New Methods to trial. Method 1 Back over 1.5 goals Method 2 Back over 1.5 or 2.5 goals at HT
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Back over 1.5 goals.
At around 10-20mins place your first bet on Over 1.5 goals.
Split the stake up into 4 parts. each PART IS 25% of you full stake which should be no more than 1% of your betting bank.After every 25 point increase in the odds place your next 25% of the stake until all 4 parts of your stake has been matched.
Entry Point around 10-20mins when game looks lively and ready for a goal.
Exit Point around 75 minute or before if it looks likely to finish a 0-0 draw.HT Back over 1.5 goals or over 2.5 goals. (similar method to LTD OR LCS)
Games must be 0-0 0-1 1-0 at HT
Research and inplay stats suggest a second half goal.Method
Place 25% of your stake maximum stake (1% of your bank) at around 55-60mins.
Place 2nd 25% of your stake when odds increased by 1whole point (e.g 3.0 first entry point and second entry point WILL BE 4.0),
Place 3rd 25% at another 1point increase in the odds (5.0)
Place 4th and final 25% of your stake at another 1point increase in odds. (6.0)Entry point FOR FIRST TRADE will be around 55-60 mins if game looks likely for a goal
Place 3 other 25% stakes at every 1 point increase in the odds until all your stake has been placed or a goal has been scored and you have traded out and won the bet.Exit Points
If game looks likely that no goal is going to be scored or if at 80mins no goal has been scored.Tip watch the game and keep track of what is happening.
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@gary-brown said in New Methods to trial. Method 1 Back over 1.5 goals Method 2 Back over 1.5 or 2.5 goals at HT:
Some potential trades to look out for today.
Slovan Bratislava v Dundalk
Iceland 19:00:00 Breidablik KA Akureyri
Iceland 20:15:00 Valur FylkirFrom the possible selections yesterday I didn't ttrade the Bratislavia game after watching and tracking inplay stats it looked a no go especially within the first 30mins so I left this alone due to very little action.
I got in one the FH trade for the Breidablik game due to action looking great that backed up the research that they were clear favourites and it was likely that goals were going to be in this game. So this was a winner.
The Valur game started slow with what looked like two evenly matched sides cancelling each other out in the first 10-12 mins. It got a bit more lively after 15 mins and I was just about to place a trade for over 1.5 on 20 mins and then the goal game just as I was typing in the trade. So no trade for me on this one.
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Some potential trades to look out for today.
Slovan Bratislava v Dundalk
Iceland 19:00:00 Breidablik KA Akureyri
Iceland 20:15:00 Valur FylkirAgain best to watch the match to see if I am going to do the over 1.5 trade in the first half or in the second half depending on whether I think from watching the match a goal is due. Look at inplay stats and the tempo of the game such as end to end or is one side dominating and have a lot of close or near misses on goal as well as a lot of attacking dangerous runs.
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Didn't trade any of the following highlighted below last night using the methods. But I did try a couple of other matches what looked good.
HT Back over 1.5 goals or over 2.5 goals. (similar method to LTD OR LCS)
Games must be 0-0 0-1 1-0 at HT
Research and inplay stats suggest a second half goal.
Method
Place 25% of your stake maximum stake (1% of your bank) at around 55-60mins.
Place 2nd 25% of your stake when odds increased by 1whole point (e.g 3.0 first entry point and second entry point WILL BE 4.0),
Place 3rd 25% at another 1point increase in the odds (5.0)
Place 4th and final 25% of your stake at another 1point increase in odds. (6.0)
Entry point FOR FIRST TRADE will be around 55-60 mins if game looks likely for a goal
Place 3 other 25% stakes at every 1 point increase in the odds until all your stake has been placed or a goal has been scored and you have traded out and won the bet.I did this method for the following game but adapt it so it was over 0.5 goals as I waited until the 68min to place the trade instead of 55-60min.
So same method of using 25% of the maximum stake at different intervals during the game. I got matched with 50% of the stake before the goal went in and was a winner. So from a £5 trade (50% of stake) I got a good profit of £3.Jammerbught FC v Viborg : Over/Under 0.5 Goals
As always I monitor the game and if going to plan let the other 25% of stake get matched. If I am not happy at l;east when I trade out for a loss I am not losing all of my stake. Basically it helps to keep loses down and can maximise profits by putting in different amounts of the stake at different times during the match which are at better odds than what you would get at HT or after 50-55mins into the game.
Also trade the Ajax game with the over 2.5 instead of over 1.5 method above after the early goal in the game. I thought more goals would come after the early goal so instead of over 1.5 I just used the same strategy for over 2.5 again starting of with 25% of the stake. Got 2 stakes matches (50%) before the 2nd goal came home and was a winner before HT.
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Some possible trades for today. All depends on how the game is going.
