BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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Just got a draw lay in at 2.10 will monitor proceedings and hopefully close out for some green after lunch and around tea Tokyo bed time. If England lose 4 by tea could well take Richards advice and lay India.
This test might fall a little into the too hard basket as I fly home Saturday night but as Richard said great to have test cricket back and should be a cracking series.
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@dj-reid I tend to judge it according to circumstances and where I think the value lies. I wouldn't really lay the draw at anything above 6 normally though. The draw price seems to be shortening before the toss, largely because the forecast for tomorrow and Friday looks pretty dismal.
I think the side winning the toss will probably bat, but there's lots of grass on the pitch so I think the bowlers will have the upper hand before lunch. I'll take a look at the early overs, but if it's moving about a lay at anything around 2 will be too good to ignore.
I tend to keep the stakes quite low early on with the aim of building a bit of early green which I can turn over many times over later in the Test; hopefully, the weather will allow us to do that, and actually if you know when the rain is likely to come it's relatively easy to take advantage of market moves.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
Thank Richard, thats great.
Do you have a max odds you will lay the match outcome in any given Test Match or just go with whatever you observe?
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@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
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@chris-osborne Oh wicked, where are you based?
I agree, especially for me as a non cricket watcher.... if I was to be able see the top players here it could spark me to get into this more as I could see this in the shorter format.
I loved seeing some of these players then now they’ve gone lol
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@ryan said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@nathan-bennett I’m about 40 mins from Notts!
Same here the other direction
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Growing on me was incredibly sceptical but once I stopped watching BBC’s awful coverage it improved.
Doing a huge amount for the women’s game in terms of profile but not sure there’s a need in the men’s game for both the blast and this. Also why the hell have we got a 5 match test series going on at the same time as this depriving the tournament of the best domestic players other than the first two games.
If it’s to be taken seriously as domestic franchise tournament to compete with the ipl and the big bash all the best home players need to be playing.
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@ryan said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
I LOVE the hundred how good is it!
Absolutely loving it. Was brilliant at the Ageas last night mate. Incredible atmosphere, and the Brave won which was a bonus!
I imagine its very tricky to predict the swings trading wise though. Some big totals chased down, some small totals successfully defended etc.
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@nathan-bennett I’m about 40 mins from Notts!
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ENG IND
Any Nottingham locals on this forum
been on break bugger all internet been painful ha
Draw odds on come day 1 ?
Happy to gamble and be on Draw for a trade -
@matt-ayles it's hard for other sports to compete with the juggernaut that is football but I remember the Ashes being on Channel 4 in 2005 and how talked about that was, amongst the whole nation, just doesn't happen when it's all taken off free to air.
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@martin i have noticed this with other "complicated" sports. They do their best to try and make the scoring as simple as possible for those who don't understand cricket, but in doing so make it more confusing for those of us that understand it!
I've certainly enjoyed it so far, and it can only help to promote the sport... i agree they should show all the games, even if it was on red button, just to allow full exposure.
It's similar to what ITV are doing with this Sunday racing programme. The sports are in a bad place financially thanks to Covid so it's nice to see the terrestrial channels doing something to promote sports.
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@chris-osborne haha I've had no broadband until yesterday so have been stuck with the BBC on live TV. Kind of wish the whole thing was on both as I think the BBC could really help get more people watching, as it is the odd game here and there is a little confusing as to how teams are getting on overall etc.
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@martin said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne my main issue is the scoreboard they use on the TV coverage, you want to get the casuals involved but then use an interface that makes it hard to work out what the hell is going on!
I quite like the speed of it but think time outs etc are not needed, becomes more like a T20 with those breaks, they should just keep the flow going throughout the innings as much as possible.
I agree about the scoreboard, strategic time outs do my head in in the IPL I think there completely unnecessary there are enough stoppages in cricket as it is.
I have warmed to the tournament a bit especially the youngsters like Jemima Rodrigues and Alice Capsey over the last couple of days the experience the younger player are getting is probably the main benefit although still dont see the appeal that most others are seeing.
Changing coverage from BBC to Sky helped as the bbc coverage is awful and full of gimmicky rubbish and dreadful presenters/commentary
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@chris-osborne my main issue is the scoreboard they use on the TV coverage, you want to get the casuals involved but then use an interface that makes it hard to work out what the hell is going on!
I quite like the speed of it but think time outs etc are not needed, becomes more like a T20 with those breaks, they should just keep the flow going throughout the innings as much as possible.
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@martin I'm yet to be convinced all a bit too gimmicky for me also seems to be a massive advantage for the team batting second
