BTC Cricket Trading Thread
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hows this draw market so far hasnt trimmed
bold to back it at the momentedge coming
come on wickets
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@richard-futter love the weather info cheers
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Worth keeping an eye on the radar today. Looks like the rain may be arriving mid afternoon rather than midday, which could make a draw lay around 2.1 very attractive indeed. With the lacquer coming off the ball now, I would expect England's bowlers to get plenty of movement in helpful conditions.
If it looks like the rain might arrive earlier, then a lay of India would be the play, keeping the draw on our side.
Should be an interesting day with plenty of swings.
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First time trading cricket so pleased I managed a small profit. Shows the importance of timing entry to the market. I’m looking forward to learning from everyone here
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IND market settling from start , if went odds on be keen layer for a trade
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Managed to green up at 2.58 - so a nice profit on day one. Draw price could well crash in tomorrow if the rain arrives around 12 as predicted. We shall see.
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I've doubled down on the lay of the draw at 2.46. Come on Broad/Anderson.
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England's batting has been awful, but you have to think Anderson and Broad will love bowling in these conditions, so I reckon it's worth holding on to the lay of the draw
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Boom!
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Draw lay finally beginning to pay dividends.
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Also laid the draw at 2.4 on the expectation that England’s top order would fold quickly. Looks like a big session coming up need some quick wickets or even quicker runs.
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Not too much movement despite the wicket. Probably would have made more sense to have layed England rather than the draw.
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i was typing this
Kohli no trader
Straight up gambler hanek minnit
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these boundaries smaller than usual? IND price blows decent when one hit
LAY some low 1.8's edge bat coming
apologies just noticed richards post
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Draw shortening quite quickly, but England not really making much headway. Having a little lay at 1.86 as the hour before lunch often brings a wicket or two and, with any luck, the draw shouldn't shorten too much more in that time.
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Just got a draw lay in at 2.10 will monitor proceedings and hopefully close out for some green after lunch and around tea Tokyo bed time. If England lose 4 by tea could well take Richards advice and lay India.
This test might fall a little into the too hard basket as I fly home Saturday night but as Richard said great to have test cricket back and should be a cracking series.
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@dj-reid I tend to judge it according to circumstances and where I think the value lies. I wouldn't really lay the draw at anything above 6 normally though. The draw price seems to be shortening before the toss, largely because the forecast for tomorrow and Friday looks pretty dismal.
I think the side winning the toss will probably bat, but there's lots of grass on the pitch so I think the bowlers will have the upper hand before lunch. I'll take a look at the early overs, but if it's moving about a lay at anything around 2 will be too good to ignore.
I tend to keep the stakes quite low early on with the aim of building a bit of early green which I can turn over many times over later in the Test; hopefully, the weather will allow us to do that, and actually if you know when the rain is likely to come it's relatively easy to take advantage of market moves.
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@richard-futter said in BTC Cricket Trading Thread:
@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
Thank Richard, thats great.
Do you have a max odds you will lay the match outcome in any given Test Match or just go with whatever you observe?
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@dj-reid I'm very tempted to lay the draw at around 2.4 - but only as a short term position on the first day. As you say, the weather looks ok for day one - there could be rain on all the other four days, although how much is hard to say - and you have to fancy a few early wickets. The England batting looks very brittle to me. How many times have we seen them reduced to 30-3 in recent years? And if India bat first, Broad and Anderson have a tremendous record when bowling first at Trent Bridge.
If I were to take a longer term position, it would be the lay of India. They did brilliantly in Australia and at home to England, but in English conditions their top order always looks vulnerable to the moving ball, while their tail is the worst in Test cricket. With the rain bringing the draw into the equation, it could well pay dividends.
Whatever happens, it's good to have Test cricket back. The Blast and Hundred are all very well, but ,this is the real thing.
