The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[Martin]

Let's see if today's lay can do better:

Odds 7.0-12 only

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Good start lol, may need to refine those strategies a bit.

Look at class. Have to say a lot of beaten faves seem to win. Whether it’s enough to be profitable or not it’s another thing entirely !

[Martin]

Good start lol, may need to refine those strategies a bit.

[Martin]

21/04/2022 18:45 Kilbeggan She Is Electric 12 Kilbeggan 7.8

Also

[Martin]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Beaten Fav Lays (Only odds between and including 6.0-11.5)

What's your strategy for these?

laying Beaten favs last time out, shows a decent profit over the long term in back-testing, not that that guarantees profit in future of course but these look decent. obviously laying at high odds so not for the fainthearted.

Couple more adding in Irish courses:

2682525 21/04/2022 18:30 Tipperary Ask Delaney N Tipperary 10
2682573 21/04/2022 19:00 Tipperary Matilda With Me N Tipperary 7

[Martin]

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Beaten Fav Lays (Only odds between and including 6.0-11.5)

What's your strategy for these?

laying Beaten favs last time out, shows a decent profit over the long term in back-testing, not that that guarantees profit in future of course but these look decent. obviously laying at high odds so not for the fainthearted.

[Martin]

@dan-mackinnon they have been added to the next update so when that goes out they will be in

[Martin]

@dan-mackinnon I've mentioned this to @Adam

[Dan MacKinnon]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I’ve got a couple of things I’m testing. Again like Martin I’m investigating course filters which seem to be a pretty major thing. I’ll make them available as I finish them.

When you say course filters, are you going to the group breakdown and looking at individual courses?

Yes. Then you can add them as actual filters

I've just done that and my SR jumped from 10% to 25%! Not all the courses are in the dropdown menu though. Have you noticed that?

[John Folan]

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I’ve got a couple of things I’m testing. Again like Martin I’m investigating course filters which seem to be a pretty major thing. I’ll make them available as I finish them.

When you say course filters, are you going to the group breakdown and looking at individual courses?

Yes. Then you can add them as actual filters

[Dan MacKinnon]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Beaten Fav Lays (Only odds between and including 6.0-11.5)

What's your strategy for these?

[Martin]

Beaten Fav Lays (Only odds between and including 6.0-11.5)

[John Folan]

@martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan when do you usually enter your trades?

10 seconds before the off

[Dan MacKinnon]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I’ve got a couple of things I’m testing. Again like Martin I’m investigating course filters which seem to be a pretty major thing. I’ll make them available as I finish them.

When you say course filters, are you going to the group breakdown and looking at individual courses?

[Robert H]

@john-folan With your trobs post it doesn't have any of todays races only the 18th

[Martin]

@john-folan when do you usually enter your trades?

[John Folan]

I’ve got a couple of things I’m testing. Again like Martin I’m investigating course filters which seem to be a pretty major thing. I’ll make them available as I finish them.

[A Former User]

@dan-mackinnon fair enough looking forward to getting involved when more places released

[Angus Macleod]

Encouraging to see folk getting stuck in with the software @John-Folan looks like the horse racing thread is no longer like your own solo blog mate

Definitely think there is something in LTF. I pissed about with it a while back at odds of 1.8 figuring that the strike rate might be higher albeit for lower gains. Difference was I was mainly placing the lays in play while watching the live feed. Essentially I was looking for horses that would bunch up in the latter portions of the race. Again, I found this seemed to happen more in competitive races but occasionally on ones with an obvious fav.

Not sure if this info is of any use as I am more of a pre race trader and was just messing about with min stakes on LTF in play.

[Martin]

I'm developing a promising looking beaten fav strategy, just need to filter courses etc then I will share