Half time

    End to end. Will be very surprised if no goal. 72 mins

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #12999

    @chris-osborne yep compounding every day can actually hide your true growth or how well your strategy is doing. Looks like your sky rocketing on good patches but because you keep scaling so quick the bad runs wipe too much off. Every strategy has variance.

    Its all about what you feel confident with. I like every month now, but other ideas i like are:

    1. Keep staking same until you hit a certain target, ie doubling your bank
    2. Keep staking same until you hit a certain points target, this helps you see through a variance cycle.
    3. Quarterly targets. This is very defensive but long term what ill do. Smaller banks wont really enjoy this as much. Basically in these months youll have gone through a few variance cycles and therefore it will be safer to up stakes.

    Upping stakes shouldn't be a big thing, but it is mentally at times. If you have maybe had a overperforming month or run maybe just be a tad cautious before upping. Its all a mental thing not really a technical one.

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #13000

    @darri Thanks Darri I am reviewing my staking on a monthly basis, was reviewing every day but that was too much and doesn't account for variance

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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