The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@andrew-camp they all look alright pace wise. Their recent inrunning form isn’t great (last 10 races) and I would want that to have a higher percentage of dobs and trobs.
That said they will probably all smash home now as faster paced horses seem to do alright on the aw
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@andrew-camp said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Been playing around with looking for horses who have decent pace stats and who might produce decent chances of dobbing in-running. I'm new to this so don't follow blindly but here are four I have shortlisted for today and was wondering what people more knowledgeable than me thought:
Southwell 2.00pm: Brazen Arrow
Chelmsford 5.30pm: Dors Toyboy
Chelmsford 6.00pm: Marnie James
Chelmsford 7.00pm: Debit CardGimme an hour and I’ll come back. I’m Dobby the House Elf at the moment
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Been playing around with looking for horses who have decent pace stats and who might produce decent chances of dobbing in-running. I'm new to this so don't follow blindly but here are four I have shortlisted for today and was wondering what people more knowledgeable than me thought:
Southwell 2.00pm: Brazen Arrow
Chelmsford 5.30pm: Dors Toyboy
Chelmsford 6.00pm: Marnie James
Chelmsford 7.00pm: Debit Card -
While we are waiting for Adam and Co to finish working their magic on the horse software I thought I would give you an idea of what it can come up with.
This is a very simple lay system. It compares the favourite rank of the horse at breakfast time in non handicap races where it is the current favourite. It then looks at the mid morning price ranks and checksif it has drifted enough to no longer be the favourite(I:E another horse is more fancied). If it has and is no longer ranked favourite a lay will be placed 10 seconds before the off(no matter what happens to it's price after that).
These are the results. I haven't done anymore filtering yet but I will do once a few tweaks have been implemented to the strategy builder. Took me 10 minutes this did.
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Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle 6.2 into 6 -1 pt
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle 9 into 7.4 - 1pt
Digital 14:25 Southwell 10.5 into 3.45 +2pt
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby 6 into 4.5 -1 pt
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park 33 into 22 -1pt
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran Park 22 into 5 +2 ptsBreak even. Will do more of these going forward but not today
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Right I am using the software racecards to pick these out for some back to lay action. I'll probably Trob them as I am a greedy git but you can play it by ear so 25% or a dob or whatever floats your boat. I will not be going mad staking wise as I cannot backtest this properly at the moment, but all the information available shows they tend to run well.
Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle
Digital 14:25 Southwell
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran ParkNot a disaster going for the trobs. I’ll post scores in the morning
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@john-folan Thank you,
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Right I am using the software racecards to pick these out for some back to lay action. I'll probably Trob them as I am a greedy git but you can play it by ear so 25% or a dob or whatever floats your boat. I will not be going mad staking wise as I cannot backtest this properly at the moment, but all the information available shows they tend to run well.
Grangeclare View 17:00 Newcastle
Mrs Bagerman 18:30 Newcastle
Digital 14:25 Southwell
Realm Keeper 14:15 Wetherby
Windsor Diamond 13:00 Gowran Park
Coko Beach 15:05 Gowran ParkRead the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
My usual DTW(Dob/Trob/Win). I will only be getting involved if between 3.5-9 odds range.
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Nothing today from me.
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@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
One of my old school DTW's today
Had 0.5pt on it and greened up at just over +0.65 profit in play
I had a dob from it but it just missed the trob. They are running well enough at the moment
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
One of my old school DTW's today
Had 0.5pt on it and greened up at just over +0.65 profit in play
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One of my old school DTW's today
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@anthony-ariss said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
18:00 Wolverhampton My Dubawi should be good for a dob/trob/win based on its last 5 races
Great stuff - had 0.5 pt at 4.40.
Let it run as it looked a winner
Nice. I stuck a point on each D/T/W, my version of a split stake I guess.. Quite confident in what I may have found
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
18:00 Wolverhampton My Dubawi should be good for a dob/trob/win based on its last 5 races
Great stuff - had 0.5 pt at 4.40.
Let it run as it looked a winner
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Just for giggles though and I got this off the new software
18:00 Wolverhampton My Dubawi should be good for a dob/trob/win based on its last 5 races.
Absolutely pissed it
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Just for giggles though and I got this off the new software
18:00 Wolverhampton My Dubawi should be good for a dob/trob/win based on its last 5 races.
Read the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
Only AW racing today so nothing from me on the DTW front
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Nothing today
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Market Rasen called off. Ground soggy. Still horse welfare is a better excuse for postponement than Arsenals letter from their mum to get out of PE last weekend.
