The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[A Former User]

@Martin @John-Folan shops were dead yesterday. Only 2 UK meetings does not convert to busy days!

[John Folan]

@martin get days like that

[Martin]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

No all weather today

same again today!

[John Folan]

0.35 points lost yesterday

Odds on lays 16/11

13:15 Fakenham Salley Gardens. Up against a very good Beaten Favourite in Presenting Yeats. Giving away a chunk of weight as well. Jump in trip might prove a problem too.

12:30 Ayr Soft Risk. Interesting race this. Favourite won LTO on the NHF back in May. Second and third favourite a bit overpriced maybe as they have decent jumps form.

[John Folan]

Have a couple of trobs. 3.5-9 odds range only. Got a dob but no trob yesterday.

[Martin]

No all weather today

[John Folan]

Small loss in the end yesterday

Odds on lays 15/11

12:45 Plumpton. Annual Invictus. On paper should win, but giving away a lot of weight to a smart jumper.

14:00 Leicester. Monarchofthegrange. Giving away a nice chunk of weight to its main rival who had a good run last time out. Worth opposing at this price

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Odds On Lays

15:30 Cheltenham I Like To Move It. Has a very obvious challenger in Washington who is on a hot streak. Also gives away some weight. Lovely straight fight between these two.

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner. Not turning down a lay at this price. Up in trip and making its hurdles bow. Good challenger in the overpriced Hamundarson who has some hurdle form. Also a bit of a cavalry charge.

13:55 Cork. Magic Daze. Again a straight fight between the top two favourites. I can’t choose between them so happy to lay at sub 2.0

These are so frustrating at the moment. However about half a points damage done. Running just under a two point loss since I started posting. Not going to cry about that too much

[John Folan]

When I work out what the hell I have done here I will be rich.

Its looking at horses that have trobbed in 50% or more of their last ten runs. This is the backing the win only figure based on 2% on a £1000 bank compounding every time. When Adam does the next update I should be able to extrapolate the dob and trob p and l which is what i am more interested in.

[John Folan]

@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner

Great work John!

+1pt

That was a cracker. I seem to be a lot better at picking these in the sub 1.5 market.

[A Former User]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner

Great work John!

+1pt

[John Folan]

Sat in Costa this morning and set up my trades on my iPad. The horse software runs on it too

[John Folan]

Odds On Lays

15:30 Cheltenham I Like To Move It. Has a very obvious challenger in Washington who is on a hot streak. Also gives away some weight. Lovely straight fight between these two.

12:20 Cork. Minella Crooner. Not turning down a lay at this price. Up in trip and making its hurdles bow. Good challenger in the overpriced Hamundarson who has some hurdle form. Also a bit of a cavalry charge.

13:55 Cork. Magic Daze. Again a straight fight between the top two favourites. I can’t choose between them so happy to lay at sub 2.0

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

lost by a length and odds barely came in, annoying!

Has to be threatening the lead. I used to get the hump with that. I’ve watched the race back and I can see why it didn’t come in.

[Martin]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

lost by a length and odds barely came in, annoying!

[John Folan]

One potential today. 3.5-9 odds as usual

[John Folan]

@martin sometimes you have to wait until the next day.

[Martin]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Just one pace potential today for testing:

13th November Invincibility Lingfield AW 1m 1:20 PM

Timeform not showing how low this went, anyone know?

@Adam is it possible to get the data from the software as to how low it went? cheers

[Martin]

@john-folan just checked the trobs and they would be doing well so far, it's funny because the odds don't need to come in loads further to trob do they.

[John Folan]

Nothing went below 2.0 so a no bet day