Daily Football Selections Thread - No Chat

[A Former User]

These are the matches where u2.5 goals are 2.0 or lower in odds, aim is to get early goal, then back the u2.5 for inflated price for 30minutes, or H/T. Please be aware of any cup games, as they can be dodgy buggers.

[Martin]

Nothing for the filters I am testing today, on the positive side we are half-way through testing!

[A Former User]

I’ll be backing a split stake strategy for over 1.5 goals for Parma vs Lecce.

Same for Az Alkmaar vs Top Oos

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing tomorrow for over 1.5 or FHG.

If Hamrun score first I'll lay them.

If Maccabi Tel Aviv go in at the break drawing 0-0, 1-1 or losing I'll lay the next under for half current available odds.

If Ashkelon go in at HT 0-0, 1-1 or losing I'll lay the next under on 62mins
If Jong Ajax go in at HT 0-0, 1-1 or losing I'll lay the next under on 59mins
If Parma go in at HT 0-0, 1-1 or losing I'll lay the next under on 60mins

[Richard Latimer]

Already had the one win which I posted in football thread. My lie in today but woke briefly to find the Aus game had gone in 1-1 so layed Under 2.5 what must have been minutes before they scored again.

The rest are as follows....

Multiple O's (Split Stake)

On the right is the exact point if time I INTEND to make my first point of entry. The next would be 25 ticks on or the equivalent as I will be laying the under 1.5 rather than backing the over.

Early Doors (FHG Expected)

Roda again....not sure whether to do both or just choose the one strat. Again time of entry listed on the right.

Down But Not Out (lay the weaker team if they go ahead first)

David v Goliath (perceived one sided encounter so game should open up 2nd half if any of these things happening. 0-0, 1-1, home favourite losing, odds on away losing.

For the draw I'm avoiding offensive numbers between 1.4-2.099 as these have been inconsistent at best. I'm starting to have my theories as to why. Hibernians are 1.983 hence why if they're drawing at HT I'll prob leave it.

Fashionably Late (same theory as above)

Entry point for second half goal on the right.

[james everard]

Morning watchlist for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( Usual criteria /rules apply)
11.15am Netherlands Eerste Divisie- Roda vs Maastricht
13.00pm Greece Super League - Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Crete
17.30pm Portugal Primera Liga - Maritimo vs Guimaraes
18.00pm Mexico Liga Mx- UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( usual criteria/rules apply)
14.00pm Italy Serie A- Torino vs Bologna

LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 FH GOALS( usual criteria/rules apply)
16.30pm English Prem - Aston Villa vs Man City

LTD AT HT ( second half goal expected, usual criteria/rules apply)
15.00pm Egypt Prem League - Misr Elmaqasah vs Enppi
16.30pm English Prem - Aston Villa vs Man City
18.00pm Mexico Liga Mx- UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD(usual criteria req)
13.00pm Malta Prem League- Hibernians v Gudja (lay away side)
13.30pm Netherlands Eerste Divisie- Go Ahead Eagles vs Almere City( lay away)
15.00pm Begium Proximus League - Virton v Lokeren (lay away side)
15.15pm Greece Super League- Lamia v Olympiakos Piraeus (lay home side)
16.00pm France Ligue 1- Dijon vs Lille ( lay home side)
17.00pm Italy Serie A- Verona vs Genoa ( lay away side)
17.30pm Greece Super League- Panathinaikos v Panionios( lay away side)
20.00pm France Ligue 1- Psg vs Monaco ( lay away side)
20.00pm Portugal Primera - Braga vs Tondela ( lay away side)

LCS ON 60MINS/LTD IF NO SECOND HALF GOAL HAS BEEN SCORED AND INPLAY STATS LOOK GOOD FOR A GOAL ( THIS IS A TEST PAPER TRADE FILTER)
13.00pm Greece Super League - Asteras Tripolis vs OFI Crete
15.00pm Egypt Prem League - Misr Elmaqasah vs Enppi
15.00pm Portugal Primera - Gil Vicente v Belenenses
18.00pm Mexico Liga Mx- UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca

[A Former User]

Today's main trades, will also be looking for LTD/LCS from Martins HT LTD filter

[james everard]

Possibility of lay the Underdog if they take the lead

15.00pm Scottish League 2 - Stirling vs Cove Rangers ( lay home)
15.00pm English Prem League - Man Utd vs Norwich City ( lay away)
15.00pm English League 1- Portsmouth vs Afc Wimbledon ( lay away)
15.00pm Scottish League 2 - Annan vs Elgin ( lay away)
15.00pm English League 2- Cheltenham vs Walsall ( lay away)
15.00pm English League 1 - Coventry City vs Mk Dons ( lay away)
15.00pm Scottish League 2- Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rovers (lay away)
15.00pm English Premier League - Leicester City vs Southampton( lay away)
15.00pm English League 2- Exeter City vs Cambridge Utd ( lay away)
15.00pm English Premier League - Chelsea vs Burnley ( lay away)
15.00pm Scottish Championship- Patrick vs Dundee Utd (lay home)
15.00pm English Champ- Charlton vs West Brom ( lay home)
15.00pm Scottish League 1- Forfar vs Raith Rovers ( lay home)
15.00pm Scottish League 1- Stranraer vs Montrose ( lay home)
15.30pm Israel Ligat Ha'al - H. Raanana v H. Beer Sheva( lay home)
16.30pm France Ligue 1- Bordeaux vs Lyon ( lay home)
19.00pm France Ligue 1- Nimes vs Reims ( lay home)
19.00pm France Ligue 1- Amiens vs Montpellier( lay home)
20.30pm Portugal Primera - Setubal vs Sporting ( lay home)

