The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@john-folan was Dundalk higher than your usual?
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@john-folan nice start
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Lays(currently 2.63 up)
13:25 Punchestown Arcadian Sunrise
14:25 Punchestwon Dreal Deal
14:32 Fakenham Vinnies Getaway
15:20 Nottingham Cadeau Dor
16:15 Kempton Atletico
16:45 Kempton Frozen Ocean
17:30 Dundalk Hype
19:00 Dundalk Rock The Barzah
19:30 Dundalk Storm Steps -
Today's trobs. 3.5-9 price range and no heavy as usual
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Hi guys I am a newbie to this so this maybe a simple question to you guys into horse racing.
Back to lay
What is the best percentage from starting odds to place your lay bet with this strategy.Also if you
lay 10% lower what type of strike rate do you need to be in profit long term?
Lay 20% lower what type of strike rate do you need to be in profit long term?
I apologise if these type of questions have been answered a 1000 times but if I knew the answer I wouldn’t ask.
Kind regards
GaryI don't really do this type of trade as i can't get the smaller percentages to work. Mainly because I try and bot stuff and the stop loss gets blasted through too often. The simple answer is if you are trading out for the same loss as profit if it goes wonky then 52% strike rate for both. 55% to be comfortable. If you aren't trading out for losses then 92% or 82% accordingly.
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Hi guys I am a newbie to this so this maybe a simple question to you guys into horse racing.
Back to lay
What is the best percentage from starting odds to place your lay bet with this strategy.Also if you
lay 10% lower what type of strike rate do you need to be in profit long term?
Lay 20% lower what type of strike rate do you need to be in profit long term?
I apologise if these type of questions have been answered a 1000 times but if I knew the answer I wouldn’t ask.
Kind regards
Gary -
@john-folan really good stuff, thanks for sharing!
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@cyril-reaney said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Good stuff John pretty low risk ...going right direction.
Yeah I’m a little bit rusty as well.
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Good stuff John pretty low risk ...going right direction.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Lets get these in order P/L RT
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam 0 (NR) 1.96
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief +0.98pt 2.94
13:20 Chepstow Everglow +0.98pt 3.92
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby -0.80pt 3.12
14:45 Catterick Main Fact -0.40pt 2.72
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star. -2.05.
0.67
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon. 0.98pt
19:50 Southwell Thawry. 0.98pt
1.96 points in front from the two yesterdayWe now stand at 2.63 points
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Lets get these in order P/L RT
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam 0 (NR) 1.96
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief +0.98pt 2.94
13:20 Chepstow Everglow +0.98pt 3.92
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby -0.80pt 3.12
14:45 Catterick Main Fact -0.40pt 2.72
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star. -2.05.
0.67
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon
19:50 Southwell Thawry
1.96 points in front from the two yesterday -
Lets get these in order P/L RT
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam 0 (NR) 1.96
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief +0.98pt 2.94
13:20 Chepstow Everglow +0.98pt 3.92
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby -0.80pt 3.12
14:45 Catterick Main Fact -0.40pt 2.72
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon
19:50 Southwell Thawry
1.96 points in front from the two yesterday -
@gary-brown said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Laying today:
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief
14:45 Catterick Main Fact
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam
13:20 Chepstow Everglow
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon
19:50 Southwell ThawryCurrently 1.96 points in front from the two yesterday
Is this a new system John your testing?
How should the newbie go about this mate?It's not a system. I go through looking at low priced fave's for a reason to lay them. I've always done well at it. They are literally straight one point lays.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Laying today:
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief
14:45 Catterick Main Fact
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam
13:20 Chepstow Everglow
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon
19:50 Southwell ThawryCurrently 1.96 points in front from the two yesterday
Is this a new system John your testing?
How should the newbie go about this mate? -
Laying today:
14:00 Bangor Good Boy Bobby
13:40 Catterick Rich Belief
14:45 Catterick Main Fact
12:50 Chepstow Sizeable Sam
13:20 Chepstow Everglow
16:35 Chepstow Stage Star
19:20 Southwell Lovers Moon
19:50 Southwell ThawryCurrently 1.96 points in front from the two yesterday
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Today's Trobs. Just watch the going although it should be ok at both courses. 3.5-9 odds range as usual.
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@martin-futter said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
I'm going to speak to Adam tomorrow in our weekly meeting and see if there are any strategies we can start testing before the software is ready, to start amping up interest on here!
That would be good. Laying false favourites like those two I picked last night would be a good start. I’d love to know how they price up horses. Jokers
how do you select them at the moment? see if we can add it in
I look at reasons why they might struggle
Not run distance before
Not run on surface/going
Days since last run
Crap draw(this is golden)
Up in class.
Win record.Probably more subjective than objective to be fair.
