The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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How many trades do you guys like to see before removing a particular course from a strategy? 100? 1000?
Would appreciate any recommended reads about statistics that relate to optimisation!
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Thought I would move my discussion to about 2023 figures being the only reliable ones due to Covid here.
I’ve mentioned it on the strategies megathread. It really does appear to be a thing.
It also explains why a few strategies fell apart as the year went on.
Especially those where the big profit was 2021 and early 2022
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I wouldn’t read too much into changeover months unless it is consistent in the software that it affects it. Our only problem there is it’s really only the last 12/18 months where we can rely on uncorrupted data(due to all the Covid crap).
Would really need to see data from pre Covid to draw real conclusions, or wait a couple of years as we get a fuller picture of the new world order post Covid.
That said. Nothing wrong with a bit of caution and there will always be more racing tomorrow(or next week, month etc).
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@Benny-Grahn Oct and End Mar/April
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@Martin Yes, great insight. What months are the crossovers?
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@Benny-Grahn I will be more careful at season crossover from now on
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@Martin The strategies had a hard time
but just trust the process (and backtesting) it will recover for sure. Hopefully not with to much draw down.
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@Martin Depends on your strategy, October has been an absolutely cracking month so far for me and could be the best of 2023 (famous last words lol).
@Tony Hastie Thursdays has been the worst day by far for me but the back testing data does not support this theory, in fact it suggests its the best day by a country mile. Mondays are my best days.
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@Tony-Hastie yes I know a lot of horse traders avoid those days as the quality of racing is usually low.
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@Martin Ive started minimum staking my pre BTC DOBQOB strategy(for the records) on a sunday, monday and tuesday. Been dissecting my results and those days really stand out as quite rubbish for the horses! Gonna have to check out the strategies Im looking at here too...
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@Martin What does the stat say?
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@Joshua-Varley brutal!
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This game can be so cruel… had my very first overturned backed winner today out of thousands I’ve placed with that strategy in the last year, and wouldn’t you know it, it was 75/1
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@John-Folan hope you are feeling better mate!
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@Martin bit ill. Wasn’t great but fighting for now.
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@John-Folan where you been bud!
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Not been around lately have I missed anything?
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