The BTC Horse Racing Thread

[John Folan]

@adam said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Anyone else looking at the course characteristics in the software as a filter? I am thinking that it is probably more reliable than course filters as there is a much bigger dataset

I think this is a good idea in combination with pace and going. "Galloping" tracks suit longer striding horses that like to, well, gallop, without turning sharply. Sharp courses suit the more nimble horses. "Stiff" courses can knacker the horse out due to the rises, especially when the going is soft.

Glad you agree there. It makes a different in a fair few strategies. Nice datasets as well.

[Adam]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Anyone else looking at the course characteristics in the software as a filter? I am thinking that it is probably more reliable than course filters as there is a much bigger dataset

I think this is a good idea in combination with pace and going. "Galloping" tracks suit longer striding horses that like to, well, gallop, without turning sharply. Sharp courses suit the more nimble horses. "Stiff" courses can knacker the horse out due to the rises, especially when the going is soft.

[John Folan]

Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[John Folan]

Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[John Folan]

Anyone else looking at the course characteristics in the software as a filter? I am thinking that it is probably more reliable than course filters as there is a much bigger dataset

[John Folan]

Nothing from me today but a little update and a new strategy in the megathread

[A Former User]

Hi Jon I've just started following your back maiden favs strategy, I've noticed last night and this morning that in the 1.00 and 1.35 at Nottingham two different selections were posted, posted posiedon Prince, yesterday , and tephi this morning and the same in the 1.35 , also there's a 20/1 outsider in the 2.00 at bellewstown, can you tell me how to play these do I go with the last named selections or just back the unnamed fav in the the advised races. Many thanks.

[John Folan]

Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[A Former User]

@jonathan-jones Thanks Jonathan

[A Former User]

@ian-wylie Will be Wine i think. I dont get anything like that on windows. Did have a few issues with fairbot but most resolved after swapping to the streaming api. I have never seen freezing or anything like that.

[John Folan]

Was too short. Looks like it did nothing

[John Folan]

A day like yesterday would be nice.

Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[John Folan]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Nothing hit the odds range yesterday. Shame as they both would have traded well.

Today's
Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

Drifted like a barge and then stormed home. Nice easy two points trob

[John Folan]

Nothing hit the odds range yesterday. Shame as they both would have traded well.

Today's
Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[John Folan]

Today's
Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[A Former User]

Hi guys,

Was wondering if anyone has come across this situation. I was doing some in play on a race today using Fairbot and thought I had a small profit as per the screenshot from Fiarbot below as Super Chief won the race.

However when I looked at the Betfair web page I saw the following:

The screenshots were taken within a few seconds of each other.

I have noticed a few issues before with Fairbot where it will freeze for a few seconds and then catch up but didn't notice anything like that during this race. Has anyone else come across similar issues?

I've been watching a number of the video's on Alistair Hamilton's YouTube page and he mentioned on one of them that he was having issues with Fairbot freezing now and again. Like him I'm running Fairbot on Linux via Wine so not sure if it's a Fairbot issue or something to do with the Wine implementation.

Cheers,
Ian

[John Folan]

Today's
Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.

[A Former User]

@martin been doing a similar trade last start beaten faves on a freshen up(45+days since raced)

I want to start looking into last start beaten faves dropping in distance that have raced within 30days of last start(maybe 21 days but selections would be very small i think). I think there may be an edge on that strategy. Its a common rule not the back a beaten fave dropping back in distance

[John Folan]

@martin it looks alright. But it’s staking it differently and laying to a fixed liability is always a slower burn. I’ll whack it up in the next couple of days.

[Martin]

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

No match yesterday and no selections today. There will be selections for flat pace and short odds lays if you have the software. Also my newest toy Beaten Favourites Lays which is doing nicely after 6 weeks of testing. I'll post it up soon in the megathread

Colour me intrigued!