The BTC Horse Racing Thread
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@lee-colvin bot didn't fire any short odd lays today, but the C&D winners was more than enough to make up for it.
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
What was your two today matey? Just the one that fired for me, 14:35 at Kelso which was a lovely little winner
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I had a few good wins on some of the backing strategies today, haven't got back to the bot to check which strategy they came from!
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@john-folan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
Just need back the fav to start producing now, been poor for a good few weeks.
Have made up everything i lost from those 2 terrible days at the end of January on the short odds lays, long may this continue and hope the profit rolls on now. -
2/2 for me today.
Looking forward to Adam’s addition re odds differences between horses ala Little Acorms. Should give us more angles to trade backing and laying.
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@jonathan-jones said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
0_1676290841246_Pace Backs New.json
A new version of the pace backs taking into account what another user suggested. The thing i really like about the equity curve on this is there is a clear pattern. The equity curve is similar in both years, for example shows good growth over the summer but in both years October and November are flat.
Really interested in these. Let’s hope they start like a rocket in March as is suggested
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6.5 points in two days, flying this month John
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It’s nice to get the positive variance. I like these because of the low liability. Just have to suck up the losing cycles.
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@john-folan a couple of good days in a row for me, long may it continue
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Cracking day
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0_1676290841246_Pace Backs New.json
A new version of the pace backs taking into account what another user suggested. The thing i really like about the equity curve on this is there is a clear pattern. The equity curve is similar in both years, for example shows good growth over the summer but in both years October and November are flat.
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@chris-osborne
Its working for me now. Just had about 10 mins where fairbot wasnt connecting and the website wouldnt load at all.
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@jonathan-jones Fine for me on both website and Fairbot
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Is betfair dead?
Cant log on either fairbot or the website. -
@adam
Things have improved massively and its still improving.
As i said its only a couple of the strategies that have this issue, Others are fine.And, i have Offered solutions to get over that limitation AND have commented on the fact they do make the results more reliable.
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@nick-allan said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
@jonathan-jones interesting jonathan, keep us posted with results as i for one would be interested. Yes lay the beaten fav is struggyling of late, but not sure why. And yes the backtesting is impressive but in the live enviromentment over the last 2 months its not
All I can suggest is that you make sure you're testing what you think you are. The backtesting is telling you what actually happened, it's not trying to make any "impressive" predictions.
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@joshua-varley said in The BTC Horse Racing Thread:
to
Yes it would. It would reduce the inconsistency but not eliminate it entirely.
But,
If you test that in the backtester entering at 10 seconds with the favourite conditions reduces profitability to 389 while removing the criteria and still entering 10 mins before start only reduces it to 429 (and, by moving the time you are only reducing the inconsistency, not eliminating it).Lay the beaten fav also has this problem. There are loads of other criteria you cant use either because of this.
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@jonathan-jones interesting jonathan, keep us posted with results as i for one would be interested. Yes lay the beaten fav is struggyling of late, but not sure why. And yes the backtesting is impressive but in the live enviromentment over the last 2 months its not
