The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

Odds On Lays 23/10

I will lay these just before the off. If they are not below 2.0 they are a no bet.

15:15 Doncaster Luxembourg. Highly competitive race. May not handle the soft ground having never run on it before.

16:59 Chelmsford Spirit Catcher. Under a penalty. Up against a very good horse in Windseeker. If Windseeker is a non runner this is no bet.

13:20 Galway Iberique Du Seuil. Significant increase in trip. So a question mark over stamina.

15:02 Galway Colonel Mustard. Not won for a year. Two highly competitive horses among the other runners. First run since April.

John Folan

Tomorrows will be up a little later tomorrow . I’ve got some running around to do first thing. They will be done before the first odds on races though.

John Folan

0.2 points lost on the odds on lays

John Folan

@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan

Thanks!
only did two of yours today

Picual - 1.0 point profit

and hopefully
19:30 Newcastle Mobashr

He was a non runner they had a mare with the gates

? Offline

@john-folan

Thanks!
only did two of yours today

Picual - 1.0 point profit

and hopefully
19:30 Newcastle Mobashr

John Folan

I’ve knocked up a bot for these. Will be changing things slightly in that getting on at just before the off or BSP. Will still be odds on only. I’ll also make the bot available on my Bfbot thread once I’ve made sure it works.

I’ll still post all selections in the morning. Anything that drifts over 2.0 will be a no bet. The reason for this is 90% are steaming and we can lay at better prices nearer the race.

John Folan

In the 8pm Gasee is now a non runner but Royal Invitation has been cut to 1.2. I am laying at that price

John Folan

I have three that are a little over odds on. I’ve asked for 1.9 and they will be no bets if I don’t get it.

John Folan

Odds On Lays 22/10

13:55 Cheltenham Camprond @1.37. Obvious challenger in Mars Harper. All Clenched Up is no slouch either. Can throw a race when odds on.

18:30 Newcastle Nicual. I have asked for 1.9. If I don’t get it I am leaving it alone. It’s currently hovering above evens. It is only so short as it has been in one race. It did nothing. Up against a horse with interesting parentage. In love interest.

19:00 Newcastle Pocket the Profit 1.9 asked for again not involved if I don’t get it. This one is on a hot streak and I think should be shorter. So the question now is why not? Up against Brazen Akoya who should be a lot shorter.

19:30 Newcastle Mobashr @1.56. Won LTO but first time on this surface. Off 117 days and may need a run for fitness.

20:00 Royal Invitation asked for 1.9 and not involved if I don’t get it. Up against Gaseee who was an LTO winner. No reason why he is so close to odds on and Gaseee isn’t.

13:10 Sligo Cirl DenNiege @1.9. I cannot see for the life of me why this horse is odds on. Like the look of the second favourite. These horses should be the other way around

16:35 Sligo Minella Crooner @1.7. Never run a race but odds on? Obvious threat in State of Honour

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Small profit on the odds on lays and the first double lay is in

0.5 points on the double lays

John Folan

Small profit on the odds on lays and the first double lay is in

John Folan

Bit of Dob/Trob action. Might not hit the 3.5-9 odds filters but I know some of you have success trading them different ways outside of them.

John Folan

Laid first two faves
Ludlow 14:05
Thurles 13:15
Thurles 15:30

Around a point total liability on each race

John Folan

21/10 Odds On Lays

13:00 Ludlow Full Of Light @1.48. The National Hunt Flat does not equal a hurdle race. He is favourite because he won last time out but there has to be a question mark against him. Could have a challenger in Clear The Runway.

13:30 Ludlow Sinndarella @1.84. Obvious challenger in Sporting Scopey in this three horse race. Also up in trip.

John Folan

1.1 loss on the day

John Folan

Non runner has cut the odds on the 16:55 right down. I’m only looking at a 1.1 points loss today now. Good that they adjust your liability if this happens. They reduced my lay price to 1.23

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Official Odds On Lay

16:33 Worcester Uncaver @1.88. Utter pile of crap the last two times out. Not run much at all the last year. Straight fight between her and the second favourite.

Bleurgh. Second favourite just run out of steam

John Folan

@james-rome said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@mark-maguire

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan John - know nothing about the horses and unlikely to trade them for some considerable time but really appreciating your informed comments regarding the prices, an education on going and really interesting ! Thank you !

Agree i know a little bit about horses only from match betting. I have wanted to start trading horses thing has been helpful

It’s about working out what information is best for you. Some of the comments from Timeform and such like are designed to get you backing them when they are obviously priced too low on form DSLR, inrunning price performance.

John Folan

Official Odds On Lay

16:33 Worcester Uncaver @1.88. Utter pile of crap the last two times out. Not run much at all the last year. Straight fight between her and the second favourite.

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Just laid the fave in the 16:05 at Navan. Great price and it’s a cavalry charge!

No joy but deffo worth it. Race was all over the show