The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[A Former User]

Thought it was a problem with my computer, just restarted it and ran updates. Annoying, because there seem to be a few good opportunities today!

[Bob]

Yep, its crashed on me with an open trade. No idea whether my exit point has been filled. Fingers crossed!

[Richard Futter]

@martin-futter typical, get some sport back and the site crashes; luckily I wasn't in mid trade so no harm done. Hope no one loses out.

[Martin]

@richard-futter yeah seems to be messed up atm

[Richard Futter]

Anyone else trading on the horse racing? The site seems to have frozen for me; not sure whether Betfair has crashed.

[Martin]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Time to start the naps table lays again. These did well from mid-May to mid-August last year, will be interesting to see how they do this year.

Found place lays to BSP to most reliable but win and place were profitable last year.

4.10 Newb Gold Wand
5.00 Yarm First Winter
5.30 Yarm You Owe Me
6.30 Yarm Craigburn
3.40 Newb Tenfold
3.30 Gowr Bucky Larson
5.40 Ling Bayar
3.20 Bev Stringybark Creek
8.30 Yarm Guvenor's Choice
7.15 Yarm Orczy

remove Stringy as one of the profitable tipsters picked them

[A Former User]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-lillis apparently lay 1.01 is a profitable strategy long term the only issue is trying to get matched as lots of people put money in at that lay price

I Have heard that a few times but not something i've ever seriously considered. I suppose an alternative would be 1.02 / 1.03 but unsure whether would still be profitble at this range.

[Martin]

Time to start the naps table lays again. These did well from mid-May to mid-August last year, will be interesting to see how they do this year.

Found place lays to BSP to most reliable but win and place were profitable last year.

4.10 Newb Gold Wand
5.00 Yarm First Winter
5.30 Yarm You Owe Me
6.30 Yarm Craigburn
3.40 Newb Tenfold
3.30 Gowr Bucky Larson
5.40 Ling Bayar
3.20 Bev Stringybark Creek
8.30 Yarm Guvenor's Choice
7.15 Yarm Orczy

[Martin]

@richard-lillis apparently lay 1.01 is a profitable strategy long term the only issue is trying to get matched as lots of people put money in at that lay price

[A Former User]

@martin-futter One got beat on the line, trading at 1.01 - Ouch!!!

[Martin]

@richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Wednesday's Selections

Results
NR
BSP 5.2 / LOW 6.00
BSP 5.92 / LOW 1.35
BSP 4.57 / LOW 1.01
BSP 4.15 / LOW 3.7
BSP 3.84 / LOW 2.8
BSP 30.00 / LOW 30.00
BSP 5.81 / LOW 1.01

nice couple of winners by the looks of it!

[A Former User]

Thursday's Selections.

[A Former User]

@richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Wednesday's Selections

Results
NR
BSP 5.2 / LOW 6.00
BSP 5.92 / LOW 1.35
BSP 4.57 / LOW 1.01
BSP 4.15 / LOW 3.7
BSP 3.84 / LOW 2.8
BSP 30.00 / LOW 30.00
BSP 5.81 / LOW 1.01

[Richard Latimer]

Poentials inplay lays for Thursday:

I'm only tracking these at prsent but if I get to 100 selections on either and it's still good I'll probably take a leap of faith.

[Richard Latimer]

Updating where I am on these winning warlock lays. Not looked at yield yet but experimenting with price points and the potential results can be seen here. Little more profit today with 2 winners and 1 loser on the one list and 2 winners, 0 losers on the other.

[A Former User]

After measuring UK races to date @ 6f, 7f & 1 mile, see results below;

6f @ 1.81 -1.05pts (5 races)
7f @ 1.81 -1.43pts (3 races)
1m @ 1.81 -2.44pts (3 races
All Lengths -4.92pts (11races)

6f @ 1.91 -1.82pts (9races)
7f @ 1.91 -0.84pts (8 races)
1m @ 1.91 -7.74pts (13races)

Will continue to collect data on 30 races @ 1.81 before moving onto 2.04

I appreciate the above isn't really enough data to measure accurately but I need to start somewhere

[Martin]

I've removed the 1 milers from lay the field

[A Former User]

Wednesday's Selections

[A Former User]

@richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Tuesday's Selections - M Johnston

Results
BSP 10.5 / Low 4.4 IR
BSP 3.42 / Low 2.88 IR
BSP 11.5 / Low 8.6 IR
BSP 9.24 / Low 7.8 IR
NR

[Richard Latimer]

@Charles-Cartwright if you're around I took your advice tonight and had another look but without all the forecasts and averages. What's left blows everything I had been doing away so far.

If it was to continue like this......well excuse my french but F**k me sideways!!!

This is just removing any inplay prices that don't go uunder 3.0 but using same criteria as before. Today was 1 win and a dead heat which as I understand it is half loss so still small profit if entering under 3.0.

More strict criteria brings up the following. Better strike rate but less than half the selections. 1 more win today.

One things for sure I'm definitely tracking this for a bit now!