Daily Football Selections Thread - No Chat

[A Former User]

Mattersburg V Admira Austria 13:30
Antalyaspor v Trabzonspor Turkey 13:30
Sassulo vs Cagliari Italy 14:00
Zurich vs Sverte Geneva Switzerland 15:00

Morning Gentlemen, here’s to a green Sunday. The above are my 4 selections for FHG’s today. The criteria is basically at least one side has scored a FHG in every match they’ve played and one has in at least 85% of their matches. The filter is a bit more lenient but that’s how I whittle them down. Also minimum of 10 matches and odds less than 4.0 are used as a set and forget. For matches that have odds above 4.0 I wait for them to go in play. There are another two matches one being the Werder Bremen match and the other being the Sparta Prague match. Interestingly the Sparta match and the Mattersburg match are the only two matches with a perfect 100% for both teams but there is a disparity in the odds.

[A Former User]

Possible Trades
Again I am looking for odds around 1.50 for backing or below 2.6 for laying so some trades maybe ruled out if I don’t like the risk reward for the odds. This way I don’t need to high strike rate to be in profit. Also if I enter a over 1.5 split stake trade in the FHG it is unlikely I will do a LCS or LTD in the 2nd half.

Orange Cells = looking for comeback if the highlighted favourite goes behind. I haven't changed my trades from previous posts just thought I would combine them all in a table and in time order so they are easy to trade.

[A Former User]

@shaun-halse So based on your idea I've adjusted the filter to merge with mine and you can see today's results below. I've included matches played this season plus % of games Home & Away have scored... Basically I've merged your filter with mine... Be interesting to see how it fairs with your selections today???

[Martin]

Another great day on these yesterday here's hoping for the same today!
Strong goals picks:

[Ryan]

LTD at HT if 0-0 LCS if 1-0 / 0-1

Vitesse v Feyenoord
Aston Villa v Leicester
Zurich v Servette
Sparta Rotterdam v Heracles
Werder Bremen v Paderborn

[Richard Latimer]

Since the day of Krasnodar going 0-0 I can happily say that's 5 positive days on the bounce now. The overs I've been doing are definitely bringing in a lot of FHG but today nothing much converted 2nd half so looking at it again I think this will work really well as a FH filter and then if goals come too fast to get on and it's drawing at HT I think they'll work equally well as a 2H LCS kinda thing.

On The Comeback:

FHG (not 100% sure of entry point yet but should be around 15 minutes):

Far right is Home scored 1H and Away scored 1H%

Fashionably Late (looking for a 2H goal if ht score 0-0 or 1-1- but laying the under for half current available odds):

[A Former User]

Good day for these selections. RESULTS.
Expecting Goals

12pm Yeni Malatyaspor Sivasspor WINNER
12:30pm Everton Chelsea GOAL TO EARLY
1pm Wurzburger Kickers Viktoria Koln WINNER
2:30pm Crvena Zvezda Sp. Subotica WINNER 21MIN fhg
2pm Atalanta Verona WINNER
2:30pm FC Augsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05 Goal to early
2:30pm B. Monchengladbach Bayern Munich Lost
2:30pm Dortmund Dusseldorf WINNER
3pm Spurs Burnley Goal To Early
3pm Bournemouth Liverpool Winner
3pm Edinburgh City Cove Rangers Goal To early
3pm Blackpool Fleetwood Goal to early
7pm Nice Metz Goal to early
4pm Salzburg Wattens Goal to early
4:30pm Kriens Wil Winner
5:30pm Man City Man United WINNER
7pm Monaco Amiens LOST

Second Half Trades only
Ukraine 12pm Oleksandriya Vorskla Poltava scored 59min WINNER
12:30pm Everton Chelsea 1-0 underdog so trade Winner ( TOO EARLY)
Germany 2:30pm Dortmund Dusseldorf Fav 1-0 No trade
2:30pm B. Monchenglendbach Bayern Munich WINNER
Spain 3pm Huesca Rayo Vallecano WINNER (TO EARLY)
England 3pm Bristol Rovers Southend 0-2 underdog trade WINNER
England 3pm Cardiff Barnsley WINNER
England 3pm Fulham Bristol City Winner
3pm Kings Lynn Blyth Spartans 1-0 Fav No trade
4pm Salzburg Watterns 3-0 Fav No trade
4pm AC Wolfsberger LASK Linz 0-2 Fav No trade
England 5:30pm Manchester City Manchester United Trade (under dog leading) Winner
Greece 5:30pm AEK Athens FC Panionios 2-0 Fav No trade
6pm Young Boys Luzern Winner (TO EARLY)
Netherlands 6:45pm PSV Sittard 1-0 Fav No trade
Belgium 7pm Gent Waregem 1-0 Fav No trade
France 7pm Monaco Amiens Winner
Lazio Juventus No trade Juv scored first
Spain 8pm Barcelona Mallorca No trade Barcelona scored first

