BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
WI bat no pre game launch lay of PAK
onto the live action
Agreed. Will see how it starts. If Windies can survive a few overs, maybe even most of the Powerplay, we should get some value on a back of Pakistan...
I'd prefer that strategy to a lay now and "hope" Windies bat well...
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WI bat no pre game launch lay of PAK
onto the live action
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Ok so first 2 matches I have recorded early prices of 1.37 for Pakistan and Australia and 3.6 for WI and SL.
Australia bullied SL yesterday, although SL were a respectable 100-1 before collapsing and losing 9 wickets for just 28 runs. Todays game is at the same ground so its reasonable to think the Aussies will find batting easy. This makes for a difficult opening position as 1.37 is not an attractive back price for me, however if they bat first there's a good chance it's not a good lay price either (unless Finch goes early!). My plan here is wait for the toss. If SL bat first i hope for another reasonable opening partnership and I'll drip back Aus from 1.5 upwards. If Aus bat first I'll hope for an early wicket and again start backing them, however if like yesterday they make a mockery of SL bowlers, this may not ever present an opportunity to enter.
The other game reads similar although is a longer format so movements are slower. Not much recent data in the H2H stats, but Pakistans recent home series win over Australia was impressive. The flip side has the Windies losing ODI series to India and Ireland... again I don't like backing at low odds but I also can see Pakistan winning comfortably which means I can't bring myself to lay just yet either... So just as the Australia match I'll be waiting for the toss in the hopes Pakistan drift so I can drip back, but if they don't drift I'll be moving on to the Womens game.
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Noticed the last few ODI’s world wide with short price favs if the FAVS bay first there odds have all eased
Might do a scalp attempt if
WI v PAK
PAK bat first lay them for 5-8 ticks -
Lots of cricket today to enjoy, starting with Pakistan v Windies.
Also different formats today too to test the skills!
Looking forward to it. Get those alarms set.
1200 BST - Pakistan v Windies ODI
1430 - Sri Lanka v Australia T20
1630 - Ireland W v South Africa W T20
1830 - 3 x Blast matches T20 -
Mitchell Starc is out of the game against Sri Lanka today with an injury to his hand
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Took a peanut Aussies 1.8’s when half asleep
What a balls up by SRI -
Already out of trade and Made 50% profit
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Lay aus?
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Back to the T20s today with the SLvAUS game, Australia are a little too high for me to just jump in with a blind lay like in the last series. I'm surprised to see Finch is still stealing a living in these formats and with Hasaranga on fire it wouldn't surprise me to see him go early. Australia have a really strong batting line up here so probably better for them the earlier he goes.
Whoever wins the toss is likely to bowl first, not a particularly high scoring ground so if Australia bat first and post what is a seemingly average score then should be able to back them at higher odds but as always with T20 will just see how the game plays out.
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@matt-ayles said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Had a back of Yorkshire, they're going along nicely. Looking for 20-25 ticks only...
And green.
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Had a back of Yorkshire, they're going along nicely. Looking for 20-25 ticks only...
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Gone wrong this. Never mind. Will keep an eye on the Blast still but no trades yet
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SA v Ire W in about an hour. SA lost the first T20 and are in somewhat of a transitional period with no Lee, Van Niekerk, Kapp etc...
That said they're one of the "big teams".I made a red on the first T20 because all the stats suggested a comfortable SA win.
This time I'm going to give Ireland some respect. I'll lay them first up, then look to drip back as the price moves. However i plan to be very watchful, and will make calls as things progress.
There's also a Blast game at 630 which again I'll be looking at but may not trade it, depends how it unfolds as the Blast is proving difficult to predict.
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PAK SRI W
Well this red book all came about not being aware when game started else probably looking at massive green book
SRI two down early and there best batter still likely been automatic PAK LAY
All good
Given self an uppercut
#liveandlearn -
@richard-futter That would explain why my greyhound lays tonight, didnt go through. Put them on this afternoon here and went out. Was just trying to see why there was no results and then saw your post.
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gone a bit pear
if score gets to 60-3 i'll have one more small back bet1.12 LAY see if can get 1.3's (red rescue lets go ha)
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Wicket in the powerplay and the price jumps back from 2 to 3...
Collapse! 3 down in no time. Makes things interesting.
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@matt-ayles yep thats all we need really .. in a perfect world ill take som eout if 1.8 favs and maybe green up 1.2's
also could easy throw in a another back bet PAK if situation feels it
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@nathan-bennett pakistans record chase is 265 although my question about that stat would be what have they been set in the past and what quality of bowler?
So far they've batted well this series and despite already winning the series their batting lineup remains unchanged.
Hopefully a reasonable opening partnership will bring the price down nicely.
