The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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The short odds lays and beaten favourites are kicking on lovely. New bank highs for both. Stakes starting to look interesting now.
Probably need the speed ratings or some other stats to build a dobbing strategy for shorter priced horses (2-15 range). They will be here soon enough. @Adam has built a beast with this software.
Fantastic for laying strategies. Especially liability lays as odd increase which I use for the beaten faves. My strategy is similar to the variation on Martins that Dan posted a week or so ago in this thread.
I’m over the moon with it.
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Hi I’m looking for a ongoing profit and loss tracker for the “timeform trouble” strategy, in the strategy’s section on the dashboard. Would anyone be able to share one with me or point me in the right direction. I’m trying to see how profitable this strategy is ECT
Thanks
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@robert-cooke said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@john-folan hi John . Is the flat pace strategy still good
to use? ThanksBit swingy. But if that’s your thing it should be ok. The longest losing run is worth considering though
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@john-folan hi John . Is the flat pace strategy still good
to use? Thanks -
Looking at this there are only 4 tomorrow and I know I've excluded Doncaster and Ffos Las from a few of my strategies so expect slim pickings then
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@dan-mackinnon You will appreciate this then An oldie but a goldie.
That is classic!
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@john-folan top man thanks im glad i never botherd adam
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@rick-watson said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Hi all over the past week or so i have been getting fewer and fewer selections come up on stratergies im following. i also saw a few others mention this and also saw adams comment . now question for the regular / old school horse racing gurus. is this because of the types of races on at the mo and how few they are or shall i bother adam. id rather not bother adam at the mo as looking forward to the back testing on the new footy software being developed. cheers in advance
There isn’t many meets at the moment. All Weather is on a break(except Dundalk in Ireland running as normal and Wolves this Saturday) until the 27th.
Will be slim pickings until then.
I can’t wait for the meltdown at the number of races on Boxing Day though. Busy day that.
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@rick-watson do you filter out courses or race types in your strategies?
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Hi all over the past week or so i have been getting fewer and fewer selections come up on stratergies im following. i also saw a few others mention this and also saw adams comment . now question for the regular / old school horse racing gurus. is this because of the types of races on at the mo and how few they are or shall i bother adam. id rather not bother adam at the mo as looking forward to the back testing on the new footy software being developed. cheers in advance
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@angus-macleod it’s addictive as well. It rears its head at least once a year
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@dan-mackinnon You will appreciate this then An oldie but a goldie.
" ...I'm lovin' it, lovin' it lovin' it... this made my morning
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@dan-mackinnon You will appreciate this then An oldie but a goldie.
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Don't know about anyone else but loads of horse racing today.
Something else that I never truly appreciated is the inventiveness of naming horses. "Bob Malhey is trailing AvAnotherOne by 2 lengths"
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@dan-mackinnon said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
Something that I've really enjoyed looking at is the lay strategies on the software. I think it suits my trading style more having lots of small wins and the occasional big loss, but (hopefully) overall heading in the right direction.
I had a mess around with Martin's Beaten Favourite. The filter is here 0_1668523149182_rules_export-laybeatenfav.json
It has a really decent strike rate and when I went through the individual results there were only 251 losing trades from c.2,900
Using £1 flat stakes this is what I got
But after listening to Martin's YouTube Q&A video he mentioned wanting to know your liability. This is something I never really thought about as I see this as a hobby. I then thought what if I changed it to a fixed liability so I went into every trade like it was a placing a bet and I've written off my £14 from a worst-case scenario.
This is using £14 liability from a £100 bank.
The software is really good at running the numbers on a thought experiment like that!
This is doing great at the moment @Dan-MacKinnon