The BTC Horse Racing Thread

Nick Allan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

The short odds lays and beaten favourites are kicking on lovely. New bank highs for both. Stakes starting to look interesting now.

Probably need the speed ratings or some other stats to build a dobbing strategy for shorter priced horses (2-15 range). They will be here soon enough. @Adam has built a beast with this software.

Fantastic for laying strategies. Especially liability lays as odd increase which I use for the beaten faves. My strategy is similar to the variation on Martins that Dan posted a week or so ago in this thread.

I’m over the moon with it.

Hey john i dont remember seeing a beaten favs strategy on the main page is this one you have john? and would you mind sharing the set up so i can test it? I love the shorts odds lay as it doesnt have big drawdown and is very consistent which is good for when you up the stakes

Ryan

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

0_1668523149182_rules_export-laybeatenfav.json

top man thank you

John Folan

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Something that I've really enjoyed looking at is the lay strategies on the software. I think it suits my trading style more having lots of small wins and the occasional big loss, but (hopefully) overall heading in the right direction.

I had a mess around with Martin's Beaten Favourite. The filter is here 0_1668523149182_rules_export-laybeatenfav.json

It has a really decent strike rate and when I went through the individual results there were only 251 losing trades from c.2,900

Using £1 flat stakes this is what I got

But after listening to Martin's YouTube Q&A video he mentioned wanting to know your liability. This is something I never really thought about as I see this as a hobby. I then thought what if I changed it to a fixed liability so I went into every trade like it was a placing a bet and I've written off my £14 from a worst-case scenario.

This is using £14 liability from a £100 bank.

The software is really good at running the numbers on a thought experiment like that!

@Ryan These ones. @Martin I think these need to be added to the megathread.

Martin

@greg-mitchell I’ll tag @Adam

Greg Mitchell

Is there an easy way in the Software to set a minimum number of criteria, rather than the "All, Any or None" options that are there currently.

So say for example, I have 6 different criteria and I want to pick any selection that meets at least 4 of them?

John Folan

@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan same for me! Another clean sweep today.

I've got my Betfair account using a bot with fixed liability which is going great. I wanted an "adventurous" option, so I have been using Beaten Favourites on my Betdaq account with aggressive staking and the results have been crazy.

Seriously toying with doing a flat stakes version. The p and l is mental. Could be a laugh to just let it go

Dan MacKinnon

@john-folan same for me! Another clean sweep today.

I've got my Betfair account using a bot with fixed liability which is going great. I wanted an "adventurous" option, so I have been using Beaten Favourites on my Betdaq account with aggressive staking and the results have been crazy.

John Folan

The short odds lays and beaten favourites are kicking on lovely. New bank highs for both. Stakes starting to look interesting now.

Probably need the speed ratings or some other stats to build a dobbing strategy for shorter priced horses (2-15 range). They will be here soon enough. @Adam has built a beast with this software.

Fantastic for laying strategies. Especially liability lays as odd increase which I use for the beaten faves. My strategy is similar to the variation on Martins that Dan posted a week or so ago in this thread.

I’m over the moon with it.

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@martin ah okay mate, do you have anything from when you previously run it?

Martin

@james-ryan not used this one in a long time should probably remove it, could be worth testing though

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Hi I’m looking for a ongoing profit and loss tracker for the “timeform trouble” strategy, in the strategy’s section on the dashboard. Would anyone be able to share one with me or point me in the right direction. I’m trying to see how profitable this strategy is ECT

Thanks

John Folan

John Folan

@robert-cooke said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@john-folan hi John . Is the flat pace strategy still good
to use? Thanks

Bit swingy. But if that’s your thing it should be ok. The longest losing run is worth considering though

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@john-folan hi John . Is the flat pace strategy still good
to use? Thanks

Dan MacKinnon

Looking at this there are only 4 tomorrow and I know I've excluded Doncaster and Ffos Las from a few of my strategies so expect slim pickings then

https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/tomorrow

Adam

@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

@dan-mackinnon You will appreciate this then An oldie but a goldie.

That is classic!

Rick Watson

@john-folan top man thanks im glad i never botherd adam

John Folan

@rick-watson said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:

Hi all over the past week or so i have been getting fewer and fewer selections come up on stratergies im following. i also saw a few others mention this and also saw adams comment . now question for the regular / old school horse racing gurus. is this because of the types of races on at the mo and how few they are or shall i bother adam. id rather not bother adam at the mo as looking forward to the back testing on the new footy software being developed. cheers in advance

There isn’t many meets at the moment. All Weather is on a break(except Dundalk in Ireland running as normal and Wolves this Saturday) until the 27th.

Will be slim pickings until then.

I can’t wait for the meltdown at the number of races on Boxing Day though. Busy day that.

Rick Watson

@martin i do this is why i put it out there rather than bothering adam. im really looking for someone who knows horse racing seasons as i suspect that the seasons not matching criteria on strats,

Martin

@rick-watson do you filter out courses or race types in your strategies?