BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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@Fraser-cord yeah seeing 3.05 SRI was like another 25 runs or so could see 4's and green up for healthy start
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And laying teams odds on first INNS can generally be a good strategy
One of my favs -
@Nathan-Bennett I must be a jinx. Last few test matches, I've waited for a small price drop before entering, and the wickets tumble just before I get on.
Today as soon as I'm in the price tumbles, and no wickets in sight.
Have abandoned for now and will see how far NZ come in
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IND BANG
IND BIG LAY 1.16 till close of INNS and assess position -
@Fraser-cord hoping for odds on some point and flip it
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SRI vs NZ - I'm laying NZ at 3.0, will see how we go for now.
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Plenty action around the globe
Eyeing
AUS W v NZ W
For some in play angles -
I laid the draw when I woke up and saw there was play. Stake out....let it rain
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@Nathan-Bennett was looking good for a while, but that last session certainly tipped it for SRI.
Will see what kind of lead they get but thinking a Kiwi lay tomorrow below 3.0 will be good value, pitch starting to misbehave already (plus the threat of rain later in the test too)
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SRI NZ
SRI LAY 1.92
Aiming for 25% ROI -
I see SRI vs NZ starts tomorrow. Rain forecast on all 5 days. ESPN mentioned a rest day on day 4 and sofascore has this scheduled for 6 days. Do we know if that's actually a thing?
Rain forecast looking worse on days 4-6, will see how the 1st couple of sessions go but laying the team batting 2nd could be an option with the safety of a potential washout. Galle a very spin friendly place so batting last will be tough.
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ENG SRI
Got to have a lay of SRI here @1.15
See what happens -
Still can't get ENG sometimes. That was a brilliant cameo from Smith, but just as it looks like you are in control and almost have enough, don't get out on the final ball of the session, play smart.
That's maybe another 50 runs down the drain.
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ENG SRI
ENG BIG LAY 1.26
Stake out 1.5βs and monitor
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Stake out 1.57 letβs go SRI
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This is awesome by SRI
Laughable by ENG far to arrogant only 60 odd infront after first INNS everyone acting like they $1.01 pops
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SRI maybe too short now 1.67
Taking the fill up
GREEEEEEEEEEEN DAY BANG -
@Fraser-cord The forecast is unpredictable and changing all the time. An eventual draw could be a bigger threat than usual, therefore I've been backing and laying mostly between 5 and 6 to slowly build up green.
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So my expectation was England score fast, get over 400 and SRI face 40 overs today, clearly not now.
They said the bad weather was due Monday, forecast now looks like tomorrow could be that, maybe lose most of the day. But ENG have lots of time today to pick up wickets now
Il LTD if it gets around 5.0, potentially greening up at end of day if possible, then re-lay if significant time is lost tomorrow.
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@Stephen-Hancox wasn't sure how much further it might fall if no more play today so held off
Agree with your take and so far proving correct. I was thinking waiting until SRI bat, then have an idea of a target and time left (providing ENG dont get rolled today).
Might get below 4 again, only the weather stops a result for sure. -
and as if by magic, the sun has put his hat on and the draw price is above 5 without play starting yet
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It's always a gamble interpreting weather apps but I'm thinking 3-4 days play, and being England that's often enough to force a result. I'm laying the draw now at just over 4
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England match delayed by bad light at 1.30 in the afternoon. Or are they playing it in NZ or something? Draw down to 4s already...
Edit-OK, rain as well!
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ENG SRI
DRAW back to lay
Backed @9.6
Would green @7.0 or close to 25% green ROI
Or
Take a 25% loss
What ever happens first
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Greened @7.6