Daily Football Selections Thread - No Chat

[Richard Latimer]

Rules for FL make a little bit of sense but not completely so if anyone has any suggestions as to a logical reason do make your suggestions in the footy thread haha!! High offensive numbers I get, low odds for fave I get. Low offensive numbers, not so much. Fave odds of 1.40-1.49 not so much. Fave odds of 1.3-1.39 doing so bad......not so much.

FL2 (another 2H goals filter) falls into play I would imagine the same rule of fave losing at HT would apply. Other than that I have no more stipulations right now. 0-0, 1-1.....it's hopefully all good!

[Martin]

Betgreen: LTD at start green up if there is a goal before 70mins if not take the loss. 90% strike rate currently

491885 Scotland Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Ross County Motherwell
491813 England League One 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Sunderland Bolton
491807 England League One 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Oxford Utd Lincoln City
491855 England Premier League 26/12/2019 17:30:00 Manchester United Newcastle Utd
491782 Belgium Jupiler League 26/12/2019 19:30:00 St. Liege Gent

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

491844 England National League South 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Chelmsford Braintree
491851 England Premier League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Chelsea Southampton
491884 Scotland Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Rangers Kilmarnock
491791 England National League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Harrogate Hartlepool
491874 England Championship 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Luton Fulham

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

491844 England National League South 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Chelmsford Braintree
491795 England National League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Yeovil Torquay
491808 England League One 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Peterborough Doncaster
491882 Scotland Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Aberdeen Livingston
491825 England National League North 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Kings Lynn Boston
491846 England National League South 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Dulwich Hamlet Hampton & Richmond
491863 England League Two 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Mansfield Port Vale
491885 Scotland Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Ross County Motherwell
491879 England Championship 26/12/2019 19:30:00 Reading QPR

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

491832 Italy Serie B 26/12/2019 14:00:00 Livorno Pescara
491833 Italy Serie B 26/12/2019 14:00:00 Salernitana Pordenone
491871 England Championship 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Cardiff Millwall
491872 England Championship 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Charlton Bristol City
491797 Northern Ireland Nifl Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Crusaders Cliftonville
491873 England Championship 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Hull City Nottingham
491791 England National League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Harrogate Hartlepool
491786 England National League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Barnet Boreham Wood
491882 Scotland Premiership 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Aberdeen Livingston
491869 England Championship 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Barnsley West Brom
491851 England Premier League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Chelsea Southampton
491792 England National League 26/12/2019 15:00:00 Notts County Maidenhead
491782 Belgium Jupiler League 26/12/2019 19:30:00 St. Liege Gent
491856 England Premier League 26/12/2019 20:00:00 Leicester Liverpool

[A Former User]

Today's trades

Thought I'd tidy up today's trades before I go out... Big party day today around my mates house so will do my best to trade above games should hit first two okay... After that who know's lol.

[james everard]

That time of year again where not a lot of football is played apart from the Uk. Nothing on my filters for today only the following matches to lay the underdog if they take the lead

17.00pm Bahrain- East Riffa v Al-Muharraq ( Lay the home side) currently 48 gone 0-0 but even inplay stats
17.40pm Israel Leumit League -Hapoel Petah Tikva v Hapoel Afula ( lay away)
19.45pm English Champ- Blackburn Rovers vs Wigan ( lay away)

[Richard Latimer]

On The Comeback:

Fashionably Late (2H goals)

High offensive numbers on the first 3 so I'd be confident of a goal there. Blackburn game currently has home odds of 1.76 ave. Only 2 selections with these odds is a 50/50 split on 2 selections. In the 1.6's range it improves to around 75/25 from 4. Small numbers. The only selections so far in 1.7's range are away favourites. The 1.6's are 100% from 2 selections with a home favourite and 50/50 split from 2 selctions with an away favourite. Again small numbers but I'm putting this out here for information only.

