BTC Cricket Trading Thread
-
Didn't see much play yesterday, but not much sign of demons in the pitch? 20 wickets in the first three days, draw seems most likely. I don't think India can win. If they bat all day today I think it's unlikely that they will give England a full three sessions to chase so maybe worse case scenario Eng have to survive 2 and a half sessions. Eng need to get the openers out early. Not sure how to trade that though!
Maybe have a look and if India look solid early Lay Eng?
-
Morning all, what are we all thinking about Lords today?
For me it seems surprisingly, we could be looking at a draw here.
Expecting India to come out batting well after Roots performance yesterday. England will need early wickets with the new ball but hard to see them putting enough pressure on India.
Could still be lots of swings in draw price but considering scratching my draw lay for an England lay today.
-
Gut feel draw could go sub 3
Small back to lay 3.5-2.8 ish
Be happy not to see 2.8 of course
-
1.8’s ENG and squaring up IND ENG green leaving draw red for now and likely re lay if shortens stupid
-
Small draw lay at 2.98 hopefully gets to 2.0 before moving day kicks in after lunch.
-
@luke-weston would take it hard . Just speculative stuff by me
ENG best result at mo if they were to hit that or perceive to be a big threat to a decent lead can see ENG nearing on evens or less or would start to square up my book a bitLet’s roll
Also some drip laying of the draw of stupid short (2.5-2.0’s) and run rate still good
-
@nathan-bennett
Run rate will speed up if Bairstow and Root stay in, then Buttler Ali Curran have license to hit out. All out before tea or 100+ lead at close, I reckon. -
Early
Deck still looks good
Nostradamus Scripts
England to av 2.5 an over get close to IND total days end
Markets 3.0 3.0 3.0
Ripper two days trading to go -
@nathan-bennett said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@doug-sharp reliable strategy for me laying teams odds on first INNS so much cricket to be played for teams to justify such prices at times
eg PAK 1.44 needing 18wickets to win still seemed well unders so went with that thoughtWI wasn’t able to capitalise much in this case when mentioned the possibility they were going well but felt only one wicket away from price setting above 2’s for a long time and in back of mind PAK thinking could be better with the bat second time round , and very very back of mind day 5 maybe weather interrupted
All this being said
Have to have trade targets
When to get in and when to get out
If the get out price looms I’ll re access conds if let it roll or take itDo you lay every team thats 1st Innings odds on regardless or is it dependant on the two teams playing, the game situation, pitch and weather conditions etc?
-
@doug-sharp reliable strategy for me laying teams odds on first INNS so much cricket to be played for teams to justify such prices at times
eg PAK 1.44 needing 18wickets to win still seemed well unders so went with that thoughtWI wasn’t able to capitalise much in this case when mentioned the possibility they were going well but felt only one wicket away from price setting above 2’s for a long time and in back of mind PAK thinking could be better with the bat second time round , and very very back of mind day 5 maybe weather interrupted
All this being said
Have to have trade targets
When to get in and when to get out
If the get out price looms I’ll re access conds if let it roll or take it -
Nice lay of Pak around 2.0 and some successive lays up to 2.5. Now 3.2. Will be nice to see a small lead with 5 wickets in hand when the new ball comes.
-
@nathan-bennett what's your reasoning for laying them if they turn into favourites, aren't they good with home advantage? Just wondering as I've layed PAK and was going to leave it incase they collapse early in 2nd innings or do you think they are to good for WI?
-
Would love WI to grind into favs then lay them
-
Slow and steady for this test trading swings
-
Draw shooting back down Eng v India. Will definitely lay again at 3.
-
that wicket worth 5c ha
-
Here we go!! Great start.
-
wait what ENG took a slips catch
-
gift
