The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Ok so..........another day another non dollar (few pence):

In the first race at Tampa, assuming I plan to do what I did yesterday in Charlestown (to little effect), which I do, it will be a lay of the following horses @ 2.04

17:25
Tartan The Bull
Sammys Mineshaft

One race down

Richard Latimer

Ok so..........another day another non dollar (few pence):

In the first race at Tampa, assuming I plan to do what I did yesterday in Charlestown (to little effect), which I do, it will be a lay of the following horses @ 2.04

17:25
Tartan The Bull
Sammys Mineshaft

Then, well let's just get them all out of the way so I don't lose interest posting when they all start winning/losing.

17:53
Speedy Runner

18:25
And I Know
Syzygy

18:55
City Guy
Rubenslegacy

19:27
Yabba Dabba Dude
C'era Una Volta
Just Flashy

19:59
Lake Parima
Tiz Her Way

20:30
Savage Music
Mister Storm
Danzo
Actspectation

21:02
Eric The Salesman
Embattled

21:35
Total Distraction
Fog Warning
Bats Chance

All laid @ 2.04

james everard

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Looks like UK racing will be back June 1st!

I hear on the racing Channel that the Irish Racing is returning on the 8th of June

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-futter Two weeks then , things are starting to click into place , probably best sport is slowly coming back rather than all at once for a trading perspective will help with mentalilty

Will help us not to end up back at square one as well I would think.

james everard

@martin-futter Two weeks then , things are starting to click into place , probably best sport is slowly coming back rather than all at once for a trading perspective will help with mentalilty

Martin

Looks like UK racing will be back June 1st!

Richard Latimer

Around 2.5 points down at the end of that experiment. Still think it could work with a couple of tweaks.

Firstly there was nowhere near enough liquidity last night given it was a two bit course that no one cares about (suspending midway through a race when short price fave already matched super unhelpful).

Secondly I got matched on a 5f. Too short I think.

Thirdly, matched on a couple of faves pre race so when price short as 2.5ish prob good idea to lower lay price for that horse.

May try again on Tampa tonight.

Richard Latimer

Ok well I'm thinking that may have been a scratch but for some reason betfair suspended the market inplay. FFS!!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Next the 00:54

Laying @ 2.04

Tun Tun
Brets Legacy
Antagonizer
Ready To Charm

That one no good.

Next is 01:20:

Lay @ 2.04

Caladan
Schlosser
Poshsky

Richard Latimer

Next the 00:54

Laying @ 2.04

Tun Tun
Brets Legacy
Antagonizer
Ready To Charm

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Next one unlikely to match but I'm laying Windsor Calling at 2.04 regardless in the 00:28

No chance in matching but saved a small red by leaving the ones with late pace.

Richard Latimer

Next one unlikely to match but I'm laying Windsor Calling at 2.04 regardless in the 00:28

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

So going on my idea to lay frontrunners who've dropped in price I'll be trying the following in Charlestown at midnight.

Lay:

Break Dancin
Marylee

@2.04

Considered Sing Frosty but leaving this one on account of the late pace meaning it's more likely to mount a sustained challenge until the bitter end.

Well that worked on the first race.

Richard Latimer

So going on my idea to lay frontrunners who've dropped in price I'll be trying the following in Charlestown at midnight.

Lay:

Break Dancin
Marylee

@2.04

Considered Sing Frosty but leaving this one on account of the late pace meaning it's more likely to mount a sustained challenge until the bitter end.

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Sorry I see . Certainly worth a try, an addition might be to look for early front runners but not runners who are in the top 4 for the late pace scores but whether the odds would come down low enough? What odds would you be looking to go in at 2.04?

Yeah I'm currently looking at this myself. Whether to lay Early pace 1 and 2 but leave late pace. Or lay early pace 1 and 2 at one price and late pace at a lower price.

The quicker the competing horse is travelling at the end then surely the lower that price could get.

Maybe 2.04 for the earlies and 1.51-1.52 for any earlies that also have late pace.

james everard

@richard-latimer Sorry I see . Certainly worth a try, an addition might be to look for early front runners but not runners who are in the top 4 for the late pace scores but whether the odds would come down low enough? What odds would you be looking to go in at 2.04?

Richard Latimer

@james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer Whether the data is all correct I would imagine it would be so I have traded a couple of races looking at the early 1st pace highest horses, put in a back trade just before the off and then put in a lay green all selections a few ticks down.

I'm not talking about backing any of them so if they run poorly I lose nothing. No, I'm just wondering if some of these front runners can get to a position where the price is good enough for me to lay at reduced liability without winning.

james everard

@angus-macleod Exactly what I have done but all this modern technology confuses my little brain with automation , bring back the abacus!

james everard

@richard-latimer Whether the data is all correct I would imagine it would be so I have traded a couple of races looking at the early 1st pace highest horses, put in a back trade just before the off and then put in a lay green all selections a few ticks down.

Richard Latimer

I'm considering taking a different slant to everyone else on the frontrunners found in betamerica.com and laying them in running at a much lower price.