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The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Horse Racing
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #5101

    I've removed the 1 milers from lay the field

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5102

    0_1591771401887_fcc8aa77-aab3-4667-ae39-45869470d0bd-image.png

    Wednesday's Selections

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5103

    @richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    0_1591682372680_3e612538-b43c-4d19-ad24-3077fc04617c-image.png

    Tuesday's Selections - M Johnston

    Results
    BSP 10.5 / Low 4.4 IR
    BSP 3.42 / Low 2.88 IR
    BSP 11.5 / Low 8.6 IR
    BSP 9.24 / Low 7.8 IR
    NR

    1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #5104

    @Charles-Cartwright if you're around I took your advice tonight and had another look but without all the forecasts and averages. What's left blows everything I had been doing away so far.

    If it was to continue like this......well excuse my french but F**k me sideways!!!

    0_1591750434560_c83b7f4e-58de-48dd-b40d-cd716e9c848a-image.png

    This is just removing any inplay prices that don't go uunder 3.0 but using same criteria as before. Today was 1 win and a dead heat which as I understand it is half loss so still small profit if entering under 3.0.

    More strict criteria brings up the following. Better strike rate but less than half the selections. 1 more win today.

    0_1591750557561_63f61930-0c74-46ae-8596-f88a642e6d09-image.png

    One things for sure I'm definitely tracking this for a bit now!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus Macleod
    wrote on last edited by
    #5105

    In all honesty I'm tempted to just paper trade for the next few weeks until some form builds up as right now it seems nuts, rank outsiders winning by lengths and even the commentators themselves have said they aren't too sure at present.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus Macleod
    wrote on last edited by
    #5106

    @martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @angus-macleod you might be right about the 1 milers!

    They've been crap for me, noticed the 1445 got 2 matched but didn't go near that as it was a 5f then the 1515 would have had 2 matched but again I didn't trade that live. Very hit and miss this in my experience🤔

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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Angus Macleod on last edited by
    #5107

    @angus-macleod you might be right about the 1 milers!

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Angus Macleod on last edited by
    #5108

    @angus-macleod I'll give these a couple more weeks and then tweak if they don't profit

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus MacleodA Offline
    Angus Macleod
    wrote on last edited by
    #5109

    I only got 1 matched in the 14:15 @1.81

    MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #5110

    missed the first how many got matched?

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #5111

    0_1591682372680_3e612538-b43c-4d19-ad24-3077fc04617c-image.png

    Tuesday's Selections - M Johnston

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5112

    @richard-lillis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    0_1591607362612_d9fe5072-a927-40de-8c0a-ecc88fb45d4c-image.png

    Today's Johnson runners - I have removed all the novice / maidens but kept all the handicaps in as wanted to get a feel for overall data rather than my selective approach - multiple runners in races isn't ideal but only paper trading so no harm done.

    Results
    BSP / Low IR
    18.89 / 12.5
    25.12 / 19.5
    9.6 / 10.00
    12.5 / 1.85
    7.00 / 5.6
    5.9 / 5.8
    8.4 / 4.6
    4.9 / 3.15
    10.5 / 10.5
    10.3 / 9.4
    43.14 / 12.00
    6.09 / 6.00
    4.8 / 3.5

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to james everard on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #5113

    @james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Not so good today. I imagine there's still something in this but until the stats software is here this is just taking me too long at the moment

    Save me trawling through the thread( being a lazy git) what strategy was you using . I have tried scalping the horse racing markets 10mins from the off and not making any money. The ltf strategy seems a non profitable strategy in the long run so scratching my head being a novice with horse racing what to get involved in?

    It was an experiment on horses listed in winning warlock as shortening well inplay over their last 5 races. Based on their average inplay price during this time as well as current price and forecast I was attempting to discern an entry point for each horse as a straight lay.

    Too time consuming when I'm doing everything manually though and with football comiing back heavy it begn to get very hectic.Will see if I can work something out when we have the horse stats.

    I can imagine hard to combine the two sports when football is like it is now. But then again you can get days like today where hardly any football (on my filters)and trading horses seems like a good idea. With little knowledge of horse racing I find it quite hard understanding some systems lol

    To be fair I got more done around the house after I finished home schooling and then went and kicked a ball in a field for half hour. I'm well happy haha!!!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    james everard
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #5114

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @james-everard said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    @richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

    Not so good today. I imagine there's still something in this but until the stats software is here this is just taking me too long at the moment

    Save me trawling through the thread( being a lazy git) what strategy was you using . I have tried scalping the horse racing markets 10mins from the off and not making any money. The ltf strategy seems a non profitable strategy in the long run so scratching my head being a novice with horse racing what to get involved in?

    It was an experiment on horses listed in winning warlock as shortening well inplay over their last 5 races. Based on their average inplay price during this time as well as current price and forecast I was attempting to discern an entry point for each horse as a straight lay.

    Too time consuming when I'm doing everything manually though and with football comiing back heavy it begn to get very hectic.Will see if I can work something out when we have the horse stats.

    I can imagine hard to combine the two sports when football is like it is now. But then again you can get days like today where hardly any football (on my filters)and trading horses seems like a good idea. With little knowledge of horse racing I find it quite hard understanding some systems lol

    https://1drv.ms/x/s!AgAENvh6njGR8wT6kcGOYgHyGFQq?e=Zo3Tic

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5115

    @alan-steward 1pt up on the email ones happy with that

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin on last edited by A Former User
    #5116

    @martin-futter Will continue to collect 25 UK races in my original 3 odds range, 1.81, 1.98 & 2.04 (i.e. same as the US) then look at 1.61 👍

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5117

    2 matched in the 12:30 @ 1.98
    2 matched in the 12:45 @ 1.98
    2 matched in the 14:45 @ 1.98
    3 matched in the 15:05 @ 1.98

    That said out of all the UK racing since it's been back today is the only profitable day thus far... But it's not over yet, could be more wins or could be more losses 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #5118

    @alan-steward i'm liking 1.61 as a full loss is not so heavy, will continue to test

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #5119

    My Bot in simulation mode is also showing 3 matched in the 15:05

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    wrote on last edited by
    #5120

    Well the 3.05 was nice, 3 matched at 1,61 for me. the photo finish is flip flopping!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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