The BTC Horse Racing Thread
-
@Joseph-Henderson said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Adam Is it a simple scope filter to find price movements overnight?
Start with the "Morning price" rule, select "compare" and then compare it to the Evening Price with whichever multiplier you're looking for, e.g. 0.5 will find horses that have halved in price.
The morning price is a snapshot taken around 10:30am though I think,which is later than the highlights email as that goes out around 8am.
I'll add an "early morning price" rule so people can find the earlier moves as well.
-
@Dan-MacKinnon I've caught the last train out of Glasgow a few times....its as if the whole train is shortening
-
@Dan-MacKinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Adam I'd be interested to know where the term steaming came from. Where I'm from that's what I do to veges...and shortening is the term we use...a much more accurate description I'm sure you'd agree
If you're in Glasgow "steaming" means extremely drunk.
I was gonna say, steaming used to be the state I turned up at the kebab house in, before I got too old to even stay awake past about 8pm
I have no idea where it came from actually, it's a good question!
-
@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@Adam I'd be interested to know where the term steaming came from. Where I'm from that's what I do to veges...and shortening is the term we use...a much more accurate description I'm sure you'd agree
If you're in Glasgow "steaming" means extremely drunk.
-
@Joseph-Henderson said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Just looking through the daily horse racing email and notice a lot of “market movers” when the price has come in over night. Has anyone ever traded these price movements? I used to follow a tipster who posted tips at 8pm the day before the race, and often these prices would shorten rapidly and I could often hedge close to the race off (quick way to get gubbed by the bookies!). Would be interested to hear any ideas.
They're definitely ones to pay attention to. I wouldn't just automatically pile on just because it's moved overnight, after all maybe it's already moved as much as it's going to, is due a correction, etc etc.
It's worth trying to figure out why it's been moving and also looking at the state of the market to see if there's still steady genuine money coming in for it, and also checking the other runners - is there one particular horse that's drifting if this one is steaming or vice versa? If so maybe it's worth taking a position on that horse as well or instead.
-
@Dan-MacKinnon had a bad week myself but my ones are straight set and forget bets so I expect some variance
-
Normal order has been resumed. I was quietly pleased to have my best week last week. However, yesterday was my worst day of the year. All that good work undone. Don't know about anyone else?
This game keeps you humble!
-
@Joseph-Henderson often not much liquidity at that time can be the issue, may be worth testing though
-
Just looking through the daily horse racing email and notice a lot of “market movers” when the price has come in over night. Has anyone ever traded these price movements? I used to follow a tipster who posted tips at 8pm the day before the race, and often these prices would shorten rapidly and I could often hedge close to the race off (quick way to get gubbed by the bookies!). Would be interested to hear any ideas.
-
@Joseph-Henderson The "*" shortcut does seem to not be working, which we'll look into, but "all" and "career" both work for me.
-
@Joseph-Henderson said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Struggling to get the scope rule to target a set win rate over the career of a horse. Tried adding an asterisk, or “all” in the box but was getting an error message. Any ideas? Thanks
could you screenshot the issue and error message so we can look into it?
-
Struggling to get the scope rule to target a set win rate over the career of a horse. Tried adding an asterisk, or “all” in the box but was getting an error message. Any ideas? Thanks
-
@John-Folan I think that's always one of the things when I see people offer lifetime, they aren't under any really pressure or have any cash left to keep the motivation or software going.
-
Cheeky git at the inrunning trading tool has shut the site saying you have to have an inform sub instead. To be fair I took a £39 lifetime sub years ago and don't use the site anymore as Adam's software gives me everything I need dob wise. But still. Bit naughty that for other people.
-
@Dan-MacKinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
I must definitely being doing something wrong because this week has been my best one so far.
Then again, things had been going badly and I was thinking of having to pivot before Cheltenham.
I made back all my dob losses and moved in front on friday, saturday and today. So not a disaster. Scalping wise I had a superb week.
-
@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@andrew-page Think Ill be staying away from the horses all together next time round. Its been mentioned here, and Ive chatted to others who agree that Cheltenham messes things up for everyone...except Peter Webb
(its good for the dark art of scalping apparently)
Peter Webb is so smug I’m not surprised he’s telling everyone how great he is.
If there are 2 things in life that are guaranteed (death and taxes), there are 3 things guaranteed in Betfair trading:
- Peter Webb telling everyone how amazing he is.
- Caan Berry still being bitter about some primary school teacher who didn’t give him their full support when he was younger.
- Hueng-Min Son will score against Crystal Palace.
-
I must definitely being doing something wrong because this week has been my best one so far.
Then again, things had been going badly and I was thinking of having to pivot before Cheltenham.