The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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I now have 9 years of data from ProForm being transferred into a workable form.
My instinct tells me that this is going to prove quite tricky to find some sort of trend that works for LTF.
I suspect based on a preliminary look that a few things that seem intuitively likely to help are going to prove not to be helpful (fav price, number of runners, going, seeming competitiveness of race). Hoping that with a large enough dataset will be able to spot course and distance trends because that seems more likely to be predictive assuming you have enough data.
I still think there is mileage to be had in the Aussie racing and so I am going to LTF in every race there with sufficient liquidity just to hopefully start looking for patterns. At 10p a chuck its hardly a massive investment!
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1pt profit in Tampa tonight. Delighted with that.
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Seems the Fav ran away with the last race as well... See you guys tomorrow
Yeah, didn't do that one. Odds of fave lower than 4.0.
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Seems the Fav ran away with the last race as well... See you guys tomorrow
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?
Yes, the loss makes up for the four that got matched on Wednesday... Swings and roundabouts!
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller
Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?
Yes. Only one came close. I'm guessing he ran away with it.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller
This one looks good too.
Bugger!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller
Only 1 matched in simulation mode... Anybody do it live?
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller
This one looks good too.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=v8arsy1si4v0651ser69coa45&st=4r1o63le&dl=0 -
Will keep an eye on the 20:24 & maybe do small simulation stakes in live mode but set odds to 2.04 as field is smaller
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@alan-steward I got two matched at 2.04
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Looks like 2.04 would have matched
I got 2x @ 2.02 so no loss
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Looks like 2.04 would have matched
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Only 1 matched in simulation... You can see how my software captures SP Price & Lowest Traded Price
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@keith-dow said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Looking at Charging Renee here. Lots of pace in this field.
Changed my mind last minute because of a drift and opted for the favourite. Got my lay matched in the last few furlongs of the race. Close to a loss that one!
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Got it on simulation
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@alan-steward Either way I reckon you should record the data for spreadsheet.
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@keith-dow Get you... You horse pro lol
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Looking at Charging Renee here. Lots of pace in this field.
