The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

I wouldn’t read too much into changeover months unless it is consistent in the software that it affects it. Our only problem there is it’s really only the last 12/18 months where we can rely on uncorrupted data(due to all the Covid crap).

Would really need to see data from pre Covid to draw real conclusions, or wait a couple of years as we get a fuller picture of the new world order post Covid.

That said. Nothing wrong with a bit of caution and there will always be more racing tomorrow(or next week, month etc).

Martin

@Benny-Grahn Oct and End Mar/April

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@Martin Yes, great insight. What months are the crossovers?

Martin

@Benny-Grahn I will be more careful at season crossover from now on

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@Martin The strategies had a hard time but just trust the process (and backtesting) it will recover for sure. Hopefully not with to much draw down.

Toyin Butler

@Martin Depends on your strategy, October has been an absolutely cracking month so far for me and could be the best of 2023 (famous last words lol).

@Tony Hastie Thursdays has been the worst day by far for me but the back testing data does not support this theory, in fact it suggests its the best day by a country mile. Mondays are my best days.

Martin

@Tony-Hastie yes I know a lot of horse traders avoid those days as the quality of racing is usually low.

Tony Hastie

@Martin Ive started minimum staking my pre BTC DOBQOB strategy(for the records) on a sunday, monday and tuesday. Been dissecting my results and those days really stand out as quite rubbish for the horses! Gonna have to check out the strategies Im looking at here too...

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@Martin What does the stat say?

Martin

I think I will avoid October in future with the horse season turn around, any other months people avoid?

Martin

@Joshua-Varley brutal!

Joshua Varley

This game can be so cruel… had my very first overturned backed winner today out of thousands I’ve placed with that strategy in the last year, and wouldn’t you know it, it was 75/1

Martin

@John-Folan hope you are feeling better mate!

John Folan

@Martin bit ill. Wasn’t great but fighting for now.

Martin

@John-Folan where you been bud!

John Folan

Not been around lately have I missed anything?

Martin

@Jonathan-Jones I've locked Adam in my spare room, with a supply of bread and water until the football software is finished, so it will be a while!

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Are we going to get jocky and trainer data soon (and by that i do mean soon) because i am finding its a very good predictor that would prevent an absolute crap load of losing bets.

Wayne Thomas

Does anybody know how the class ratings are generated for Irish racing? Irish races don't have a class system like the UK, so I was wondering how the software produces the class rating.

Ryan

Has anybody any data on compounding the staking on the lay the 3rd fave strategy?