[james everard]

Watchlist for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
13.00pm German 3rd Liga- Ingolstadt v Jena
14.00pm Italy Serie B- Pescara v Trapani
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Dusseldorf v Union Berlin
16.30pm English Prem League- Tottenham vs Chelsea
19.45pm Italy Serie A- Sassuolo v Napoli

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
16.00pm Turkey Super League- Fenerbahce v Besiktas

LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 FH GOALS
13.00pm Greece Football League - PAE Egaleo v PO Triglia
16.30pm English Prem - Tottenham vs Chelsea
19.00pm Bolivian - Oriente Petrolero v Royal Pari
19.45pm Italy Serie A- Sassuolo v Napoli

LTD AT HT
11.30am Italy Serie A- Atalanta v AC Milan
13.30pm Turkey Super League- Kayserispor v Basaksehir
14.00pm German 3rd Liga- Bayern II v Wurzburger Kickers

Plus a few lay the underdogs if they take the lead which I will post on the football thread

[Richard Latimer]

Lumping them all together again:

Early will ideally be a HT LTD around 10 mins in. If the away team score I'll get out immediately but if the home team and favourite scores I'll play it by ear.

OC are the teams expected to come back if they fall behind. Green for home, pink for away. Away is volatile so I'll cash immediately and home I'll hold my position until 70-75mins if they equalise unless they go on to take the lead. In which case I take almost full profit. If they fall further behind I double down and escape as soon as thery do get one back. No red out otherwise.

FL I will LTD or correct score if 0-0, 1-1 or 1 goal lead to underdog. Aim to get in aroud 60-70 mins. The higher the offensive numbers the better chance of a goal and the lower the odds the better chance. Strangley enough though there is also a very high s/r on the lowest offence numbers which I can't work out.

FL2 is the latest filter I''m experimenting with and is a variant on @Frode-Lia O2.5 filter designed for 2H goals. LTD or LCS using above reasoning.

[A Former User]

Been a bit absent over the weekend due to Christmas starting early, works part, family party etc. However still 2pts up trading in stealth mode.

Todays picks are...

[Ryan]

HT LTD if 0-0

Country League Date Home Away
Netherlands Eredivisie 22/12/2019 11:15:00 Ajax Den Haag
Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 11:30:00 Atalanta AC Milan
Italy Serie B 22/12/2019 14:00:00 Pescara Trapani
Germany Bundesliga 22/12/2019 14:30:00 Dusseldorf Union Berlin
England Premier League 22/12/2019 16:30:00 Tottenham Chelsea
Germany Bundesliga 22/12/2019 17:00:00 Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt

[Martin]

Betgreen: LTD at start green up if there is a goal before 70mins if not take the loss. 90% strike rate currently

491533 Belgium Jupiler League 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Gent Club Brugge KV
491580 England Premier League 22/12/2019 16:30:00 Tottenham Chelsea

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

491533 Belgium Jupiler League 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Gent Club Brugge KV
491662 Germany 2. Bundesliga 22/12/2019 12:30:00 Bochum Regensburg
491533 Belgium Jupiler League 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Gent Club Brugge KV
491575 Germany 3. Liga 22/12/2019 14:00:00 Bayern II Wurzburger Kickers
491738 Greece Super League 22/12/2019 15:15:00 Volos NFC Olympiakos Piraeus
491699 Germany Bundesliga 22/12/2019 17:00:00 Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt
491717 Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 19:45:00 Sassuolo Napoli

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

491616 Turkey Super Lig 22/12/2019 11:00:00 Genclerbirligi Sivasspor
491599 Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 11:30:00 Atalanta AC Milan
491662 Germany 2. Bundesliga 22/12/2019 12:30:00 Bochum Regensburg
491574 Germany 3. Liga 22/12/2019 13:00:00 Ingolstadt Jena
491600 Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 14:00:00 Lecce Bologna
491608 Italy Serie B 22/12/2019 14:00:00 Pisa Cosenza
491607 Italy Serie B 22/12/2019 14:00:00 Pescara Trapani
491554 Germany Bundesliga 22/12/2019 14:30:00 Dusseldorf Union Berlin
491738 Greece Super League 22/12/2019 15:15:00 Volos NFC Olympiakos Piraeus
491618 Turkey Super Lig 22/12/2019 16:00:00 Fenerbahce Besiktas
491580 England Premier League 22/12/2019 16:30:00 Tottenham Chelsea
491717 Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 19:45:00 Sassuolo Napoli

