@stuart-wallace i genuinely believe there's legs in a lay 1.1 strategy... the Aus India game this afternoon hit it 3 times, although the England one was too one sided.
Here's my thoughts:
In matches where the 2 sides are fairly well matched on paper (regardless of pre match odds), when a team gets to 1.1 you lay them (you'd have to look at match situations but certainly first innings or early second). Your exit points are 1.2 for profit or 1.05 for loss.
Assuming the 1.2 is matched at least once you're guaranteed a profit as you can repeat at 1.1, then exit at either 1.2 or 1.05 but both will be green even if it goes against you.
If your liability is 1 point for your initial trade, worst case you'd lose half a point if it goes against you. However, as I've seen recently this can happen several times in a match so your wins could be very good.
You'd not need a very high strike rate either as your max loss per match is 0.5 points but even those games where you only get 1 match of 1.2 are going to get that back, and once you get 3 or 4 matches you're laughing.
Interesting, let me digest that. IS this the 1.1 theory that you and Nathan have been discussing?