The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@ryan Brilliant game. They played really well at the weekend too, great to watch.

PSG on the other hand....

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@richard-latimer That is going straight into my spreadsheet. Love stuff like that.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Anybody fancy playing around with this formula, it's beautiful.

=LN(100000)/-LN((1-(93.52/100)))

First number after LN is number of trades
Second number after second LN is strike rate.

If you know your current strike rate you can mess around with it assuming it stays the same in say 1,000 trades, 10,000 trades etc....

The more trades you have the longer in theory your highest win streak should be. Your longest losing streak however, doesn't appear to change that much on a high probability strategy.

I love maths haha!

I should have said, when you put in the actual s/r you get the longest expected losing streak. When you flip that you get the longest expected winning streak.

Richard Latimer

Anybody fancy playing around with this formula, it's beautiful.

=LN(100000)/-LN((1-(93.52/100)))

First number after LN is number of trades
Second number after second LN is strike rate.

If you know your current strike rate you can mess around with it assuming it stays the same in say 1,000 trades, 10,000 trades etc....

The more trades you have the longer in theory your highest win streak should be. Your longest losing streak however, doesn't appear to change that much on a high probability strategy.

I love maths haha!

Ryan

@Martin I do! I think they''ll go far into it, everybody banging on about Man City and PSG but realistically Bayern will always be there.

Ryan

Coooorrrr that Liverpool game was mega!

Martin

Anyone think Bayern are a decent price this year? Got a feeling they are being a bit overlooked but I think outside England and PSG they are the only team that really looks capable of winning the Champions League.

Steve Sandell

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG Reading v Peterborough currently 0-0

Goal 1-0

Steve Sandell

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG Bournemouth v QPR currently 2-0

Goal 2-1

Saves me looking haha

all part of the service

Richard Latimer

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG Bournemouth v QPR currently 2-0

Goal 2-1

Saves me looking haha

Steve Sandell

SHG Reading v Peterborough currently 0-0

Steve Sandell

@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

SHG Bournemouth v QPR currently 2-0

Goal 2-1

Steve Sandell

SHG Bournemouth v QPR currently 2-0

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Was in the middle of typing the FHG for man utd when the goal went in! I still only like posting trades when im in myself, means im not preempting a trade that doesnt come true and also if im in generally others are then getting better prices after iv posted.

Im on the chelsea game for a FHG also, getting on this one pre match as happy with odds