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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
42.9k Posts 268 Posters 3.4m Views
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  • N Offline
    N Offline
    Nick Terracciano
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12821

    @keith-anderson great to see fans back but the hypocrisy and bullshit of it all pisses me right off.

    1 Reply Last reply
    3
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12822

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @kötcsei-istván said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson

    Ive made a filter for laying under1.5 market, and i often get similar matches that you post for laying. However i couldnt really figure out how to trade these. Im quite familiar with laying the draw, finding matches, watching them and make profit out of that. What i wanted is to find a strategy so i can make bets not really following live , instead just checking
    prematch stats and stuff, make my bets and let them run.

    Do you follow the games live when laying these ?
    From my experince i dont really like laying over 4.0, i try to wait 20 mins so the odds drop around 3.0.
    Do you have some basic guidline for minimal odds ?

    My Lays are a 'Set and Forget' strategy. So I just let it run, regardless of what happens. My three most profitable leagues last season where: 1) English Premier League, 2) Italian Serie A and 3) French Ligue 1.

    I don't lay above odds of 4.9. If the odds are above this pre kick-off, then I request odds from Betfair of 4.9. Sometimes I get matched, sometimes I don't.

    The Under 1.5 lays are good for me. There isn't a great deal of variance and works well in most major leagues. Also works well in Champions League and International matches.

    Been bloody brilliant in the Euros 😄

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #12823

    @kötcsei-istván said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson

    Ive made a filter for laying under1.5 market, and i often get similar matches that you post for laying. However i couldnt really figure out how to trade these. Im quite familiar with laying the draw, finding matches, watching them and make profit out of that. What i wanted is to find a strategy so i can make bets not really following live , instead just checking
    prematch stats and stuff, make my bets and let them run.

    Do you follow the games live when laying these ?
    From my experince i dont really like laying over 4.0, i try to wait 20 mins so the odds drop around 3.0.
    Do you have some basic guidline for minimal odds ?

    My Lays are a 'Set and Forget' strategy. So I just let it run, regardless of what happens. My three most profitable leagues last season where: 1) English Premier League, 2) Italian Serie A and 3) French Ligue 1.

    I don't lay above odds of 4.9. If the odds are above this pre kick-off, then I request odds from Betfair of 4.9. Sometimes I get matched, sometimes I don't.

    The Under 1.5 lays are good for me. There isn't a great deal of variance and works well in most major leagues. Also works well in Champions League and International matches.

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    John FolanJ ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva AndersonA Offline
    Akiva Anderson
    wrote on last edited by
    #12824

    Nothing from me today. I'm off to see Glentoran v The New Saints (TNS) in the Europa Conference League Qualifying match. My last match was Glentoran v Crusaders in the Irish Premier League - 16 months ago. I can't wait to get back. Really not sure how this will go, we've had two friendly matches and this is our first competitive match in about 2 months.

    No away fans allowed for these matches as UEFA have deemed it would be unsafe...but allowed 60,000 at Wembley last night, with away fans. UEFA are greedy bastards. Don't care about the small teams at all.

    Back tomorrow

    le jeu avant tout

    Am Yisrael Chai

    When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
    But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game...

    N 1 Reply Last reply
    5
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Akiva Anderson on last edited by
    #12825

    @keith-anderson

    Ive made a filter for laying under1.5 market, and i often get similar matches that you post for laying. However i couldnt really figure out how to trade these. Im quite familiar with laying the draw, finding matches, watching them and make profit out of that. What i wanted is to find a strategy so i can make bets not really following live , instead just checking
    prematch stats and stuff, make my bets and let them run.

    Do you follow the games live when laying these ?
    From my experince i dont really like laying over 4.0, i try to wait 20 mins so the odds drop around 3.0.
    Do you have some basic guidline for minimal odds ?

    Akiva AndersonA 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Ryan
    #12826

    @chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-folan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    If it wasn’t for Peters son that would have been a whitewash. What a keeper.

    Best keeper in the prem although I am a biased Leicester Fan

    I am not a Leicester fan and thought he was brilliant - top keeper. Wasted at Leicester 😉

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #12827

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @ryan did you see how much Griezman is on though? £880k I saw haha!

    No one is taking him at that.

    Oh that's ok, it's only Euros haha

    What?? Not a week surely?!

    I heard Umtiti go nah I am not leaving lol

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #12828

    @dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @john-folan but could that be driven by loads of England fans having a bet following last night?

