The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@dan-mackinnon here you go mate the full chart.
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@alastair-todd I should be able to help you here... How are you looking to trade it, are you laying u1.5 goals or Split Staking?
Also if Split Stake what is your trade
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@alastair-todd I was wondering this the other day. I know there’s a odds % chart, but wondered if there was a odds to SR chart?
If it’s purely based on having 1 more winner than loser am I right in saying the following
1.10 = 91%
1.25 = 81%
1.50 = 67%
2.00 = 51% -
@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@Ryan and @Adam (and any other experts), I am only 2 weeks and 30 matches into a new 1.5 Goal filter which currently has an 89% strike rate. However, I know it is early days and I will give it at least 3 months before I feel that it is worth 'investing in'. What would you say is a measure of success of a filter in terms of its strike rate? There will undoubtedly be ups and downs with the filter but should I be looking to get a strike rate of at least 75%, 80% or more before I can take it to the next level with staking?
No expert and of course everything is odds dependent. That said, I would want at least 85% and preferably closer to what you have at present.
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@Ryan and @Adam (and any other experts), I am only 2 weeks and 30 matches into a new 1.5 Goal filter which currently has an 89% strike rate. However, I know it is early days and I will give it at least 3 months before I feel that it is worth 'investing in'. What would you say is a measure of success of a filter in terms of its strike rate? There will undoubtedly be ups and downs with the filter but should I be looking to get a strike rate of at least 75%, 80% or more before I can take it to the next level with staking?
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@daniel-mills said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Closing out my month with these:
Hit 3 losers yesterday, dropping -13.8 pts. Still chance to collect a few points today and finish as best as possible.
forgot to put the tampines game in which was a dud, dodged a bullet there.
+3.58 pts from matched games. Loads of early SHG's yesterday.
3 losers on Saturday has me finishing up 0.2 pts for the whole month. Not quite sure how to feel about that. My results are pretty volatile, so is that a bad thing?
points profit since April 21Good to have a a few days away from it all for intl break I think.
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@matt-ayles I’m all for banning internationals
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@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Nothing on my list today, bloody internationals already lol
My thoughts exactly... 3/4 games into the winter leagues, lets have a break! Marvellous...
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@alan-steward posted on my blog with a bit more of a detailed answer, actually iv found that they are consistent enough to have made good profits, iv just not tweaked the data well enough, actually it will be even easier now for trading with normal service resumed. Im just waiting until winter leagues kick in so i can focus on this crazy period of cricket.
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@darri To be fair, I haven't seen a huge amount of consistency from this years summer leagues... And now winter leagues will start kicking in with crowds which will slightly skew previous 18mths data... Hence my liking for my Split Stake, need just 1 goal any team between 12 & 78mins
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Closing out my month with these:
Hit 3 losers yesterday, dropping -13.8 pts. Still chance to collect a few points today and finish as best as possible.
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@lee-woodman said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Quite a busy day for the first time in months! No winter leagues appearing yet but a few games for the summer leagues. Ill look to LCS on 60' in these games:
4/5 Winners. The Swedish game wasnt tradeable in-play so a small profit overall
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Poor day from me, will look into trading these in background for a few weeks as been iffy over the summer months, focus on cricket for rest of summer while these recollect data
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@chris-osborne thanks, it’s a tiny stake so I’ll see how it goes
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@clare-taylor good luck too early in the season for me and the main leagues but i dont trade inplay generally in football
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@chris-osborne thanks, I looked at the stats and I have gone with celta now
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@clare-taylor depends how long it takes can interrupt game flow especially with how long decisions were taking in the prem last year. since the euro's hopefully things quickened up even here, time will tell