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

491599 Italy Serie A 22/12/2019 11:30:00 Atalanta AC Milan
491576 England Championship 22/12/2019 12:00:00 Sheffield Wed Bristol City
491573 Germany 3. Liga 22/12/2019 12:00:00 Hallescher Uerdingen
491662 Germany 2. Bundesliga 22/12/2019 12:30:00 Bochum Regensburg
491664 Germany 2. Bundesliga 22/12/2019 12:30:00 Sandhausen Holstein Kiel
491532 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Telstar Jong AZ
491563 Netherlands Eredivisie 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Utrecht Feyenoord
491604 Spain Laliga2 22/12/2019 15:00:00 Huesca Zaragoza
491739 Greece Super League 22/12/2019 17:30:00 Panathinaikos Aris

[A Former User]

[Richard Latimer]

On The Comeback:

Early Doors:

Fashionably Late:

[Martin]

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

491414 England Premier League 21/12/2019 12:30:00 Everton Arsenal
491696 Germany Bundesliga 21/12/2019 14:30:00 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
491722 Scotland Premiership 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Celtic Aberdeen
491397 England Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 QPR Charlton
491572 England National League South 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Weymouth St. Albans
491316 Scotland League Two 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Queen's Park Cove Rangers
491420 England Premier League 21/12/2019 17:30:00 Manchester City Leicester
491345 Netherlands Eredivisie 21/12/2019 19:45:00 Willem II Sittard
491533 Belgium Jupiler League 22/12/2019 13:30:00 Gent Club Brugge KV
491699 Germany Bundesliga 22/12/2019 17:00:00 Paderborn Eintracht Frankfurt

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

491474 Australia A-league 21/12/2019 06:00:00 Melbourne City Melbourne Victory
491518 Germany 2. Bundesliga 21/12/2019 12:00:00 Aue Greuther Furth
491375 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Unterhaching Kaiserslautern
491372 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Duisburg
491374 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Preussen Munster Munich 1860
491373 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Mannheim Chemnitzer
491471 Turkey Super Lig 21/12/2019 14:30:00 Kasimpasa Gaziantep
491695 Germany Bundesliga 21/12/2019 14:30:00 FC Koln SV Werder Bremen
491696 Germany Bundesliga 21/12/2019 14:30:00 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen
491722 Scotland Premiership 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Celtic Aberdeen
491504 Scotland Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Partick Dundee FC
491369 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Torquay Chesterfield
491419 England Premier League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Norwich Wolves
491502 Scotland Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Dundee Utd Ayr
491399 England Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 West Brom Brentford
491513 England League Two 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Mansfield Northampton
491316 Scotland League Two 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Queen's Park Cove Rangers
491482 England League One 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Bristol Rovers Peterborough
491489 England League One 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Tranmere AFC Wimbledon
491397 England Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 QPR Charlton
491364 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Ebbsfleet Woking
491362 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Bromley Eastleigh
491370 England National League 21/12/2019 17:20:00 Solihull Barrow
491386 France Ligue 1 21/12/2019 19:45:00 Nice Toulouse

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

491519 Germany 2. Bundesliga 21/12/2019 12:00:00 Darmstadt Hamburger SV
491521 Germany 2. Bundesliga 21/12/2019 12:00:00 St. Pauli Arminia Bielefeld
491414 England Premier League 21/12/2019 12:30:00 Everton Arsenal
491372 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Duisburg
491374 Germany 3. Liga 21/12/2019 13:00:00 Preussen Munster Munich 1860
491697 Germany Bundesliga 21/12/2019 14:30:00 Schalke SC Freiburg
491364 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Ebbsfleet Woking
491395 England Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Luton Swansea
491415 England Premier League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Aston Villa Southampton
491369 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Torquay Chesterfield
491417 England Premier League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Brighton Sheffield Utd
491361 England National League 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Boreham Wood Harrogate
491489 England League One 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Tranmere AFC Wimbledon
491503 Scotland Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 Inverness Dunfermline
491397 England Championship 21/12/2019 15:00:00 QPR Charlton
491460 Spain Laliga2 21/12/2019 17:00:00 Las Palmas Rayo Vallecano
491370 England National League 21/12/2019 17:20:00 Solihull Barrow
491420 England Premier League 21/12/2019 17:30:00 Manchester City Leicester
491308 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 21/12/2019 18:45:00 Breda Dordrecht
491441 Poland Ekstraklasa 21/12/2019 19:00:00 Gornik Z. Jagiellonia

[Ryan]

[A Former User]

[james everard]