The Underdogs

Russia 12pm Oleksandriya Vorskla Poltava No trade
12pm Real Madrid Espanyol Real take the lead No trade
Serbia 2:30pm FK Crvena zvezda Sp. Subotica (ODDS TO HIGH To Trade) WIN-NER
Slovakia 2:30pm Slovan Bratislava Dun. Streda Fav takes the lead
2:30pm B Monchenglad Bayern Munich Fav takes the lead
Germany 2:30pm RB Leipzig Hoffenheim No trade
Scotland 3pm Dundee Utd Alloa WINNER
3pm Bournemouth Liverpool Fav takes the lead
3pm Kings Lynn Blyth Spartans Fav takes the lead
Barrow Aldershot Fav takes the lead
Spain 3pm Huesca Rayo Vallecano LOST
England 3pm Oxford Utd Shrewsbury finished 0-0 no trade
Austria 4pm Salzburg Wattens Fav scored first
Greece 4pm PAOK Xanthi FC Fav scored first No trade
4:30pm Montpellier Paris SG WINNER
5pm Udinese Napoli WINNER
6pm Young Boys Luzern fav scored first so no trade
Belgium 7pm Gent Waregem fav scored first so no trade
St Truiden Clubb Brugge KV WINNER
Monaco Amiens No trade Fav scored first
8pm Barcelona Mallorca Fav scored first

[james everard]

Today's potentials from my filters,never had so many possible trades in one day!

BACK OVER 1.5 GOALS SPLIT STAKE (Normal criteria required)
12Noon -German Bundesliga 2- Hannover vs Aue
12noon - Turkey Super League- Yeni Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor
12noon Ukraine Premier League- Oleksandriya vs Vorskla Poltava
12.30pm English Prem League- Everton vs Chelsea
13.00pm German 3rd Div- Wurzburger Kickers vs Viktoria Koln
14.00pm Italy B- Empoli vs Ascoli
14.00pm Italy B- Pescara vs Venezia
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Dortmund vs Dusseldorf
14.30pm Slovakia Fortuna Liga- Slovan Bratislava vs Dun Streda
14.30pm German Bundesliga- Fc Augsburg vs Fsv Mainz
14.30pm German Bundesliga- B Monchengladbach vs Bayern Munich
15.00pm Scottish League 2- Stenhousemuir vs Annan
15.00pm Scottish Championship- Inverness vs Ayr
15.00pm English Championship- Fulham vs Bristol City
15.00pm English Nat League -Eastleigh vs Ebbsfleet
15.00pm English Nat League- Dagenham vs Maidenhead
15.00pm English League 1- Blackpool vs Fleetwood
15.00pm Ukraine Prem League- Kolos Kovalyovka vs Dnipro
15.00pm English Prem - Spurs vs Burnley
15.00pm Scottish Champ- Dundee Utd vs Alloa
16.00pm Austria Bundesliga- Salzburg vs Wattens
17.00pm Spain Laliga2- Gijon vs Ponferradina
17.30pm Greece Super League - Aek Athens vs Panionios
19.00pm France Ligue 1- Moncaco vs Amiens
20.00pm Spain Laliga- Barcelona vs Mallorca

LTD FOR HT STRATEGY( on 15mins and 30mins)
19.00pm France Ligue 1 - Strasbourg vs Toulouse

LTD AT HT STRATEGY(usual criteria required)
12noon Bosnia - Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina
12noon Ukraine Premier League- Oleksandriya vs Vorskla Poltava
12.30pm English Prem League- Everton vs Chelsea
14.00pm Italy Serie A- Atlanta vs Verona
14.30pm Slovakia Fortuna Liga- Slovan Bratislava vs Dun Streda
15.00pm English League 2- Morecambe vs Carlisle
15.00pm English Champ- Luton vs Wigan
15.00pm English Nat League- Dagenham vs Maidenhead
15.00pm English Champ- Reading vs Birmingham City
15.00pm Scottish League 2- Edinburgh City vs Cove Rangers
15.00pm English League 2- Grimsby Town vs Swindon
15.00pm Scottish Champ - Dunfermline vs Morton
15.00pm Scottish League 2- Stenhousemuir vs Annan
15.00pm English Champ - Yeovil vs Halifax
16.00pm Greece Super League- Paok vs Xanthi
16.00pm Hungary Otp Bank Liga- Debrecen vs Honved
18.00pm Swiss Super League - Xamax vs Lugano
18.45pm Netherlands Eredvisie- Psv vs Sittard
20.00pm Spain Laliga- Barcelona vs Mallorca

Plenty also on lay the underdog if they take the lead but will post them on the football thread if I see anything inplay

[Martin]

Today's games that showed up in a lot of our best goals filters:

[Richard Latimer]

Bloody knackered but forcing myself to get organised for tomorrow or it all goes to s**t!

