The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

Small loss in the end yesterday

Odds on lays 15/11

12:45 Plumpton. Annual Invictus. On paper should win, but giving away a lot of weight to a smart jumper.

14:00 Leicester. Monarchofthegrange. Giving away a nice chunk of weight to its main rival who had a good run last time out. Worth opposing at this price

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Odds On Lays

15:30 Cheltenham I Like To Move It. Has a very obvious challenger in Washington who is on a hot streak. Also gives away some weight. Lovely straight fight between these two.

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner. Not turning down a lay at this price. Up in trip and making its hurdles bow. Good challenger in the overpriced Hamundarson who has some hurdle form. Also a bit of a cavalry charge.

13:55 Cork. Magic Daze. Again a straight fight between the top two favourites. I can’t choose between them so happy to lay at sub 2.0

These are so frustrating at the moment. However about half a points damage done. Running just under a two point loss since I started posting. Not going to cry about that too much

John Folan

When I work out what the hell I have done here I will be rich.

Its looking at horses that have trobbed in 50% or more of their last ten runs. This is the backing the win only figure based on 2% on a £1000 bank compounding every time. When Adam does the next update I should be able to extrapolate the dob and trob p and l which is what i am more interested in.

John Folan

@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner

Great work John!

+1pt

That was a cracker. I seem to be a lot better at picking these in the sub 1.5 market.

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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner

Great work John!

+1pt

John Folan

Sat in Costa this morning and set up my trades on my iPad. The horse software runs on it too

John Folan

Odds On Lays

15:30 Cheltenham I Like To Move It. Has a very obvious challenger in Washington who is on a hot streak. Also gives away some weight. Lovely straight fight between these two.

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner. Not turning down a lay at this price. Up in trip and making its hurdles bow. Good challenger in the overpriced Hamundarson who has some hurdle form. Also a bit of a cavalry charge.

13:55 Cork. Magic Daze. Again a straight fight between the top two favourites. I can’t choose between them so happy to lay at sub 2.0

John Folan

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

lost by a length and odds barely came in, annoying!

Has to be threatening the lead. I used to get the hump with that. I’ve watched the race back and I can see why it didn’t come in.

Martin

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

lost by a length and odds barely came in, annoying!

John Folan

One potential today. 3.5-9 odds as usual

John Folan

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

Martin

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Just one pace potential today for testing:

13th November Invincibility Lingfield AW 1m 1:20 PM

Timeform not showing how low this went, anyone know?

@Adam is it possible to get the data from the software as to how low it went? cheers

Martin

@john-folan just checked the trobs and they would be doing well so far, it's funny because the odds don't need to come in loads further to trob do they.

John Folan

Nothing went below 2.0 so a no bet day

Martin

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Just one pace potential today for testing:

13th November Invincibility Lingfield AW 1m 1:20 PM

3rd another place, not sure how low it went will check once the odds are up. need to keep an eye on the places

John Folan

@tomasz-lunarzewski Ended up a no bet as went off way too high. Kyntara in the 12:22 is a non runner as well

John Folan

@tomasz-lunarzewski thank I thought I’d changed it. Fat fingers lol

Tomasz Lunarzewski

@john-folan It's 12:15 Wetherby mate

John Folan

And a trob.
3.5-9 as usual

John Folan

Odds On Lays 13/11

13:55 Lingfield Desert Lime. Up against a nice couple of competitors in Bridgetown and Micks Spirit. Not really set the world on fire yet.

12:15 Wetherby Thunder Rock Up in trip. Not won at this distance. Up against a very smart horse in Cobblers Dream who has.

12:22 Uttoxeter Kyntra. Up in trip. First hurdle race. Nice challenger in Jack Sharp