Morning All, watchlist for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( back on 30mins, 55mins and 65mins trade out at a loss on 75mins)
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2 - Nurnberg v SG Dynamo Dresden
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Jong Ajax v Oss
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Jong Utrecht v G.A. Eagles
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Hoffenheim v Dortmund
19.45pm Scottish Premier - Hibernian vs Rangers
20.00pm Spain LaLiga - Eibar vs Granada fc

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY ( back on 15mins, 30mins, 50mins and 55mins , trade out a loss on 60mins)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Jong Ajax v Oss
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Hoffenheim v Dortmund

LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 GOALS ( wait for odds to below 2.2 and over 1.6 respectively ideally better)
14.35pm Saudi Arabia - Al-Fateh v Al-Hazem
19.00pm France National- Beziers v Red Star
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Hoffenheim v Dortmund

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1 AND WAIT FOR ODDS TO BE BELOW 2.5( inplay stats to look good)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Eindhoven FC v Nijmegen

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
14.00pm UAE League - Khorfakkan v Shabab Al-Ahli (lay home)
14.00pm UAE League - Ittihad Kalba v Al Wahda (lay home)
15.00pm Egypt Prem - Al Ittihad v Masr ( lay away)
15.00pm Egypt Prem - Misr Elmaqasah v Tanta (lay away)
15.30pm Romania League 1- Astra v Clinceni ( lay away)
17.00pm Poland Ekstraklasa - Pogon Szczecin v Korona Kielce( lay away)
17.30pm Egypt Prem - Zamalek v Smouha (lay away)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Eindhoven FC v Nijmegen (lay home)
19.00pm France National - Le Puy v Villefranche ( lay home)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Jong Ajax v Oss (lay away)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Maastricht v Helmond (Lay away)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Almere City v Roda (lay away)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste Divisie - Jong Utrecht v G.A. Eagles (lay home)
19.00pm France Ligue 2- Caen v Clermont (lay home)
19.00pm France Ligue 2- Valenciennes v Lorient ( lay home)
19.30pm Poland Ekstraklasa- Zaglebie v Legia ( Lay home)
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Hoffenheim v Dortmund ( lay home)
19.30pm Belgium Jupiler - KV Mechelen v Oostende (lay away)
19.45pm Italy Serie A - Fiorentina v AS Roma ( lay home)
19.45pm Scottish Prem- Hibernian vs Rangers ( lay home)

Some of these matches are tighter on the ratings than I would normally go for so if they equalize green out immediately , some I would expect the team to turn around and win so would take the liability out when equalized ( always do this for home lays anyway)

[Martin]

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

491247 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Eindhoven FC Nijmegen
491547 Germany Bundesliga 20/12/2019 19:30:00 Hoffenheim Dortmund
491244 Scotland Premiership 20/12/2019 19:45:00 Hibernian Rangers

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

491400 Romania Liga 1 20/12/2019 15:30:00 Astra Clinceni
491253 Germany 2. Bundesliga 20/12/2019 17:30:00 Karlsruher Wehen
491250 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Jong Utrecht G.A. Eagles
491251 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Maastricht Helmond
491247 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Eindhoven FC Nijmegen
491547 Germany Bundesliga 20/12/2019 19:30:00 Hoffenheim Dortmund
491244 Scotland Premiership 20/12/2019 19:45:00 Hibernian Rangers

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

491253 Germany 2. Bundesliga 20/12/2019 17:30:00 Karlsruher Wehen
491250 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Jong Utrecht G.A. Eagles
491248 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Volendam Graafschap
491547 Germany Bundesliga 20/12/2019 19:30:00 Hoffenheim Dortmund

[Ryan]

LTD @ HT if 0-0

Country League Date Home Away
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Eindhoven FC Nijmegen
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Jong Ajax Oss
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Jong Utrecht G.A. Eagles
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/12/2019 19:00:00 Den Bosch Jong PSV
Germany Bundesliga 20/12/2019 19:30:00 Hoffenheim Dortmund
Belgium Jupiler League 20/12/2019 19:30:00 KV Mechelen Oostende
Scotland Premiership 20/12/2019 19:45:00 Hibernian Rangers
Spain Laliga 20/12/2019 20:00:00 Eibar Granada CF

[Richard Latimer]

Lumping them all together today as quicker:

OC is on the Comeback, FL is fashionably late (2H goals) and early is FHG:

[Ryan]

Nothing from me today!