On The Comeback (lay ELO dog should they take the lead - Always cash away fave immediately):

All Over Bar The Shouting (O2.5)

Fashionably Late (LCS/U if 0-0 or 1-1@HT - Using half current available odds)

[A Former User]

Expecting Goals
Going to try these as over 1.5 goals split stake at around 20mins and back again around 5omins. Trade out 70mins. Only going to enter at 0-0 and if game looks lively. So again not all trades will be selected depending upon inplay stats to back up if a goal looks likely to be scored.
5pm Shakhtar Donetsk
5:30pm Fenerbahce Genclerbirligi
6PM Lille Brest
7pm Almere City Oss
7pm GA Eagles Jong PSV
7:15pm Ajax Willem
7;30pm Wassland Antwerp
7:30pm Eintracht Frankfurt Hertha Berlin

Second Half Trades only looking for a goal if 0-0 or 1-1 at HT
Possible trades could be LTD LCS or back overs as you expect a goal. Think about the value you want to enter the trade. Such as LTD odds below 2.5 or maybe overs odds above 1.50
If I think their will be an early goal in the 2nd half I may even go for a split stake trade on the overs market. So if the score is 1-0 I will enter a split stake trade on over 2.5 goals and trade out on 70mins if no goal. An example from last night is the Arsenal game. Goal came to early for a LCS or LTD trade as odds were high so I went for a split stake over 2.5 goal trade. Their was an early goal so I didn’t have to trade out for a loss on 70mins.
What to look for:
Shots on and off target
if there are 5+ shots on taget at half-time and 5+ off target with a few corners thrown in for good measure I feel a lot better about entering a trade. So a decent amount of shots on target.
Dangerous attacks
Attacks dived by dangerous attacks we are looking at 60% plus.
So 50 attacks and 30 are dangerous is 60% so decent stats to possible enter the trade.

Around 60min mark
So say at HT there were 5 shots on and 5 shots off target I would like to see 4-5 more shots between 45-60 mins to make sure it is still looking like a goal will be scored. I want to make sure the game is still open and a goal is likely.
Possible selections
5pm D Zagreb Varazdin
5pm Shakhtar Donetsk Olimpik Donetsk
5;30pm Hamburger SV Heidenheim
5:30pm Fenerbahce Genclerbirligi
7pm Almere City Oss
7pm Schaffhausen Aarau
7pm Excelsior Nijmegen
7pm Go ahead Eagles Jong PSV
7:15pm Ajax Willem
7:30pm E Frankfurt Hertha Berlin
7:30pm Waasland Beveren Antwerp
8pm Villarrael Ath Madrid
8:30pm Boavista Benfica

The Underdogs
Possible trades you could consider depending on when the under dog takes the lead in the match and the odds available. Example if under dog takes lead early in the game then the odds to lay the under dog maybe too high a risk. So it maybe best to back overs or back the favourite.
Possilbe trades =
Lay the underdog
back overs/lay correct score
back the favourite
Make sure it looks like the favourite is getting back into the game by checking inplay stats. Think about possession/ dangerous attacks percentage and importantly shots on and off target and maybe consider corners. If all fingers point to favourite trying to make a comeback then think about which trade offers best value for your stake.

5pm D Zagreb Varazdin
5pm Shakhtar Donetsk Donetsk
17:30pm Fenerbahce Genclerbirigi
6pm Lille Brest
6;30pm Zenit Dynamo Moscow
7pm Almere City Oss
7:15pm Ajax Willem
7:30pm Waasland Beveren Antwerp
8:30pm Boavista Benfica

[Richard Latimer]

Here we go again!

On The Comeback:

All Over Bar The Shouting (O2.5):

Fashionably Late (LCS/Under)

[Martin]

@shaun-halse good results there!

Today's strong goal picks:

[james everard]

Friday's watch list , more than normal coming up on the filters. Only trade if they meet the criteria's set for each specific strategy.

