The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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Keep all your horse trading discussion in here!
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@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Martin This is the graph of one of my L2B selectors. I added 2021 and 22 out of interest. Nice and consistent over 4 years
that's amazing! well done
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@Martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@John-Folan so for the ones I have looked at you are right it's near start of 2023
Yep. Agree totally
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and my DOB selector, which started picking up again in Jan 23. Looking at the last 2 months it may be in need of an overhaul!
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@Martin This is the graph of one of my L2B selectors. I added 2021 and 22 out of interest. Nice and consistent over 4 years
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@Tony-Hastie how have your strategies been going that backtested then? I am finding the same thing in terms of the date.
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@John-Folan so for the ones I have looked at you are right it's near start of 2023
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@Martin I only back test 2023, 24 and 25 so wouldnt know tbh....
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Gotta just feel a little gutted when you have a DOB selection in a race you just happen to be watching for a L2B trade and witness your DOB pick romp in paying 16s!
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@Martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Got a question that I would love to discuss with you guys, when do you think the Covid effect stopped on Horse Racing? When I look through my strategies I can see a rough time period where it went back to normal but want to see if it is similar to yours.
Spring 23
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Got a question that I would love to discuss with you guys, when do you think the Covid effect stopped on Horse Racing? When I look through my strategies I can see a rough time period where it went back to normal but want to see if it is similar to yours.
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@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Something bizarre happened on one of my L2Bs at Cheltenham yesterday....
The Short Go(14:40) hit the odds range, was towards the back of the field for that start and settled at the back as well.
.....and the odds didnt move for 2 full minutes after the off(0 or little money coming in), even though the horse remained at the back. I called time on the trade after 2 min 30 for a 70p profit when it finally did move, well short of the 12 ticks, as I like to be out before the miraculous comebacks but Im at a loss to explain what happened! Usually, even if a horse sits at the back the odds are not dormant like this, they always shorten(infuriating!) or drift, even if its just a few ticks.
Has anyone else had this experience?
The big festivals can be funny sometimes
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Something bizarre happened on one of my L2Bs at Cheltenham yesterday....
The Short Go(14:40) hit the odds range, was towards the back of the field for that start and settled at the back as well.
.....and the odds didnt move for 2 full minutes after the off(0 or little money coming in), even though the horse remained at the back. I called time on the trade after 2 min 30 for a 70p profit when it finally did move, well short of the 12 ticks, as I like to be out before the miraculous comebacks but Im at a loss to explain what happened! Usually, even if a horse sits at the back the odds are not dormant like this, they always shorten(infuriating!) or drift, even if its just a few ticks.
Has anyone else had this experience?
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@John-Folan L2Bs still my bread and butter. The DOB hobby isnt going bad though, £4 off raising my stake to a fiver....although I think your and my DOB selections together tend to cancel each other out somewhat!
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How is everyone doing? My dobs have been nice and consistent. Very happy with them since I first posted a few months ago
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@John-Folan agree!
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@Tony-Hastie yeah interesting pattern that Jan is a bad month!
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@Martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@John-Folan do you find rain has much impact over winter? just thinking it rains and is damp pretty much all the time anyway so may not be as much of a factor.
I actually think the weather has a big impact. Pretty sure when it’s peeing down it affects the horses and jockeys big time
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@Martin thanks for this. Im sure youve already noticed but January has been a bit of a bastard laying course distance winners! 2023 was a big loss, 2024 was a big loss, so far in 2025 its running at scratch. Rest of the time its looking pretty good! So might take a look at it in February
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@keiran-newman here is the download to the Lay C&D winner strategy: Lay C&D Winner 2025.json