The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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Hey guys, so I hope this helps this is for the Oz racing tomorrow. I’ve found 5 races that fit Martins LTF strategy all at major Australian race tracks in capital cities for tomorrow. Apologies in advance for mentioning metres but they all are min 6 furlongs.
Randwick Race 2 03:10am 1400m
Caulfield Race 9 08:25am 16:00m
Morphetville Race 4 05:21am 1250m (large field)
Race 9 08:40am 1400m 7 of 14 starters at 10.0 or under and 2 currently at 12.00Ascot Race 7 08:14 1600m 5 of 13 runners at 10.0 or under
These next ones are races at the same venues but where the favourite is under 4.0 but could hit 4.00 by the off.
Caulfield 04:35
Morphetville Race 1 03:35 and Race 5 at 06:01 (Fav 3.65 and 8 of 9 runners at or under 10.0
Ascot Race 6 07:38 Fav 3.40 5 runners at or under 10.0 in a field of 12.
Newcastle Race 5 05:54 1850m
Hope we get a few here lads.
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@alan-steward I can do that. Time is something I have an abundance of at the moment.
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@james-woodroffe As the Aussie races are quite early are you able to look the day before?
Cheers mate... Only if you get time
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@alan-steward hey mate I could do that as well
as possibly a Don’t Bother for each day if it helps. There’s a lot of horse racing each day in Oz but a lot in random s**t holes. Would be happy to help. -
@james-woodroffe Hi mate as you know all things Aussie, are you able to compile a list of the more notable courses or are there too many to mention lol
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@Martin-Futter Did you consider the last race to be potentially profitable and did you enter?
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Going thru those 3 cards for tomorrow and there are not huge amounts that would fit the criteria but there are a few mainly at Morphetville.
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@martin-futter describing Kalgoolie as a back water is an understatement.
Even the races from my home town were up on Betfair the other day and I thought I must have dreamt that. Massive day tomorrow tho as it’s Sydney Cup at Randwick and there’s cards at Morphetville (Adelaide) and Caulfield (Melbourne). -
@claudiu-ion I believe theres 8% tax in some of their races so I look for 1.92 & lay 1.088pts which should scratch with 2 matched... Be interesting to see how profitable these different odds work out
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Simulation, odds at 2.04
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@claudiu-ion Interesting that you had 3 matched... At what odds?
Also, were you in live mode or simulation?
I'm using 1.92 for evens
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There wasn't enough horses matched under 10 in the last race (09:55) but looks like it could have produced 0.4pts green... Sorry, correction only poss 0.132pts green, had 2 matched in simulation mode... Typical lol
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3 matched on the last one.
Lowest was at 1.94.
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@alan-steward sorry just seen this, yeah I think with so little matched early it's always a worry for me. odds also a little short on fav in that one, think 4.0+ is looking like a really good cut off point. will see what happens in the 9.55 but thinking Aus is not great for these in general, how have you found it? I know @Keith-Dow wasn't a fan
looks like that was a good one to get in on
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@martin-futter Much better in the US mate, deleted the old data as after doing a couple of meetings I wanted to record whats on below, looks like Tampa Bay is on tonight had two good evenings in the Will Rogers Downs races
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@martin-futter Aussie games are deffo not working for me, am only doing very low stakes as simulation mode doesn't always tell the whole story... Am just looking to get a feel for horses etc.
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@alan-steward sorry just seen this, yeah I think with so little matched early it's always a worry for me. odds also a little short on fav in that one, think 4.0+ is looking like a really good cut off point. will see what happens in the 9.55 but thinking Aus is not great for these in general, how have you found it? I know @Keith-Dow wasn't a fan
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@alan-steward I stayed clear of that one, the fav went under 4 and I only counted 4 that were under 10
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Ah well, only one matched for me at 1.92
