The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@matt-ayles
This may seem a little harsh to take when you have suffered a bad weekend, but it is likely simply just maths.
If you have a strategy that has a SR of 80%, 20% of the time you will lose. But that 20% won't be evenly distributed; it could come in a cluster.
Look at the longer term. Your strategy will have losses but as long as it averages out in a profit, you are doing nothing wrong. You'll have weekends where everything you touch turns to gold.
The most important point is to maintain your discipline: don't try to recoup losses by increasing stakes and don't tinker with/drop a successful strategy.
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Is anyone else having a really difficult weekend? Yesterday was bad, today is worse! Not doing anything differently, following my filter etc, just keeps turning out 0-0 after 0-0. Been a struggle!
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Sonderjyske v Brondby currently 0-0
Goal 1-0 90min
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer what do you mean by close odds?
For me anything where it's 0-0 and the home team are not a heavy fave or a distinct underdog is no no. Also for me, anything where the home team is not a substantial favourite is a no no at 1-0.
It's just what I've found from my data. Obviously not all will be the same but I find it saves a lot of blanks.
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer and jimmy greaves
Not many celeb deaths affect me but I think this one makes me the most sad since Robin Williams.
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@richard-latimer and jimmy greaves
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Sorry to interrupt but whatever happens today pretty irrelevant. Boycey gone.
Alright Del Boy. Legend
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Sorry to interrupt but whatever happens today pretty irrelevant. Boycey gone.
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SHG Sonderjyske v Brondby currently 0-0
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Stuttgart v Leverkusen currently 1-2
Goal 1-3
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Troyes v Montpellier currently 1-0
Goal 1-1
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SHG Stuttgart v Leverkusen currently 1-2
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@mark-maguire ah i see, i got you, yeah be interested to hear the results
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SHG Troyes v Montpellier currently 1-0
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG PSV v Feyenoord currently 0-1
Goal 0-2 about time
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Vejle v Viborg currently 1-1
not to be again... wow 2 blanks in a row
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@nick-allan No in this case it’s say Man Utd are 1.4 and Burnley are 6 then it’s 7.4 in total. Note of caution that this is just based on one filter at the moment - what I’ve tried to do is collect heaps of data on every match I’ve paper traded and search for commanalities for reds . I know some people look at the odds of the favourite and will avoid if that’s above 1.85 for example - I think for my part while I’m still learning anything that is a pattern in reds I will analyse and test and if it helps eliminate trades it takes away the émotion of that process which is what the experts on here have suggested is really important I think
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SHG PSV v Feyenoord currently 0-1
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@steve-sandell said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Darmstadt v Dresden currently 1-0
not to be
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@richard-latimer what do you mean by close odds?
