BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Managed to green up at 2.58 - so a nice profit on day one. Draw price could well crash in tomorrow if the rain arrives around 12 as predicted. We shall see.
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I've doubled down on the lay of the draw at 2.46. Come on Broad/Anderson.
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England's batting has been awful, but you have to think Anderson and Broad will love bowling in these conditions, so I reckon it's worth holding on to the lay of the draw
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Boom!
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Draw lay finally beginning to pay dividends.
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Also laid the draw at 2.4 on the expectation that England’s top order would fold quickly. Looks like a big session coming up need some quick wickets or even quicker runs.
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Not too much movement despite the wicket. Probably would have made more sense to have layed England rather than the draw.
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i was typing this
Kohli no trader
Straight up gambler hanek minnit
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these boundaries smaller than usual? IND price blows decent when one hit
LAY some low 1.8's edge bat coming
apologies just noticed richards post
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Draw shortening quite quickly, but England not really making much headway. Having a little lay at 1.86 as the hour before lunch often brings a wicket or two and, with any luck, the draw shouldn't shorten too much more in that time.
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Just got a draw lay in at 2.10 will monitor proceedings and hopefully close out for some green after lunch and around tea Tokyo bed time. If England lose 4 by tea could well take Richards advice and lay India.
This test might fall a little into the too hard basket as I fly home Saturday night but as Richard said great to have test cricket back and should be a cracking series.
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@dj-reid I tend to judge it according to circumstances and where I think the value lies. I wouldn't really lay the draw at anything above 6 normally though. The draw price seems to be shortening before the toss, largely because the forecast for tomorrow and Friday looks pretty dismal.
I think the side winning the toss will probably bat, but there's lots of grass on the pitch so I think the bowlers will have the upper hand before lunch. I'll take a look at the early overs, but if it's moving about a lay at anything around 2 will be too good to ignore.
I tend to keep the stakes quite low early on with the aim of building a bit of early green which I can turn over many times over later in the Test; hopefully, the weather will allow us to do that, and actually if you know when the rain is likely to come it's relatively easy to take advantage of market moves.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
Thank Richard, thats great.
Do you have a max odds you will lay the match outcome in any given Test Match or just go with whatever you observe?
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@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
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@chris-osborne Oh wicked, where are you based?
I agree, especially for me as a non cricket watcher.... if I was to be able see the top players here it could spark me to get into this more as I could see this in the shorter format.
I loved seeing some of these players then now they’ve gone lol
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@ryan said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett I’m about 40 mins from Notts!
Same here the other direction
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Growing on me was incredibly sceptical but once I stopped watching BBC’s awful coverage it improved.
Doing a huge amount for the women’s game in terms of profile but not sure there’s a need in the men’s game for both the blast and this. Also why the hell have we got a 5 match test series going on at the same time as this depriving the tournament of the best domestic players other than the first two games.
If it’s to be taken seriously as domestic franchise tournament to compete with the ipl and the big bash all the best home players need to be playing.
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@ryan said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I LOVE the hundred how good is it!
Absolutely loving it. Was brilliant at the Ageas last night mate. Incredible atmosphere, and the Brave won which was a bonus!
I imagine its very tricky to predict the swings trading wise though. Some big totals chased down, some small totals successfully defended etc.