[james everard]

Potential list for today

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY ( usual criteria required)

13.00pm Israel Ligat Ha'al - Hapoel Haifa v Moadon Sport Ashdod
15.00pm English National Prem League - Dover Athletic vs Hartlepool
15.00pm English Prem League - Leicester City vs Southampton
17.00pm Italy Serie A- Lazio vs Napoli
17.30pm English Prem League - Totttenham vs Liverpool

BACK OVER 2.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( Usual Criteria/rules apply)

15.00pm Scottish League 2 - Edinburgh City vs Queens Park
15.00pm Scottish League 2 - Stenhousemuir vs Brechin
19.45pm Italy Serie A - Inter Milan vs Atlanta

LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 FH GOALS
13.00pm Greece Football League - Aspropyrgos Enosis v PO Triglia
13.00pm Israel Ligat Ha-Al - Hapoel Haifa v Moadon Sport Ashdod
15.00pm English Champ - Hull City vs Fulham
15.00pm English National Prem League - Dover Athletic vs Hartlepool
15.00pm English Prem- Wolves vs Newcastle
17.00pm Italy Serie A- Lazio vs Napoli

LTD AT HT SECOND HALF GOAL EXPECTED IF 0-0 OR 1-1
14.00pm Italy Serie A - Cagliari vs Ac Milan
15.00pm Scottish League 1- Forfar vs Raith Rovers
15.00pm English Prem League - Leicester City vs Southampton
15.00pm English Champ - Luton Town vs Birmingham City
15.00pm English Champ - Wigan Ath vs Bristol City
15.00pm English Champ - Charlton vs West Brom
15.00pm English Prem League - Leicester City vs Southampton
15.15pm Greece Super League - Volos vs Xanth

[Richard Latimer]

Here's todays potentials:

Down But Not Out: Inplay team lays should stronger teeam fall behind first.

Away faves equalising will be cashed immediately as these are volatile.

Early doors: First Half Goal Expected: Ave FGT on the right for entry points.

I'll leave Partick on account of odds. Away favourites not odds on do not have a great record so far and it continues to go this way.

David v Goliath: 2nd half goal expected when home team losing or match is drawn 0-0, 1-1.

So far offensive numbers between 1.4 and 2.099 haven't been great when match is drawing. Either side of this is where I will concentrate my efforts if the match is drawing.

Fashionably Late: 2nd half goal expected if match drawing 0-0, 1-1, odds on fave losing or home team favourite of any description losing.

Ave FGT of 2nd half is on the right for possible entry points on both DvG and FL strats.

And the newest string to the bow. My variation of split stake currently being employed to great effect.

Results for Aussie games already in.

@keith dow modified the original with his entry points. I've taken the original strat and a separate filter using same opp type so that only matches qualifying on both will be considered. Then stats are averaged out across the 2.

In terms of entry points i'm currently taking first average goal time less 5 minutes as first entry point and then next 25 minutes on. That's it FOR NOW!

Bet for me will be lay under 1.5 although I'll be using over 1.5 to calculate entry points as 25 ticks down from initial entry point would be huge.

I don't intend to cash out of these as a rule but we'll see.

Oh......and I'm calling it Multiple O's as Multiples wasn't quirky enough haha!

[Martin]

Betgreen: LTD at start green up if there is a goal before 70mins if not take the loss. 90% strike rate currently

492870 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Hull City Fulham
492859 England League Two 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Swindon Crewe
492818 Italy Serie A 11/01/2020 17:00:00 Lazio Napoli

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

492840 England Premier League 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Manchester United Norwich
492823 England National League South 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Dartford Oxford City
492822 England National League South 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Braintree Tonbridge
492818 Italy Serie A 11/01/2020 17:00:00 Lazio Napoli

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

492801 Israel Ligat Ha'al 11/01/2020 13:00:00 Hapoel Haifa Moadon Sport Ashdod
492817 Italy Serie A 11/01/2020 14:00:00 Cagliari AC Milan
492813 Scotland Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Dundee FC Ayr
492898 England National League South 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Hemel Havant & Waterlooville
492867 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Barnsley Huddersfield
492770 Scotland League One 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Forfar Athletic Raith
492823 England National League South 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Dartford Oxford City
492895 England National League North 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Altrincham Guiseley
492887 England National League 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Dover Ath. Hartlepool
492834 Scotland League Two 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Stenhousemuir Brechin
492810 England National League North 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Spennymoor Kettering
492818 Italy Serie A 11/01/2020 17:00:00 Lazio Napoli
492829 Portugal Primeira Liga 11/01/2020 18:00:00 Boavista Famalicao