    God knows. There’s not a lot in it. I think sometimes looking at odds we see decimals and think the gap is larger than it is they are both pretty much 2/1 and so is the draw.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #12829

    @john-folan but could that be driven by loads of England fans having a bet following last night?

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #12830

    @dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin apart from the Germany game, England have been favourites going into every game so far. I would probably say Italy are favourites for the final, but at this stage it’s 90 minutes and anything can happen.

    Betfair have us as slight favourites. Interesting

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #12831

    @dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin apart from the Germany game, England have been favourites going into every game so far. I would probably say Italy are favourites for the final, but at this stage it’s 90 minutes and anything can happen.

    Italy are beatable if Spain had our forward line they'd have won that semi final easily

    They are pretty lethal going forward though although Spinizola is a massive loss if Emerson is the replacement

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #12832

    @martin apart from the Germany game, England have been favourites going into every game so far. I would probably say Italy are favourites for the final, but at this stage it’s 90 minutes and anything can happen.

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    ? John FolanJ 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #12833

    For me anything is a bonus now, just getting to the final and shaking off the disappointment of Euro '96.

    D 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #12834

    @john-folan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    If it wasn’t for Peters son that would have been a whitewash. What a keeper.

    Best keeper in the prem although I am a biased Leicester Fan

    RyanR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    wrote on last edited by
    #12835

    If it wasn’t for Peters son that would have been a whitewash. What a keeper.

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #12836

    @ian-wylie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Well as a Scotsman even I have to admit that England deserved the win tonight although very fortunate that the ref pointed to the spot rather than awarding a 10 out of 10 for the dive. Denmark just seemed to run out of steam after a great tournament and having the better of the early part of the game.

    So inspired by @John-Folan post of England memories, here's some of my own which were memorable to us neutrals:

    1976 - Kenny Dalglish trickles the ball through the legs of Ray Clemence at Hampden
    1977 - Another Scotland win and pitch invasion at Wembley
    1981 - Norway - Maggie Thatcher your boys took a hell of a beating
    1986 - The hand of God and of course his 2nd goal
    1993 - Norway were at it again this time with a 2-0 win in Oslo
    2004 - The commentators slagging off Fabian Barthez seconds before he saves a Beckham penalty which would have put England 2-0 up. Then Zidane showed Beckham how to take score from 12 yards and a bit further out as well
    2016 - Iceland win 2-1 at the Euro's

    Not to mention the moments of fun provided by those legendary England managers such as Graham Taylor & big Sam (did he actually take charge of a game?)

    Well I'm sure we could come up with more but who knows, there maybe some more to come on Sunday?

    Anyway enjoy the moment tonight.

    I love this 🤣🤣🤣

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #12837

    Time to watch the highlights

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #12838

    Who's still drinking....?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to John Folan on last edited by
    #12839

    Well as a Scotsman even I have to admit that England deserved the win tonight although very fortunate that the ref pointed to the spot rather than awarding a 10 out of 10 for the dive. Denmark just seemed to run out of steam after a great tournament and having the better of the early part of the game.

    So inspired by @John-Folan post of England memories, here's some of my own which were memorable to us neutrals:

    1976 - Kenny Dalglish trickles the ball through the legs of Ray Clemence at Hampden
    1977 - Another Scotland win and pitch invasion at Wembley
    1981 - Norway - Maggie Thatcher your boys took a hell of a beating
    1986 - The hand of God and of course his 2nd goal
    1993 - Norway were at it again this time with a 2-0 win in Oslo
    2004 - The commentators slagging off Fabian Barthez seconds before he saves a Beckham penalty which would have put England 2-0 up. Then Zidane showed Beckham how to take score from 12 yards and a bit further out as well
    2016 - Iceland win 2-1 at the Euro's

    Not to mention the moments of fun provided by those legendary England managers such as Graham Taylor & big Sam (did he actually take charge of a game?)

    Well I'm sure we could come up with more but who knows, there maybe some more to come on Sunday?

    Anyway enjoy the moment tonight.

    John FolanJ 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • John FolanJ Offline
    John FolanJ Offline
    John Folan
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #12840

    @dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    Hey @John-Folan you need to tidy the place up over the weekend, because this Sunday IT’S COMING HOME!!

    Love it!!!!

    Read the first post on both threads.

    Horse Trading Resources
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resources

    BfBotmanager
    https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion

    1 Reply Last reply
    1

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