The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Ones to watch for the pace testing today:
12th November
Noble Albert Kempton AW 6f 4:30 PM
Howzak Kempton AW 6f 8:00 PM
Pulse of Poppy Dundalk AW 1m 4:45 PMWow Howzak all the way into 1.03 before losing! Good result for back to lay. Pulse was a dud and Noble a semi-dud.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
I go to Chelmsford sometimes with my laptop hot spotted to my phone. The advantage of being on a course is spectacular.
I keep meaning to do this - I'm west mids so Warwick, Stratford, Wolverhampton would be nearest.
May do it over one of the xmas meetings. -
@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Mental - you could see something had happened on exchange seconds before with the money that was piling onto My Drogo and then the money going onto Gin.
Oh for a drone and live footage!
I go to Chelmsford sometimes with my laptop hot spotted to my phone. The advantage of being on a course is spectacular.
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Mental - you could see something had happened on exchange seconds before with the money that was piling onto My Drogo and then the money going onto Gin.
Oh for a drone and live footage!
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Our Heroine
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@matt-ayles spectacular by Rachael Blackmore
https://twitter.com/RacingTV/status/1459166761618755587?s=20
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@matt-ayles said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Odds On Lays 12/11
14:20 Cheltenham My Drogo. Up against a very good Chase runner in Gin On Lime. Nothing to choose between them. Should be priced at evens
Please tell me people watched that race? Huge drama/entertainment which lead to our result.
Yep!!! This is why I love horse racing
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Odds On Lays 12/11
14:20 Cheltenham My Drogo. Up against a very good Chase runner in Gin On Lime. Nothing to choose between them. Should be priced at evens
Please tell me people watched that race? Huge drama/entertainment which lead to our result.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Yes great work being done by him, I sent him a message yesterday saying well done on the effort being put in!
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Odds On Lays 12/11
14:20 Cheltenham My Drogo. Up against a very good Chase runner in Gin On Lime. Nothing to choose between them. Should be priced at evens
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@matt-ayles I reckon loads. Logic says the lighter horse should be faster. But there is little logic in racing.
Not a bad site that though is it? Full of good stuff
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@matt-ayles have a read of this. I got it off flatstats which is a decent font of all knowledge which I refer to regularly.
https://www.flatstats.co.uk/blog/effect-of-weight-in-horse-racing.html
Should help us get a good discussion going. Interesting stats on the flat anyway. Surprising even.
Very interesting article. I often hear punters saying they won't back a horse under penalty, which I suppose makes sense as they win around 11% of the time, but I wonder how many would choose the horse dropping in weight over one thats under penalty?
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No joy today. Three matched. All sadly won. -1.5 points
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@matt-ayles have a read of this. I got it off flatstats which is a decent font of all knowledge which I refer to regularly.
https://www.flatstats.co.uk/blog/effect-of-weight-in-horse-racing.html
Should help us get a good discussion going. Interesting stats on the flat anyway. Surprising even.
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@matt-ayles it is always a consideration but I don’t let lower weight put me off a lay. I’ll chat properly later as I’m pushed a bit for time this morning. Flipping women
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Read the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
@John-Folan have you ever done research with your odds ons into whether the weight plays a part? Lots of odds ons are top weight or near as, but today you also have one that's almost bottom weight.
Laying horses under penalty is always worth investigating, so by the same breath perhaps the same could apply here?
No basis for this assessment, merely a passing thought.
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Big list today. Always worries me but there are reasons to lay them all
Odds On Lays 11/11
12:30 Market Rasen. Raymond Tusk. Never run hurdles. Poor recent records. Up against an LTO Winner
12:37 Sedgefield. A Different Kind. First time on Hurdles. Up against key dancer who won at this level and distance the race before last.
14:47 Sedgefield Bold Endeavour. Up substantially in distance. First time hurdler. Up against a horse who is looking good and was unlucky lto.
12:55 Taunton. Celestial Force. Has excellent competition in Secret Secret. Not set the world on fire with recent form.
17:30 Chelmsford. Gin O’clock. First time on The AW. Also this race is a cavalry charge.
15:25 Clonmel Bold Getaway. 4th in its only start 10 months ago and a switch in discipline. Quite like the look of Diamondinthemud
