The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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Anyone know what happened in the 16:45 at Cheltenham today?
Fiercely Proud looks to have been removed at 16:54, 9 minutes after the race was supposed to go off!
Was he arsing about, caused a massive delay and eventually got removed at the last minute?
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@John-Folan currently in Corfu putting on the 2 stone you've lost. Almost tempted to fire up the VPN but there's too much food around
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@John-Folan think I have one I'm testing until January, if I do and it is good will share it
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@Martin said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@John-Folan been up and down for me, always seems to be the way with the changing seasons
This is why I’d love a good all weather strategy. Although even that is different winter to the summer
Read the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
@John-Folan been up and down for me, always seems to be the way with the changing seasons
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How’s everyone doing? Had a bit of a break. Been quite nice actually. Left the automation going and done nothing else. Managed to lose nearly two stone as well through diet and exercise. Ready to get back on the daily scalping and manual stuff again.
Read the first post on both threads.
Horse Trading Resources
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/1111/john-s-horse-trading-resourcesBfBotmanager
https://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/2915/bfbotmanager-automation-discussion -
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@Tony-Hastie I used to be like that!
'well it's in the red so it must be rubbish!'
Tested for one day...
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@Martin Was about 4 points but Im getting better
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@Martin Personally I get grumpy if I end a single month with a loss on a strategy
I'd usually stick it out for a quarter though and then look at the history to see if such a losing run has ever happened before and take a view.
If it's a strategy with bets all year round and there's been no return for a quarter, I'd definitely be thinking about moving on as there are better opportunities.
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@Tony-Hastie they must have been a long way from Manchester then as the weather here is awful
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@Martin The races I managed to catch didnt look to have any adverse weather. Only 2 meets and not many selections across all my(3) strategies but a profit day is a good day!
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@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
what does the draw bias number actually mean?
It's a relative measure of how favourable a particular stall is to winning the race. A value of 1.0 would mean that, all other things equal, the horses running from that stall have the same chance as every other stall of winning.
Below 1 means there's a bias towards losing the race and above 1 means there's a bias towards winning the race.
@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Is it something best used for a single course
Each combination of course, race type, distance and stall has its own draw bias value, so the course is already kind of baked in. That being said, I do sometimes still include those rules in strategies as well to reinforce the figure. Chester and Pontefract are good examples but most people know about the draw bias already so it can be harder to find value. Our draw bias figure helps you find lesser known draw biases.
@Tony-Hastie said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
We should be backing a horse running from that stall?
You're usually going to be backing a stall with a draw bias greater than 1 and laying a stall with a draw bias less than 1.
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@Martin Im not sure where to start! Somewhere I guess....Is it something best used for a single course(ive seen chester mentioned a bit) or can it be added to a strategy. And what does the draw bias number actually mean? We should be backing a horse running from that stall? I really have no idea! An explanation would make a good vid for youtube
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@Tony-Hastie @Adam is looking at adding weather in, what are you struggling with on draw bias? may be able to help!