Potential Trades
These are potential trades to look out for if they match the criteria or look likely that a goal is going to be scored from watching the match or the use of inplay stats.The selected matches below have come from the strategy filters and suggest that the match will finish with 2 or more goals for the 1.5 goal method and their is a high chance of a second half goal for the HT O1.5 or HT O2.5 method.
Not much choice today from the filters so it maybe a day I don't trade on these at all.THIS IS ONLY A TRIAL SO USING £10 MAX STAKE per game which is split into 4 parts of £2.50.
Over 1.5
19:45 Dulwich Hamlet Wealdstone
19:45 Concord ChelmsfordHT over 1.5 or 2.5 goals
Wont trade them all but may select 2 of them to see which ones are likely to have a second half goal in them.19:45 Fylde Chorley
19:45 Boreham Wood Wrexham
19:45 Dulwich Hamlet Wealdstone
19:45 Alfreton Boston
19:45 Kings Lynn Kettering
19:45 Southport Curzon
19:45 Bromley Ebbsfleet
19:45 Welling Maidstone
19:45 York Farsley
19:45 Solihull Torquay
20:30 Bolivar Destroyers19:45 Dulwich Hamlet Wealdstone
19:45 Concord Chelmsford -
Results for the new strategy.
Over 1.5 goals
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00 Orebro Goteborg
This trade won with a late FH goal so I traded out.
First 25% stake went in at 20 mins and second 25% stake went in at 35mins. Didn't get chance to put more than 50% of stake into trade due to FH goal.Norway Eliteserien 05/08/2019 18:00 Stromsgodset Bodo/Glimt
this trade also won with a late FH goal so I traded out.
First 25% stake went in at 12 mins as game looked lively and second 25% stake went in at 30mins. I reduced by liability in this game as I expect another goal in the 2nd half. Again only used 50% of stake due to a FH goal.HT over 1.5 or 2.5 goals
Poland Ekstraklasa 17:00 Wisla Gornik Z.
Didn't trade this as inplay stats at HT weren't great.Norway Eliteserien 18:00 Stromsgodset Bodo/Gli- No trade having a break.
Germany 3. Liga 18:00 Mannheim Munich 1860- didn't want to trade more than 2 games at once as I was watching the games so this trade I didn't do. It was a winner trade though as pre match research was indicating a 2nd half goal.
So overall new strategy for me and a winning start!
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@gary-brown said in New Methods to trial. Method 1 Back over 1.5 goals Method 2 Back over 1.5 or 2.5 goals at HT:
Back over 1.5 goals.
At around 10-20mins place your first bet on Over 1.5 goals.
Split the stake up into 4 parts. each PART IS 25% of you full stake which should be no more than 1% of your betting bank.After every 25 point increase in the odds place your next 25% of the stake until all 4 parts of your stake has been matched.
Entry Point around 10-20mins when game looks lively and ready for a goal.
Exit Point around 75 minute or before if it looks likely to finish a 0-0 draw.HT Back over 1.5 goals or over 2.5 goals. (similar method to LTD OR LCS)
Games must be 0-0 0-1 1-0 at HT
Research and inplay stats suggest a second half goal.Method
Place 25% of your stake maximum stake (1% of your bank) at around 55-60mins.
Place 2nd 25% of your stake when odds increased by 1whole point (e.g 3.0 first entry point and second entry point WILL BE 4.0),
Place 3rd 25% at another 1point increase in the odds (5.0)
Place 4th and final 25% of your stake at another 1point increase in odds. (6.0)Entry point FOR FIRST TRADE will be around 55-60 mins if game looks likely for a goal
Place 3 other 25% stakes at every 1 point increase in the odds until all your stake has been placed or a goal has been scored and you have traded out and won the bet.Exit Points
If game looks likely that no goal is going to be scored or if at 80mins no goal has been scored.Tip watch the game and keep track of what is happening.
Is this a UTF method?
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this is just a test so going to use £10 max stakes per game to see how it all pans out. Hoping to trade up to 30 games to decide if the strategy is a good one.
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@gary-brown You're on fire today
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POTENTIAl TRADES
These are potential trades to look out for if they match the criteria below or look likely that a goal is goining to be scored from watching the match or the use of inplay stats. The selected matches below have come from the strategy filters and suggest that the match will finish with 2 or more goals for the 1.5 goal method and their is a high chance of a second half goal for the HT O1.5 or HT O2.5 method.THIS IS ONLY A TRIAL SO USING £10 MAX STAKE per game which is split into 4 parts of £2.50.
Over 1.5
Sweden Allsvenskan 18:00 Orebro Goteborg
Norway Eliteserien 05/08/2019 18:00 Stromsgodset Bodo/GlimtHT over 1.5 or 2.5 goals
Poland Ekstraklasa 17:00 Wisla Gornik Z.
Norway Eliteserien 18:00 Stromsgodset Bodo/Glimt
Germany 3. Liga 18:00 Mannheim Munich 1860Will most up results later. If games are not lively enough I wont execute the trade and it will be a no trade.
