The BTC Horse Racing Thread
-
Only AW racing today so nothing from me on the DTW front
-
Nothing today
-
Market Rasen called off. Ground soggy. Still horse welfare is a better excuse for postponement than Arsenals letter from their mum to get out of PE last weekend.
-
Todays. 3.5-9 odds range as usual. It's currently there so hopefully it stays
-
What is realistic status of horse racing stats ?
-
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Keep all your horse trading discussion in here!
Not sure where to start with horse racing trading? Check out our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/horse-racing-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide
-
Nothing today
-
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Today's. Two in the same race. I will do both if they are 3.5-9
Pulled up when running quite well. No joy
-
Today's. Two in the same race. I will do both if they are 3.5-9
-
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
One today. It is forecast to be between 3.5-9 so fingers crossed
Did nothing. Annoying
-
One today. It is forecast to be between 3.5-9 so fingers crossed
-
@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan I have been going back through my pace selections that I missed over the holidays and sometimes I question time form, one horse sp 7.0 apparently never traded below 7.4 in-running, lost by half a length!
I’ve had that happen a lot. Horse might not have threatened until too late. Also races with odds on favourites in seem to not move at all as everyone expects the favourite to win. This is spoken by a real saddo who loves to get into why odds don’t or do move.
-
@john-folan I have been going back through my pace selections that I missed over the holidays and sometimes I question time form, one horse sp 7.0 apparently never traded below 7.4 in-running, lost by half a length!
-
Annoying. It didn’t hit the odds filters but would have dobbed and trobbed from 6.0 upwards. I really want to look at these 3/4 class races properly.
-
I doubt todays DobTrobEin(DTW) will hit the odds filter of 3.5-9
13:00 Chepstow The Lion Dancer
-
Dobbed and trobbed for two points total profit. The win didnt happen
-
One today. Yesterday was sadly a bust
-
Finally a trade! Currently within the 3.5-9 odds range
Interestingly these would have made you 66 points in total last year
Dobs 6
Trobs 25
Win 34.Slower than prior to the pandemic but crowds weren’t allowed at races for half a year so no on site bookies and traders moving prices, plus it must have affected the standard of racing. Would expect these to do better this year. I will be able to get them out of the horse trading software. I will continue if they pull different selections to the pace trobs.
Also got my eye on doing something around the forecast price. I’ve noticed horses that are less than their forecast price tend to run well and those that are above tend to run worse. Again this can be simulated in the horse racing software. I’m quite excited about this as I think there’s a bit of untapped gold here. Hopefully the next update to the software after Adam has had the whole database restructured(he’s a clever chap), will enable me to get selections daily so we can watch what happens going forwards as well as backtesting.
-
Still nothing. Looking forward to the software now. Got a dob/trob/win strategy and it would seem a lay strategy ready to go. Adam doing a mega update soon so will see where we are after that.
I've stripped back everything I do now. I am~
Scalping.
Lay to backs
My Dob/Trob/Wins(will probably kibosh these once the software is up as the new ones provide a lot more selections and the same rates of return).I'll add in the lay I've mentioned above then see what else I can add to move away from manual trading and fully over to set and forget and automated. I'm quite happy taking on other peoples strategies as well if they look juicy :). But for now that will do me.