The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[John Folan]

Annoyingly yesterdays would have traded lovely but drifted like a barge before the off. I am going to take a serious look at stripping out a couple of filters when the software is ready. Trading all Irish and groups 3 and 4 handicaps will probably mean we can get rid of the upper odds filters and the OR requirement, maybe some of the racetypes as well.

Nothing today.

[John Folan]

Yesterday was useless. Today's is currently operating just outside the 3.5-9 odds filters

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

An actual selection. Will only get involved if between 3.5-9 just before the off. Well I won't my bot will. #lazy

#lazy should have been the name of the horse

[John Folan]

An actual selection. Will only get involved if between 3.5-9 just before the off. Well I won't my bot will. #lazy

[John Folan]

Still nothing. This jumps season has been atrocious for selection numbers.

[John Folan]

Still no trobs. Been really poor racing this week

[John Folan]

@andrew-camp said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Many thanks.

Chelmsford was probably to blame for the lack of traction last night. It’s a shithole. The Southwell one did well. Keep at it

[A Former User]

Many thanks.

[John Folan]

@andrew-camp they all look alright pace wise. Their recent inrunning form isn’t great (last 10 races) and I would want that to have a higher percentage of dobs and trobs.

That said they will probably all smash home now as faster paced horses seem to do alright on the aw

[John Folan]

@andrew-camp said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Been playing around with looking for horses who have decent pace stats and who might produce decent chances of dobbing in-running. I'm new to this so don't follow blindly but here are four I have shortlisted for today and was wondering what people more knowledgeable than me thought:

Southwell 2.00pm: Brazen Arrow
Chelmsford 5.30pm: Dors Toyboy
Chelmsford 6.00pm: Marnie James
Chelmsford 7.00pm: Debit Card

Gimme an hour and I’ll come back. I’m Dobby the House Elf at the moment

[A Former User]

Been playing around with looking for horses who have decent pace stats and who might produce decent chances of dobbing in-running. I'm new to this so don't follow blindly but here are four I have shortlisted for today and was wondering what people more knowledgeable than me thought:

Southwell 2.00pm: Brazen Arrow
Chelmsford 5.30pm: Dors Toyboy
Chelmsford 6.00pm: Marnie James
Chelmsford 7.00pm: Debit Card

[John Folan]

While we are waiting for Adam and Co to finish working their magic on the horse software I thought I would give you an idea of what it can come up with.

This is a very simple lay system. It compares the favourite rank of the horse at breakfast time in non handicap races where it is the current favourite. It then looks at the mid morning price ranks and checksif it has drifted enough to no longer be the favourite(I:E another horse is more fancied). If it has and is no longer ranked favourite a lay will be placed 10 seconds before the off(no matter what happens to it's price after that).

These are the results. I haven't done anymore filtering yet but I will do once a few tweaks have been implemented to the strategy builder. Took me 10 minutes this did.

[John Folan]

Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle 6.2 into 6 -1 pt
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle 9 into 7.4 - 1pt
Digital 14:25 Southwell 10.5 into 3.45 +2pt
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby 6 into 4.5 -1 pt
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park 33 into 22 -1pt
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran Park 22 into 5 +2 pts

Break even. Will do more of these going forward but not today

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Right I am using the software racecards to pick these out for some back to lay action. I'll probably Trob them as I am a greedy git but you can play it by ear so 25% or a dob or whatever floats your boat. I will not be going mad staking wise as I cannot backtest this properly at the moment, but all the information available shows they tend to run well.

Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle
Digital 14:25 Southwell
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran Park

Not a disaster going for the trobs. I’ll post scores in the morning

[A Former User]

@john-folan Thank you,

[John Folan]

Right I am using the software racecards to pick these out for some back to lay action. I'll probably Trob them as I am a greedy git but you can play it by ear so 25% or a dob or whatever floats your boat. I will not be going mad staking wise as I cannot backtest this properly at the moment, but all the information available shows they tend to run well.

Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle
Digital 14:25 Southwell
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran Park

[John Folan]

My usual DTW(Dob/Trob/Win). I will only be getting involved if between 3.5-9 odds range.

[John Folan]

Nothing today from me.

[John Folan]

@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

One of my old school DTW's today

Had 0.5pt on it and greened up at just over +0.65 profit in play

I had a dob from it but it just missed the trob. They are running well enough at the moment

[A Former User]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

One of my old school DTW's today

Had 0.5pt on it and greened up at just over +0.65 profit in play