The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Martin

@panagiotis said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@martin Was back the fav @ 2.0 - 7 and lay Short odds 1.8 -2.4

Are you sure the lay short odds was in the right odds range? It would have needed to be odds between 2.0-2.40 to conflict

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@john-folan The two at Limerick didn’t fire for me today John, not sure what’s happened there as it’s not in my excluded tracks list.

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@martin Was back the fav @ 2.0 - 7 and lay Short odds 1.8 -2.4

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I shall be laying the favourites in these races 10 seconds before the start time subject to the following conditions:

Number of Runners 4-14.
Odds Between 1.8-2.4.
DSLR: 3-200.

Full strategy available here in the pinned post.
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-shared-strategies-megathread-downloads

2/3 for me today. Hits in the 14:05 Limerick (L), 14:48 Kelso (W) and 15:05 Limerick (W). Not quite a point profit but close.

Martin

@panagiotis if it's the same horse then I would leave it, that should be fairly rare, what two strategies was this on?

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Hello, @Martin

Im new here and very happy to join you guys.

I would like to follow all 6 horse strategies BUT i saw that many bets are inverse with other strategies.
For example, i found a horse to back and to the next strategy to lay.

What i need to do there in order to do it correctly?

John Folan

I shall be laying the favourites in these races 10 seconds before the start time subject to the following conditions:

Number of Runners 4-14.
Odds Between 1.8-2.4.
DSLR: 3-200.

Full strategy available here in the pinned post.
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-shared-strategies-megathread-downloads

John Folan

@robert-cooke said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan do you have the match me turned on at Betfair. Thanks

Yes. Seems quite efficient.

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@john-folan do you have the match me turned on at Betfair. Thanks

John Folan

It was that one. It must have hit 2.4 for a millisecond. My bot asks for a price 2 ticks worse to ensure matching but in this case I was matched at 2.4 as I’ve got the best price available turned on in Betfair.

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@robert-h Malaita in the 14:48 at Catterick. It went off at 2.42 I think so that may be why it didn’t trigger for you. John’s bot triggers anything that’s two ticks bigger than the 2.40 threshold I believe.

Robert H

@john-folan Can I know which one traded as my bot didn't fire and just want to see why. Thanks

John Folan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I shall be laying the favourites in these races 10 seconds before the start time subject to the following conditions:

Number of Runners 4-14.
Odds Between 1.8-2.4.
DSLR: 3-200.

Full strategy available here in the pinned post.
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-shared-strategies-megathread-downloads

One trade and it was a winning one

John Folan

I shall be laying the favourites in these races 10 seconds before the start time subject to the following conditions:

Number of Runners 4-14.
Odds Between 1.8-2.4.
DSLR: 3-200.

Full strategy available here in the pinned post.
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/3531/horse-racing-shared-strategies-megathread-downloads

John Folan

@greg-mitchell said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I wasn’t being critical, I just wanted to understand how @John-Folan made profit and I didn’t.. obviously liability v stake makes a massive difference.. and I’m fine with that.

Honestly, liability is the way to go. Anything I lay over 3.0 is done to a liability. Any football included. I can manage the downturns a lot better(less meltdowns)

Greg Mitchell

I wasn’t being critical, I just wanted to understand how @John-Folan made profit and I didn’t.. obviously liability v stake makes a massive difference.. and I’m fine with that.

John Folan

@karl-pick said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

I think the point everyone is missing, its a Marathon not a sprint!!
Everyone gets different Odds as no one can press GO at the same time, hence the variance from one person to another, even if we are all trading the strategy!!
The other thing is if every bet WON we wouldn't be still be trading..... well maybe but in sunnier climates!

Put a lot quicker and more sensibly than me lol

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I think the point everyone is missing, its a Marathon not a sprint!!
Everyone gets different Odds as no one can press GO at the same time, hence the variance from one person to another, even if we are all trading the strategy!!
The other thing is if every bet WON we wouldn't be still be trading..... well maybe but in sunnier climates!

John Folan

Now the Software results
LTBF. One les selection hit and I did 0.2 of a point better than the software

SOL. I had two more selections as they were borderline so i did 0.7 worse than the software

Do I care? No. Because it all irons itself out in the end.

John Folan

These are taken from my bot results

Lay the Beaten Favourites to a fixed liability with my cash p and l deleted. Net profit and loss for each one

Short Odds Lays. To flat stakes