The BTC Horse Racing Thread

John Folan

Nothing today

John Folan

Market Rasen called off. Ground soggy. Still horse welfare is a better excuse for postponement than Arsenals letter from their mum to get out of PE last weekend.

John Folan

Todays. 3.5-9 odds range as usual. It's currently there so hopefully it stays

Martin

@cyril-reaney we don't give dates on software releases due to the amount of things that can go wrong (a bit like video game development) all I can tell you is @Adam says it is very close now

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What is realistic status of horse racing stats ?

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@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Keep all your horse trading discussion in here!

Not sure where to start with horse racing trading? Check out our beginners guide: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/horse-racing-trading-ultimate-trading-start-guide

John Folan

Nothing today

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Today's. Two in the same race. I will do both if they are 3.5-9

Pulled up when running quite well. No joy

John Folan

Today's. Two in the same race. I will do both if they are 3.5-9

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

One today. It is forecast to be between 3.5-9 so fingers crossed

Did nothing. Annoying

John Folan

One today. It is forecast to be between 3.5-9 so fingers crossed

John Folan

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan I have been going back through my pace selections that I missed over the holidays and sometimes I question time form, one horse sp 7.0 apparently never traded below 7.4 in-running, lost by half a length!

I’ve had that happen a lot. Horse might not have threatened until too late. Also races with odds on favourites in seem to not move at all as everyone expects the favourite to win. This is spoken by a real saddo who loves to get into why odds don’t or do move.

Martin

@john-folan I have been going back through my pace selections that I missed over the holidays and sometimes I question time form, one horse sp 7.0 apparently never traded below 7.4 in-running, lost by half a length!

John Folan

Annoying. It didn’t hit the odds filters but would have dobbed and trobbed from 6.0 upwards. I really want to look at these 3/4 class races properly.

John Folan

I doubt todays DobTrobEin(DTW) will hit the odds filter of 3.5-9

13:00 Chepstow The Lion Dancer

John Folan

Dobbed and trobbed for two points total profit. The win didnt happen

John Folan

One today. Yesterday was sadly a bust

John Folan

Finally a trade! Currently within the 3.5-9 odds range

Interestingly these would have made you 66 points in total last year

Dobs 6
Trobs 25
Win 34.

Slower than prior to the pandemic but crowds weren’t allowed at races for half a year so no on site bookies and traders moving prices, plus it must have affected the standard of racing. Would expect these to do better this year. I will be able to get them out of the horse trading software. I will continue if they pull different selections to the pace trobs.

Also got my eye on doing something around the forecast price. I’ve noticed horses that are less than their forecast price tend to run well and those that are above tend to run worse. Again this can be simulated in the horse racing software. I’m quite excited about this as I think there’s a bit of untapped gold here. Hopefully the next update to the software after Adam has had the whole database restructured(he’s a clever chap), will enable me to get selections daily so we can watch what happens going forwards as well as backtesting.

John Folan

Still nothing. Looking forward to the software now. Got a dob/trob/win strategy and it would seem a lay strategy ready to go. Adam doing a mega update soon so will see where we are after that.

I've stripped back everything I do now. I am~

Scalping.
Lay to backs
My Dob/Trob/Wins(will probably kibosh these once the software is up as the new ones provide a lot more selections and the same rates of return).

I'll add in the lay I've mentioned above then see what else I can add to move away from manual trading and fully over to set and forget and automated. I'm quite happy taking on other peoples strategies as well if they look juicy :). But for now that will do me.

John Folan

No trobs from me today