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

492874 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Reading Nottingham
492876 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Wigan Bristol City
492867 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Barnsley Huddersfield
492839 England Premier League 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Leicester Southampton
492871 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Leeds Sheffield Wed
492887 England National League 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Dover Ath. Hartlepool
492869 England Championship 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Charlton West Brom
492792 England League One 11/01/2020 15:00:00 Portsmouth AFC Wimbledon
492818 Italy Serie A 11/01/2020 17:00:00 Lazio Napoli
492842 England Premier League 11/01/2020 17:30:00 Tottenham Liverpool
492829 Portugal Primeira Liga 11/01/2020 18:00:00 Boavista Famalicao
492880 Belgium Proximus League 11/01/2020 19:30:00 St. Gilloise Leuven
492784 Mexico Liga Mx 11/01/2020 23:00:00 Cruz Azul Atlas

[james everard]

Evening all thank god that hell of a week at work is over , watchlist for this evening/tonight

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( Normal criteria required if you need to know just send me a message)
17.00pm France National - Pau vs Lyon Duchere ( currently 0-0 40mins gone)
03.10am Mexico Liga Mx - Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

LTD FOR HT OR BACK OVER 0.5 FH GOALS ( trade on around 10-15mins)
19.00pm Portugal Primera Liga - Benfica vs Aves
03.10am Mexico Liga Mx - Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

LTD AT HT ( if 0-0 or 1-1 wait for odds to below 2.5 and inplay odds look good)
19.00pm Portugal Primera Liga - Benfica vs Aves

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
19.00pm Netherlands Eerste Divisie - Graafschap v Jong Utrecht ( lay away)
19.00pm France National - Chambly v Orleans (lay away)
19.00pm France National - Dunkerque v Quevilly Rouen (lay away)
19.00pm France League 2- Niort v Le Havre (lay home)
19.00pm Portugal Primera Liga - Benfica vs Aves( lay away)
19.00pm France League 2- Clermont v Troyes (lay home)
19.00pm Netherlands Eerste Divisie -Dordrecht v Excelsior ( lay home)
19.45pm Northern Island Prem- Larne v C. Rangers ( lay away)
21.15pm Portugal Primera Liga - Moreirense v FC Porto ( lay home)

[Martin]

Betgreen: LTD at start green up if there is a goal before 70mins if not take the loss. 90% strike rate currently

None today

Gary's Filter: FHG 81% SHG 87% at the moment

None today

Frode's Over 2.5 filter - Back over 2.5 at 15 mins trade out at HT. 69% chace of a goal between 15-45mins. 1.80 min odds ideally.

492709 France National 10/01/2020 17:00:00 Pau Lyon Duchere
492699 France Ligue 1 10/01/2020 19:45:00 Rennes Marseille
492782 Mexico Liga Mx 11/01/2020 3:10:00 Club Tijuana Santos Laguna

LCS - Late goal after 60 mins 74% of the time, 2 late goals 32% of the time - Min odds 1.5

492727 Netherlands Eerste Divisie 10/01/2020 19:00:00 Helmond Breda
492731 Portugal Primeira Liga 10/01/2020 21:15:00 Moreirense FC Porto

[Richard Latimer]

Loads of potential today so hopefully manage to get on some. Also good news is majority of entry points fall squarely in the middle of work breaks or just before/just after work. Only a few I will definitely miss.

DBNO are the lays of teams leading (green denotes home strength, pink away)

DvG are the 2nd half LCS/LTD/Lay Next Under in goals market providing score is 0-0, 1-1 or home team is losing at HT. Also pay attention to offensive numbers listed in plain font 4 fields from the right. For some reason between 1.4 & 2.099 have not been impressive.

FL more 2nd half LCS/LTD/Lay /Next Under as long as HT shows teams either drawing 0-0, 1-1, odds on team losing or finally home team losing and away team not odds on favourite. I will take my ave odds for this from oddsportal.com as always.

Finally I have come up with a name for my variation of @Keith-Dow's variation of the split stake. I'm calling it 'Multiples' haha!

Those last numbers are average first goal times. Not sure on my entry points yet but I know I will just have to leave these to fate once matched and hope they go over 1.5.

[A Former User]

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[A Former User]

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[james everard]

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[james everard]

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[A Former User]

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[james everard]

The Better trade to enter would be back over 1.5 goals current odds are 2.04 if you wait 5mins see if inplay action picks up currently 5 shots on target and 6 corners odds could be 2.2 or higher do a small back bet and if inplay action still good back again on 60mins if a goal in that period green out for a profit if no goal by 75mins trade out a loss