The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@dan-mackinnon You will appreciate this then
An oldie but a goldie.Read the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
Don't know about anyone else but loads of horse racing today.
Something else that I never truly appreciated is the inventiveness of naming horses. "Bob Malhey is trailing AvAnotherOne by 2 lengths"
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Something that I've really enjoyed looking at is the lay strategies on the software. I think it suits my trading style more having lots of small wins and the occasional big loss, but (hopefully) overall heading in the right direction.
I had a mess around with Martin's Beaten Favourite. The filter is here 0_1668523149182_rules_export-laybeatenfav.json
It has a really decent strike rate and when I went through the individual results there were only 251 losing trades from c.2,900
Using Ā£1 flat stakes this is what I got
But after listening to Martin's YouTube Q&A video he mentioned wanting to know your liability. This is something I never really thought about as I see this as a hobby. I then thought what if I changed it to a fixed liability so I went into every trade like it was a placing a bet and I've written off my Ā£14 from a worst-case scenario.
This is using Ā£14 liability from a Ā£100 bank.
The software is really good at running the numbers on a thought experiment like that!
This is doing great at the moment @Dan-MacKinnon
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I read somewhere the flat including all weather are taking a break
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@mrs-h-m-price said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
why is there so little racing on atm? 3 meetings yesterday and only 2 today? Seems low...
Quite common this time of year tbh.
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why is there so little racing on atm? 3 meetings yesterday and only 2 today? Seems low...
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Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.
These are really slow at the moment. Struggling to find a decent dob/trob strategy on the software that provides enough selections. I want the moon on a stick i do.
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Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.
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@nick-allan Here you go.
Randomly the software had three matched yesterday and only two matched mine. I'm pretty sure it's just a pricing issue as they were all pretty borderline.
I'm going in at 10 seconds out and by price is increased by 2 ticks to ensure they get matched. Rainbow Sky I just checked on the software race card and there is no DSLR showing. My bot has a DSLR filter of 3-200 days in line with the software version 2 on the megathread. that is the only reason I can see for no bet being placed. I've literally automated the whole strategy on bfbot so all i have to do is turn the bot on. The conditions match the software perfectly. Any differences are now purely price. You might want to make sure your bot is refreshing at the fastest rate. I think if you turn on exchange streaming you can get a speed of 20ms with bet angel. Sadly I don't think you can filter conditions as well as Webb just won't add them.
Oh and when you have sped Bet Angel up fire up a market thatās due to go off in the next 10 minutes and watch how fast the prices move. Mental and explains why a few will be off in their price or might or might not place. I donāt think itās ever going to be an exact science. But as long as you are close that will be good enough.
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Cracking day on the short odds lays. 4/4.
errrr only fired on 2, one won one lost.......................
the level of inconsitency of results can be so frustating, its normally an automation issue i know but i cant follow racing all day. Which races were they john so i can take a look at my logs
these are the 2 i got
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Cracking day on the short odds lays. 4/4.
errrr only fired on 2, one won one lost.......................
the level of inconsitency of results can be so frustating, its normally an automation issue i know but i cant follow racing all day. Which races were they john so i can take a look at my logs
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@john-folan thanks john, means a lot
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Classic Trobs: Trob any between 3.5-9 as close to the off as you can. Avoid Heavy Ground.
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
is there an option in individual trades to take saturdays out of results?
Yes, there's a day of week strategy rule. Before you exclude it, you could also change the results presentation to "Day Of Week" to show the breakdown by day, so you can get an idea of the impact of different days.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Cracking day on the short odds lays. 4/4.
Nice. My bot only fired on 3 of them wonder why the other wasnt placed
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@greg-mitchell said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@greg-mitchell itās difficult I think if you have been trading football. The favourite rarely changes. Overs/Match odds etc. horse racing is massively more fluid and so many things can affect that which selection is valid or not.
Definitely! I wasnāt being rude, was just speaking from experience, so much changes and a lot quicker on the horses..
Does my brain in sometimes. Takes a long time to get your head around it. I still get tripped up on occasion. I donāt mind that though. Stops me getting cocky. Thereās some good discussions on here and @Nick-Allan has highlighted a lot of things we need to be careful of.
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Cracking day on the short odds lays. 4/4.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@greg-mitchell itās difficult I think if you have been trading football. The favourite rarely changes. Overs/Match odds etc. horse racing is massively more fluid and so many things can affect that which selection is valid or not.
Definitely! I wasnāt being rude, was just speaking from experience, so much changes and a lot quicker on the horses..
