BTC Cricket Trading Thread
-
@simji said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
On these tests as they are long. Do people take liability out every trade or do they green up every time to build a green??
I like to build up the green; when it comes to laying the draw you can often spot a good support point where the price stays in roughly the same position for a long time. If you can lay then, you can buy quite a bit of time during which, if there's a wicket or three, you can make a massive profit. Today the draw was very stable around 3.5. I managed a lay at 3.45. It's now touching 6.4, but I didn't get all of that as I took out quite a bit of liability along the way. I really like to build a solid green on day one if possible because it gives you such a good base for the rest of the match.
On the subject of laying the draw, I never leave an open position overnight. That saved me when we had the day unexpectedly washed out at Lord's.
That was an unlucky break, but sometimes the unexpected happens. Overall, the LTD strategy has made big profits for many years.
Interesting to note that the majority of matches at Edgbaston have not gone as far as the fifth day in recent years.
-
Good to see the back of NZ bearing fruit..... shows the value of patience.
-
-
LINE AND LENGTH
-
not sure if ENGs number 3 would make a sheffield shield team in AUS or plunket shield in NZ
-
Looking at the other Test starting today, I strongly fancy South Africa at around 2.3. Their quick attack of Nortje, Rabada and Ngidi should make life very difficult for a scratchy West Indies batting line up.
-
@james-woodroffe nothing wrong with laying odds on first inns
-
Home sweet home but already put to work. Laid England before at 1.66 @Nathan-Bennett England’s openers are painful to watch.
-
@richard-futter is this a long term trade as in for a few days or get out if a few quick wickets?
-
tough watch burns seems to have a lot of luck . some skill obviously tough competitior
1.5 will be another lay -
@richard-futter followed here and eng too short long term lay some aswell
-
Really can't believe England at 1.63. Their tail looks ridiculously long with Bracey at 7 and Wood at 8.
-
Small back of NZ at 5 - looks too high and I can't resist!
-
Loving the changes to the nz squad unknowns can be gold .. Likely observe early me
Couple things eye on if ENG dived real short well could be easy no brainer lay
Other hand if roots at the crease early ish and set could be oppourtunity there back to lay -
Tempted to back NZ at 4.3, but with so many changes to the side, I'm wary of doing that too soon. The draw looks very layable at 4.4, but I think that might get quite a bit shorter if England's stodgy openers park the bus early on.
-
I think there should be some swing in the air today, judging by the overcast conditions. Should be a good batting pitch though.
-
@james-woodroffe said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
Kane out for NZ with Will Young to bat 3.
Yes, and price gone out to 3.25 - but I have to say I think the presence of Boult more than makes up for that. Latham is an excellent skipper too.... so for me NZ should be favs - but of course that could change with the toss.
-
Kane out for NZ with Will Young to bat 3.
-
After England's ultra-defensive display at Lord's, I'm surprised to see them clear favourites again at Edgbaston, where the second Test starts tomorrow (Thursday).
With Trent Boult back in the Kiwis' side, I would have New Zealand as firm favourites, even though Kane Williamson is an injury doubt. He is the number one Test batsman in the world, but his record in England is distinctly average, and this is an extremely well drilled outfit well capable of producing outstanding cricket with their talisman leading things from the sidelines.
England have a good record in Birmingham, but they were well beaten by Australia in the last Test played here two years ago.
Barring a complete batting collapse from the visitors, I think an England victory is probably the least likely of the three outcomes and if New Zealand win the toss, I would expect them to start the match as favourites.
Because of England's negative approach, I won't be laying the draw to any great extent at the outset, although depending how the pitch plays, it could pay dividends later in the match, especially if the weather forecast is more predictable than the one ahead of the Lord's match.
If NZ win the toss and bat, I'll definitely be looking to back them in the expectation of putting some early green on the board.
