The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

2 wins today and no losses:

Ahh the infamous treading water phase. Gets on my nerves this does. Happens to every strategy.

Haha, better than that rolling downhill at speed I guess!

[Martin]

Profit on place and win yesterday.

Win is £121.40 up and Place £32.06 up to £10 lay stakes.

Today's nap lays:

13:00 Wolv NIBRAS SHADOW
13:30 Wolv DON'T TELL CLAIRE
13:55 Kemp GALLARDISE
14:15 Rdcr SOARING STAR
15:15 Rdcr CITRON MAJOR
16:45 Rdcr REVOLVER
16:55 Kemp EMIRATES KNIGHT

Walkthrough video here:
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-rubbish-tipsters-selections

[John Folan]

Just the one today.

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

2 wins today and no losses:

Ahh the infamous treading water phase. Gets on my nerves this does. Happens to every strategy.

[Richard Latimer]

2 wins today and no losses:

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-dodd To be fair ive struggled dobbing, trobbing not so much of a problem, but the last couple of days have been iffy. They will turn tho. These are consistent over time. They do struggle at festivals though.

Here's tomorrows. 3.5-20 odds range

Don’t do the AW one as long term those are crap.

3 points back today.

[John Folan]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Nap Lays:

Small loss on the place yesterday.

13:25 NmkR
DYAMI

19:05 Ling
BREAK THE SILENCE

Profit on place and win yesterday.

Win is £111.60 up and Place £22.26 up to £10 lay stakes.

Today's nap lays:

20th June 13:15 Asct MORE BEAUTIFUL

Walkthrough video here:
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-rubbish-tipsters-selections

Full house not that hard with only one selection but hey we got a 2.18 favourite beat and place was 1.38!

Superb that was. Wicked value.

[John Folan]

@martin-dodd said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan
I’ve been trying a quick turnaround TROB on AW (to beat the handicap change) and it’s performing the best (least worse!) of everything. Not many selections but they generally do well when they appear.

I’ve got something working on the aw as well. So far. Will share if it keeps up.

[Martin]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Nap Lays:

Small loss on the place yesterday.

13:25 NmkR
DYAMI

19:05 Ling
BREAK THE SILENCE

Profit on place and win yesterday.

Win is £111.60 up and Place £22.26 up to £10 lay stakes.

Today's nap lays:

20th June 13:15 Asct MORE BEAUTIFUL

Walkthrough video here:
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-rubbish-tipsters-selections

Full house not that hard with only one selection but hey we got a 2.18 favourite beat and place was 1.38!

[A Former User]

@john-folan
I’ve been trying a quick turnaround TROB on AW (to beat the handicap change) and it’s performing the best (least worse!) of everything. Not many selections but they generally do well when they appear.

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin-dodd To be fair ive struggled dobbing, trobbing not so much of a problem, but the last couple of days have been iffy. They will turn tho. These are consistent over time. They do struggle at festivals though.

Here's tomorrows. 3.5-20 odds range

Don’t do the AW one as long term those are crap.

[Martin]

@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Nap Lays:

Small loss on the place yesterday.

13:25 NmkR
DYAMI

19:05 Ling
BREAK THE SILENCE

Profit on place and win yesterday.

Win is £111.60 up and Place £22.26 up to £10 lay stakes.

Today's nap lays:

20th June 13:15 Asct MORE BEAUTIFUL

Walkthrough video here:
https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/trading-strategies/laying-rubbish-tipsters-selections

[Richard Latimer]

All these potential inplay lays for today. I've marked out the 2* horses that won last time out as possible ones to avoid.

[Richard Latimer]

Only one qualifier today and that was a loser/winner of race.

Jungle Jane in Tipperary.

Will post up for Sat later/maybe morning.

[John Folan]

@martin-dodd To be fair ive struggled dobbing, trobbing not so much of a problem, but the last couple of days have been iffy. They will turn tho. These are consistent over time. They do struggle at festivals though.

Here's tomorrows. 3.5-20 odds range

[A Former User]

Poor again. Two more points down the toilet

I've canned DOBs for the time being...before lockdown the results were reasonable...since lockdown it's been horrid.
Still tracking them but not wasting my money until the show signs of recovery.

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Trobs 3.5-20 odds range

Poor again. Two more points down the toilet

[Martin]

Nap Lays:

Small loss on the place yesterday.

13:25 NmkR
DYAMI

19:05 Ling
BREAK THE SILENCE

[John Folan]

Trobs 3.5-20 odds range

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Fri Potential Inplay Lays:

Noticed an awful lot of 2* coming up and on top fo that noticed these had only gone 9 wins, 5 losses for pretty much break even @ 2.80.

I then decided to do a little analysing of results so far to see if I could spot a pattern.

2* are performing well in the following circumstances:

When the horse has won none of the last 5 (4 wins, 1 loss)
When the horse has won 1 from the last 5 but crucially did not win their last (5 wins, 2 losses)

I only have 2 results for this happening but both won their next race too. Food for thought and a possible exclusion later on.