BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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I have to say I think the draw price at Bristol now looks very low indeed at 1.34. Much depends on the weather, I know, but according to the BBC chances of rain are below 20% for every playing hour remaining in the match and, in theory, there are still 300 overs to be bowled. I would be very surprised indeed if the draw price didn't trade significantly higher at some stage over the next 3 days. If there's a prompt start this morning it's got to be worth a shot.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
As expected a big drift on India, out from 4.5 to 9 before a ball is bowled.
Made some really nice profit on this one, thanks for the advice!
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@dj-reid nar all good got to ask .., i'm no pro but can make a dollar ev now and then ha
no on this occasion it would of been if wicket fell would either of lay IND or back draw for a small swing
why
cause of ENG dominance top 3-4 battersbasically shut up shop myself . great shout by richard smart stuff
unsure exactly what the weather doing but maybe when IND bat could be the time to lay the draw
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@nathan-bennett so let the draw come in more and then lay, hoping for Eng wickets and it moves out again?
Sorry for all the questions guys. New to cricket trading.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast
Good to get it right, but I didn't really expect it to go out as far as 11.5 this soon!
Damn missed this.
Is there currently any trade on this? Back the Indian woman and hope it come in a bit and the market settles or too much risk in that Eng will blow them away?
If Eng so much better, worth a lay the draw even though the weather forecast is not good?
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@richard-futter and draw steaming .. potential scalp draw market on first few eng wickets
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@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast
Good to get it right, but I didn't really expect it to go out as far as 11.5 this soon!
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free trade that
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As expected a big drift on India, out from 4.5 to 9 before a ball is bowled.
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@richard-futter good call on IND W drifting fast
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The women's Test starts today in Bristol, and for me the play is to lay India - especially if England bat first.
India have not played a single Test match in six years and conditions in the West Country will be totally foreign to them. They're playing on a used pitch, which usually makes for a dull, lifeless surface for the bowlers, and there could be rain about tomorrow and Friday.
Also, it's a four-day Test so the chances of a stalemate are greatly enhanced and I won't be at all surprised to see the current draw odds of 2.5 contract sharply over the course of the match.
As for the India-New Zealand World Test Championship, it seems likely the first day could be washed out but - with an extra day available if necessary - I'll be looking to lay the draw at some stage on day one if it dips towards 2.5 or lower.
I think there should be some really good trading in this one, and I strongly fancy the Kiwis to take the prize. They're a superbly well-drilled outfit who were streets ahead of England at Lord's and Edgbaston and are much better prepared than India.
The only danger to New Zealand is if they have to bat last on a turning pitch, when Ashwin and Jadeja would be a real menace. Should make for some great watching.
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This point absolutely a gamble on the weather and where market sits and guesstimate of the starting price
Trade targets this far out
Happy to see what happens first odds on or a loss around 5.50-$6 wouldn’t hurtAnd yeah previous test took what 300 overs to complete
I hope for bulk cricket
Ideally odds on draw and flip the book hard
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@chris-osborne are you referring to a particular weatherman I was told about who made a rather big blunder once upon a time?
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@james-woodroffe isn’t it a bit risky to be believing UK weather forecasters who aren’t exactly known for there accuracy
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@dj-reid I guess with the extra day mate the point is to try and minimise the prospect of a draw and weather forecasts are weather forecasts.
Both sides have excellent pace attacks so also maybe with overhead conditions a result is still favoured. This sounds naive but where is this awful weather coming from?
I live in Hampshire and will be at the match so I’m seriously hoping for lots of cricket. -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@dj-reid spot on see what happens
Gutted from a spectical point of view
Chance market odds on by Friday Saturday perhapsThis may sound a stupid question then. If the weather forecast is accurate, why are people not lumping on the draw? Is this not a case of easy money?
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@james-woodroffe still grim
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@nathan-bennett just be aware there is a 6th day for the WTC final in case a whole day is lost.