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY( Do your first back bet on 30mins or wait until odds are 1.6 , if no goal do your second trade on 55mins and a third and final back on 65mins, If no goal by 72mins trade out at a loss)
13.00pm Israel Leumit league- M Nazareth vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
15.00pm Bulgaria Parva Liga - Tsarsko Selo vs Etar
18.00pm Denmark Superliga- Hobro vs Horsens
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hertha Berlin
19.30pm Belgium Jupiler - Waasland Beveren vs Antwerp

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 OR 1-1 ( inplay odds look good and wait until the odds are below 2.5 before entering the trade)
19.00pm Netherland Eerste - Almere City vs Oss
19.15pm Netherland Eredivisie - Ajax vs Willem II

LTD FOR HT (1st half goal expected, 1/2 stake on 15mins and 1/2 stake on 30mins)
13.00pm Israel Leumit league- M Nazareth vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
16.30pm Russian Prem - Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow
19.30pm German Bundesliga - Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hertha Berlin
19.45pm France Ligue 1- Nimes vs Lyon

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD( wait for odds to be below 2.5)
16.30pm Russian Prem League- Zenit St Petersburg vs Dynamo Moscow ( lay away)
17.00pm Croatia 1 hnl- D.Zagreb vs Varazdin ( lay away)
17.00pm Ukraine Prem League- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Olimpik Donetsk( lay away)
17.30pm Turkey Super League- Fenerbahce vs Genclerbirigi ( lay away)
17.30pm German Bundesliga 2- Aminina Bielefeld vs Karlsruher ( lay away)
18.00pm France Ligue 1 - Lille vs Brest ( lay away)
19.15pm Netherland Eredivisie - Ajax vs Willem II ( lay away)
19.30pm Belgium Proximus League -Lommel utd vs Leuven ( lay home)
19.45pm France Ligue 1- Nimes vs Lyon ( lay home)
20.00pm Spain Laliga- Villarrael vs Ath Madrid ( lay home)
20.00pm Italy Serie B - Benevento vs Trapani ( lay away)
20.30pm Portugal Primera Liga- Boavista vs Benfica ( lay home)

[Martin]

Yesterday's goal game results. Nothing today back tomorrow!
!

[Richard Latimer]

Around 1pt green yesterday:

2/3 on the comeback (should have been 3/4)(also, bloody Slovenians)
2/3 on the late goals (bloody Slovenians)
2/2 on the overs

Thursday looks like this:

On The Comeback.

Fashionably Late.

[james everard]

Watchlist for this evening

LAY THE UNDERDOG IF THEY TAKE THE LEAD
18.15pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Maccabi Haifa vs Moadon Sport Ashdod ( lay away)
18.15pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Macabi Tel Aviv ( lay home)
19.15pm Bolivia - Guabira vs Nacional Potosi ( lay home)
19.15pm Slovenia- Nk Olimpija vs Domzale ( lay away)
19.30pm English Prem - Chelsea vs Aston Villa ( lay away)
19.30pm English Prem- Leicester City vs Watford ( lay away)
19.45pm Scottish Prem- Aberdeen vs Rangers ( lay home)
00.30am Bolivia- The Strongest vs Sports Boys ( lay away)

BACK OVER 1.5 GOAL SPLIT STAKE STRATEGY
18.15pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Maccabi Haifa vs Moadon Sport Ashdod
19.15pm Slovenia- Nk Olimpija vs Domzale
19.30pm English Prem- Southampton vs Norwich City
20.15pm English Prem- Man Utd vs Tottenham

LTD AT HT IF 0-0 0R 1-1
18.00pm France Ligue 1- Toulouse vs Monaco
19.30pm English Prem - Chelsea vs Aston Villa
20.15pm English Prem- Man Utd vs Tottenham
20.15pm English Prem- Liverpool vs Everton

LTD FOR HT STRATEGY
18.15pm Israel Ligat Ha'al- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Macabi Tel Aviv
19.15pm Slovenia- Nk Olimpija vs Domzale
20.15pm English Prem- Man Utd vs Tottenham
00.30am Brazil A - Fluminese vs Fortaleza

[A Former User]

[A Former User]

Hi Gents,
shortlist for today
O2.5
Man U vs Spurs currently 1.87.
U2.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Mallabi Tel Aviv Israel 18:15
Atletico PR vs Santos Brazil Serie A 22:00

LTD enter at HT or 60 depending on odds
FK Vozdovac vs Radnicki NS Serbia 14:00
Partizan vs Napredak Serbia 16:00
Rudar vs Maribor Slovenia 16:55
NK Olimpia vs Domzale Slovenia 19:15
Chelsea vs Villa EPL 19:30
Hearts vs Livingston SPL 19:45
Aberdeen vs Rangers SPL 19:45
Ross County vs Hibs SPL 19:45
Liverpool vs Everton EPL 20:15

[Richard Latimer]

On The Comeback Trail - As Title Suggests - Expecting a comebck should the stronger team fall behind first:

All Over Bar The Shouting:

15/30 min split stake onn the over 2.5. Will remove liability after a FHG and let everything else run.

Fashionably Late - If score is 0-0 or 1-1 @ HT I will enter an order to lay the under @ half current available odds and leave unmatched (making sure to keep inplay so if the game suspended my offer will stay put).