The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@sam-hankin sods law!
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Morning All,
My first trade today is going to be laying over 2.5 goals in the Melbourne City Vs Western City game. It looks like on average there are 0.7 goals scored in the first half between the 2 teams. (0.4 in the first 30 mins)
Im going to take 20% of my equity out every 5 mins. Ideal situation is it stays 0-0 until at least the 25th min.
Update - Just my luck, goal after 4 mins. Looks like this one will be a loss. Underdog scored as well so expecting a reply from the favourite.
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Sunday:
These are just potentials and any trade will be placed only if it meets the criteria shown at HT.
red figures are where there are 10 successful trades either side of that figure. The smaller or larger figure denotes the max successful trade. Bold shows where the next price along would not be profitable.
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A very healthy days trading with a bit of luck thrown in because I didnt even look at the Turkish game which would have been a red (was busy at the time with family stuff).
Leipzig - Green with goal on 21 mins then a bit more because game was lively and next goal didn't come til 47 mins (was cursing myself because I should have been out with red card but all ok)
Oldham - Postponed
Accrington - Green with goal on 9 minutes and small return on correct score after second goal went in on 24mins
Newport - Nice green with goal on 44 mins, good in play stats even though went against starting odds with Salford win, left in a bit for Newport come back but Salford second increased green on 52
Estoril - Nice green as first goal on 38 mins came from Estoril and expected Porto to fight back, second goal on 43 9 to Estoril) but good for me anyway. Ended 2-3 to Porto
Wycombe Small Green based on cautious staking and goal on 3 mins. Nice green on correct score back - greened up at 2-1
In addition green from my Over 1.5s :
Leverkusen/Leipzig and Frankfurt.
plus 3.75 points for the day
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@keith-anderson really interesting thanks Keith. maybe time for me to relax a bit more with those.. I'd always thought of those games as tighter - too much to lose for teams .. but as you say must win as well -
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Frankfurt @ HT any other score than 2-1
Got some back so 3/4 and around 1.5pts or less loss.
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@mick-mcmahon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alastair-todd likewise, just cashed out before my loss doubles, as they don't look like scoring... All earns this morning gone...
It happens. Mine were gone with Accrington but I'll make it back.
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@lee-woodman same. Wondering where it goes next.
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@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Predictably it looks like the last trade of the day will undo all my good work for the rest of the day. Lens and Rennes need to get their skates on!
yep, bailed out on that one at 60, neither team seemed to have much intent.
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@alastair-todd likewise, just cashed out before my loss doubles, as they don't look like scoring... All earns this morning gone...
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@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Predictably it looks like the last trade of the day will undo all my good work for the rest of the day. Lens and Rennes need to get their skates on!
Same here
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Predictably it looks like the last trade of the day will undo all my good work for the rest of the day. Lens and Rennes need to get their skates on!
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyway, now about to watch Spider-Man no way home so going dark.
Thought it was a great film!
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
I'll be trading in the Correct Score market in the following match today;
Frankfurt v Dortmund
I'll be dutching the following target scorelines for 0.1pts
3-1, 2-2 & 1-3
I will lay u2.5 goals in Frankfurt match to cover red
Total liability circa 0.25pts
Target score hit on 87mins & just managed to green up before the 5th goal;
0.45pts green... Nice little trade
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Anyway, now about to watch Spider-Man no way home so going dark.
red pants over your jeans??? -
Anyway, now about to watch Spider-Man no way home so going dark.
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@richard-latimer
Interesting, I like 1 goal gaps they appear to generate more goals but never really measured goal gaps
