The BTC Football Trading Thread
-
@nick-allan im not sure about bfbm but id imagine it would be similar to set up basically i look for a shg after 50 for max lay odds of 4.5, the software fires around the 50th min sometimes a bit before or bit after, its the odds that is the important thing here. also thats any scoreline even if a goal has been scored in the 46th min ect.
-
I think this question got lost in the noise when I asked it last time so I wonder if any of the experts can help?
Is there a way to find out, retrospectively, what the lay odds for 1.5 goals were when the first goal went in? I have set up a new filter and I'm trying to record the odds for the first goal, because in many cases my bets aren't being matched as the odds are still too high when the first goal goes in. These are set and forget trades so I am not watching the match as it happens and therefore can't keep an eye on the odds. I know you can see the Betfair graph when the game is still underway but if the game has taken place during the night (MLS), it would be helpful to find out what happened the next morning.
I think the key tweak I need to make to this filter is my entry point. I am currently keeping to a max liability of 2.4 points to win 1 point but of course plenty of matches are not reaching that (low) when the first goal goes in. It may be that the average first goal goes in at a slightly higher lay odds in which case if I increased the liability to say 3 points liability the strike rate would almost certainly go up. The trick would be to find the optimum lay odds point but this is the difficulty as I can't find out what the odds were. Sorry for the ramble but hopefully you get the jist!
-
@liam-willis ah was going to ask for some tips about placing SHG in BFBM as its a bit tricky, sounds like a cracking strategy, looking forward to you sharing it
-
@nick-allan cheers mate no im using bet angel its taken a bit tweaking with the timings but seems to be working good at the moment,
-
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Fully expect SHG in Kawasaki match... Its on my SHG filter.
I'm fully set up in the match with a correct score trade and already green from my Split Stake trade
No shg and 0.2pts red for my Correct Score combo... 2/3 SHG this morning -
Fully expect SHG in Kawasaki match... Its on my SHG filter.
I'm fully set up in the match with a correct score trade and already green from my Split Stake trade
-
@liam-willis fab results buddy, keep it going, are you using BFBM?
-
@ryan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
HT LTD / HTLCS list for me today.
08:30:00,Suwon City,Ulsan Hyundai
14:00:00,Fredrikstad,Raufoss
14:00:00,K. Oslo,Stjordals Blink
14:00:00,Sogndal,Jerv
16:00:00,AC Wolfsberger,Austria Vienna
17:00:00,Viking,Sandefjord
20:30:00,Austin FC,Real Salt Lake,39013198Are these any scoreline and any odds restrictions?
-
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Kashima v Yokohama HT score 0-2
Don't normally like the 0-2 score line but very open game and match is on a very good SHG filter.
Kashima scored 4 from 5 SHG in previous 5 home games & Yokohama have conceded in 4 from 5 previous away games
Best of luck if follow
HT LCS is around 6.8... My SHG filter is 85% with an LCS on 60mins... Fully expect Kashima to pull this game back but obviously football is a very fluid game and anything goes... Am trading my SHG trade in sig link to cover red in my Correct Score trade, am already green from my split stake trade
Am letting my plus 2 goal trade in Kashima game run but there would have been a good opportunity to green up or remove red with the early 2nd goal
Game finished 1-2 & a scratch trade for me overall
-
SHG Kashima v Yokohama HT score 0-2
Don't normally like the 0-2 score line but very open game and match is on a very good SHG filter.
Kashima scored 4 from 5 SHG in previous 5 home games & Yokohama have conceded in 4 from 5 previous away games
Best of luck if follow
HT LCS is around 6.8... My SHG filter is 85% with an LCS on 60mins... Fully expect Kashima to pull this game back but obviously football is a very fluid game and anything goes... Am trading my SHG trade in sig link to cover red in my Correct Score trade, am already green from my split stake trade
-
HT LTD / HTLCS list for me today.
08:30:00,Suwon City,Ulsan Hyundai
14:00:00,Fredrikstad,Raufoss
14:00:00,K. Oslo,Stjordals Blink
14:00:00,Sogndal,Jerv
16:00:00,AC Wolfsberger,Austria Vienna
17:00:00,Viking,Sandefjord
20:30:00,Austin FC,Real Salt Lake,39013198 -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
SHG Fukuoka (J1) current score 0-1 & 8th v 15th... Fukuoka scored SHG 5 from previous 5 home games, Shimizu conceded SHG 4 from 5 previous away games.
Best of luck if following
0-2 (didn't go the way I expected but that will do 
) -
SHG Fukuoka (J1) current score 0-1 & 8th v 15th... Fukuoka scored SHG 5 from previous 5 home games, Shimizu conceded SHG 4 from 5 previous away games.
Best of luck if following
-
Fancied a late goal in Stoke v WBA - so LTD and then stoke scored - had a 7 minutes sweating with game suspended on betfair.
Quickly had to work it out and back on Smarkets in case there was an equaliser.
That's third time I think this week there's been long suspensions on Betfair after goals! -
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
Same to you Eammon although October couldn't have made a worse start get the rubbish out the way early
Yeah started with 2 losers for me too.
Late goal stoke and Drogheda both 0-0 78 mins
1-0 Stoke
1-0 Drogheda gameDay results
SHG -1
Late +0.98 -
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
Same to you Eammon although October couldn't have made a worse start get the rubbish out the way early
Yeah started with 2 losers for me too.
Late goal stoke and Drogheda both 0-0 78 mins
1-0 Stoke
-
@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
Same to you Eammon although October couldn't have made a worse start get the rubbish out the way early
Yeah started with 2 losers for me too.
Late goal stoke and Drogheda both 0-0 78 mins
-
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
Same to you Eammon although October couldn't have made a worse start get the rubbish out the way early
-
@eamonn-hogan said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
No goal -1 point
-
Good evening folks.
Hoping for a good October for everyone.
Late goal for me Maritimo 0-0 78 mins
