The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Tony Hastie

@Martin Just watched your DOB video. Nice example of the stats email and live trade...what really stood out for me though was the nearly 18k of messages in your inbox. Get reading fella

Martin

@Adam has done amazing work on the Jockey and Trainer stats! So many options now to help make a good strategy

Tony Hastie

@John-Folan Had this conversation with someone else who thought the same. I really like running in the rain though so couldnt see it myself. Im not a horse though I guess...

John Folan

Just reviewing all my stuff. Most of it has a crap March. I’m wondering if the unrelenting rain has had an effect. Not talking about going. Just noticed it seem to be a common occurrence. Thoughts?

andrew page

19.00 Kempton
Just Rita looks a decent lay tonight
cant see it troubling Valtellina on known form needs to improve
and why its now favourite is totally beyond me

Laying to liability Win and laying place

Exocet missile for you guys now get on lol

andrew page

@John-Folan

Without fail its an exocet missile resisting urge to increasing stakes yet tho
not until +£500 then no doubt go onto a daily compound keeping to 1% or 2% of bank per selection not decided yet

John Folan

@andrew-page amazing how variance always hits when you either share a strategy, put money on it or increase stakes

andrew page

just for the record im a total amatuer lol

andrew page

Funky Place lays

My max entry is 10.0
slow burner project have 2 months in profit no paper trading

BSP under 10.0
+£180 over 233 lays at £10 liability
+£134 at £10 set stake 233 lays

BSP Over 10.0
-£11.04 for liability over 464 lays
-16.80 for £10 set stakes over 464
started on a downswing these almost gave up on over 10 bsp but variance swung other way

John Folan

@John-Folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Liking the look of Corach Rambler for tomorrow. Jockey is a previous winner too. C and D Winner for the horse.

Will be backing Each Way
Corach Rambler
Mahler Mission
Latenightpass.

Useless

Arran Shackell

@John-Folan I went full mug punter and put my £1 william hill freebie down on Kitty’s light which is a local horse to me.

Joshua Varley

@Andy-Donnelly what we’re the odds on your selection?

Andy Donnelly

Question, random one but is it possible to make a loss on a winner in a dead heat scenario?

Just having a dispute with Betfair. Had a winner in a 3-way dead heat and they are saying that I’ve lost money from the trade

John Folan

Liking the look of Corach Rambler for tomorrow. Jockey is a previous winner too. C and D Winner for the horse.

Will be backing Each Way
Corach Rambler
Mahler Mission
Latenightpass.

Martin

@Barry-Dewar personal choice really, you could test it and see what works for you!

John Folan

@Barry-Dewar said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Thanks @Martin, yes I watched it, very clear.

I'm just wondering if it's worth backing 2 horses in the same race? I guess any number of the horses could hit short odds in play.

If my methods throw up more than one in a race I normally do them all if they hit my odds range.

Barry Dewar

Thanks @Martin, yes I watched it, very clear.

I'm just wondering if it's worth backing 2 horses in the same race? I guess any number of the horses could hit short odds in play.

Martin

@Barry-Dewar have you watched the video in the email? well worth a watch I actually demonstrate a dob in it and say what to look for:

andrew page

16.25 Jungle Charm 2.68
has to be a nice value lay book price is 3.50
Luke morris gone 50 rides without a winner
lay to liability

Barry Dewar

OK, first full day here. Just looking at the Highlights email and planning today's racing.

I haven't tried dobbing before, I can see that for some races there are multiple horses who look like good dobbing candidates. Is it best to stick to one, or do more than one horse often hit the lay price?