BTC Cricket Trading Thread

Martin

@Nathan-Bennett do they get unlimited wickets though? It's more the total I am thinking is high

Like I say of course they could win, I would price this conservatively at 20 and 20 shots win every day on horse racing. Still for me it's a value lay.

Nathan Bennett

AUS need 2.1 ish runs and over to win if no rain
Prob why price so low
Day 4 and 5 swings inbound

Martin

@David-Milligan joint 8th highest run chase in history, 100+ runs more than the record at this ground. Yeah I'll take that win or lose at 4.9!

David Milligan

Switched all liability to a lay of AUS at 4.9, can't resist at that price with 370+ to chase and bad weather around

Martin

@Martin 4.2 odds is a lay on Aus out of principle here statistically, could lose of course but not as often as market is suggesting! Hope it gets odds on at somepoint

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@Martin I've layed again at 4.7

If Aus start well maybe it goes towards evens. Which would be phenomenal.

Looks to have started turning a bit. And variable bounce for Murphy. Root has far more exp bowling at this level too.

Never a certainty but this will need to be a huge effort from Aus. At the end of a tour too. If a few go down they might fold.

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey just dripping in small lays here as price shortens! how low can it go?

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey defo

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@Martin I reckon it could drop a decent amount with a declaration or a 20/30 start to the aus innings.

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey put half stake it then rest when it goes lower

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@Martin and aus under 10!

Edit. And keep dropping slowly. Couple of wickets more..

Will YJB take it away from them??

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey can't see draw unless loads of rain

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@Martin I'm in the red on a draw lay. Laying Aus probably an ok hedge!

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey kind of want to lay now but I know what Stokes is like and it would be sods law for him to declare and it dip well below 10

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@Martin Big time

Yesterday the Aussies looked vulnerable when they started looking for runs

I think... We have batted very very well.

Martin

@Gavin-Rumsey just hoping we get aus below 10 if we declare 263 highest chase here! Only two fourth inning totals over 369 too.

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@Martin The chat on TMS is suggesting the weather looks better next 2 days. They might bat on on a bit. But stokes might fancy 30mins at them tonight. Who knows!

I'm slowly recovering from my day there yesterday. The slow first session just meant more beers were needed!

Martin

Expecting a declaration this session? Maybe go for it for an hour then declare

Fraser cord

@Richard-Futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:

@Fraser-cord Hope you ignored me... lol.

I wish i had. Currently in a red draw lay but holding fire for now.

Hopefully England get swinging in the next 10-15 overs then declare

Nathan Bennett

well
appears from these conditions is how many will ENG/Stokes want
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Hmmm the ball moving a bit and off pitch that hazelwood over intrigue